Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> December rebalance complete, there should be 4 adds and 5 deletes at the review.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.3-23 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-16 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes early in the review period but there has been little to see over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) December rebalance complete, there should be 4 adds and 5 deletes at the review.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.3-23 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-16 days of ADV.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes early in the review period but there has been little to see over the last few months.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This December’s KOSPI 200 shuffle will highlight stocks likely to see strong passive flows from changes in float rates.</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials sees BRV offloading shares, weakening its major shareholder status. Korea Zinc might mirror the Hankook &amp; Company scenario, bundling both families' stakes and treasury for non-float rate calculations.</li>
<li>The passive impacts may be small compared to constituent changes, but less dilution from proactive positioning means the price impact could be more noticeable as the effective date approaches.</li>
</ul>


This December’s KOSPI 200 shuffle will highlight stocks likely to see strong passive flows from changes in float rates.
Ecopro Materials sees BRV offloading shares, weakening its major shareholder status. Korea Zinc might mirror the Hankook &amp; Company scenario, bundling both families' stakes and treasury for non-float rate calculations.
The passive impacts may be small compared to constituent changes, but less dilution from proactive positioning means the price impact could be more noticeable as the effective date approaches.


KRX Float Rates for KOSPI 200 Constituents as of Today: Watch the Float Change Stocks

<ul>
<li>85% of the way through the review period, there could be 4 adds and 5 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 4-8 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds outperformed the potential deletes early in the review period before giving up all the gains over the following months.</li>
</ul>


85% of the way through the review period, there could be 4 adds and 5 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 4-8 days of ADV.
The potential adds outperformed the potential deletes early in the review period before giving up all the gains over the following months.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Adds, 5 Deletes Likely in December

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-therapeutics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1933:1" rel="noopener">HLB Therapeutics (115450 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jeisys-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36766:1" rel="noopener">Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> next week.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 1.8 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-therapeutics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1933:1" rel="noopener">HLB Therapeutics (115450 KS)</a> and sell over 4 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jeisys-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36766:1" rel="noopener">Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>Recent ad hoc inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> have jumped post announcement of index inclusion but have sold off after the inclusion.</li>
</ul>



HLB Therapeutics (115450 KS) will replace Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) next week.
Passive trackers will need to buy 1.8 days of ADV in HLB Therapeutics (115450 KS) and sell over 4 days of ADV in Jeisys Medical (287410 KS). 
Recent ad hoc inclusions to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) have jumped post announcement of index inclusion but have sold off after the inclusion.


KOSDAQ150 Index Adhoc Rebalance: HLB Therapeutics Replaces Jeisys Medical

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kangwon Land has received approval to expand its total casino area from 14,512 square metres previously to 20,260 square metres (up 40%). </li>
<li>The betting limits in the foreign players only zone will increase significantly from 300,000 won (about US$225) to 300 million won (about US$225,000). This represents a 1000x increase.</li>
<li>We would argue that there is a high probability of Kangwon Land benefiting not just from higher sales and profits but also from higher valuation multiples. </li>
</ul>


Kangwon Land has received approval to expand its total casino area from 14,512 square metres previously to 20,260 square metres (up 40%). 
The betting limits in the foreign players only zone will increase significantly from 300,000 won (about US$225) to 300 million won (about US$225,000). This represents a 1000x increase.
We would argue that there is a high probability of Kangwon Land benefiting not just from higher sales and profits but also from higher valuation multiples. 


Kangwon Land: Regulatory Improvements to Result in Higher Earnings and Valuation Multiples Expansion

South Korea

Paradise Co., Ltd. is a gaming company that operates casino facilities in South Korea and Kenya.  The Company offers games, such as roulette, black jack, baccarat, and big wheel.  Paradise, through its subsidiaries, operates retail and hotel business.

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Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends

Review period complete. We forecast 4 adds, 5 deletes with some close names. Passive trading impact is 2.3-16x ADV. Adds outperformed deletes early...

Brian Freitas

KRX Float Rates for KOSPI 200 Constituents as of Today: Watch the Float Change Stocks

KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: Constituent changes are as predicted, but it's important to pay attention to the stocks with float changes.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Adds, 5 Deletes Likely in December

There could be 4 adds, 5 deletes for the KOSPI200 in December. Passive impact ranges from 1.4-17 days of ADV. The adds outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Adhoc Rebalance: HLB Therapeutics Replaces Jeisys Medical

HLB Therapeutics will replace Jeisys Medical in the KOSDAQ150 Index next week. Passives need to buy 1.8x ADV and sell 4x ADV. Historically, ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

Kangwon Land: Regulatory Improvements to Result in Higher Earnings and Valuation Multiples Expansion

Kangwon Land has received approval to expand its total casino area and sharply increase betting limits for foreigners by 1000x.

Douglas Kim

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