European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 1 March the shares of Appreciate were cancelled from AIM and the new shares of Paypoint were admitted to trading on the LSE.</li>
<li>In my previous insight, I mentioned that although the offer price did not seem generous and liquidity limited, the risk/reward was favourable. </li>
<li>In the end, shareholders saw a good opportunity to cash in after a sluggish performance since the pandemic outbreak.</li>
</ul>


On 1 March the shares of Appreciate were cancelled from AIM and the new shares of Paypoint were admitted to trading on the LSE.
In my previous insight, I mentioned that although the offer price did not seem generous and liquidity limited, the risk/reward was favourable. 
In the end, shareholders saw a good opportunity to cash in after a sluggish performance since the pandemic outbreak.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> has offered, Potentia, four weeks of due diligence access to “<em>develop a significantly improved proposal.</em>” The Board rejected Potentia’s previous A$1.60 offer on 12 December.</li>
<li>Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous with its terms. </li>
<li>Press reports suggest that an offer of around A$1.85 per share would be supported by shareholders. We would be buyers as Tyro is undervalued at the last close price.</li>
</ul>



Tyro Payments (TYR AU) has offered, Potentia, four weeks of due diligence access to “develop a significantly improved proposal.” The Board rejected Potentia’s previous A$1.60 offer on 12 December.
Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous with its terms. 
Press reports suggest that an offer of around A$1.85 per share would be supported by shareholders. We would be buyers as Tyro is undervalued at the last close price.


Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Bid Revived as Potentia Secures Due Diligence

<ul>
<li>PayPoint has launched an agreed cash and shares offer for closest rival Appreciate. On completion, PayPoint shareholders will hold c. 95% and Appreciate shareholders c. 5% of the merged firm. </li>
<li>The offer price doesn't seem generous (my fair value estimate is 53p vs. 43.45p package value). Event-driven investor Samson Rock is the top shareholder with a 19.7% stake.</li>
<li>Gross spread is 5.9% (including dividend). I believe there are grounds for an offer sweetening, and although both stocks are illiquid, the risk/reward looks appealing, in my view.</li>
</ul>


PayPoint has launched an agreed cash and shares offer for closest rival Appreciate. On completion, PayPoint shareholders will hold c. 95% and Appreciate shareholders c. 5% of the merged firm. 
The offer price doesn't seem generous (my fair value estimate is 53p vs. 43.45p package value). Event-driven investor Samson Rock is the top shareholder with a 19.7% stake.
Gross spread is 5.9% (including dividend). I believe there are grounds for an offer sweetening, and although both stocks are illiquid, the risk/reward looks appealing, in my view.


Appreciate Group/Paypoint: There May Be Higher Rewards in Vouchers

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/tyro-payments-suitor-potentia-capital-ups-bid-to-1-60-a-share-20221211-p5c5ek" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AFR reports</a> that Potentia has increased its offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> by 26.0% from A$1.27 to A$1.60 per share, a 62.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The revised offer remains light and likely to be rejected again by the Board. Grok’s get-out clause with Potentia now sets the floor price of a competing bid at A$1.85.</li>
<li>Potentia’s revised bid is the catalyst for the other rumoured suitors (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a> and Moneris) to get their act together. A competing offer of around A$2.00 is possible. </li>
</ul>


The AFR reports that Potentia has increased its offer for Tyro Payments (TYR AU) by 26.0% from A$1.27 to A$1.60 per share, a 62.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
The revised offer remains light and likely to be rejected again by the Board. Grok’s get-out clause with Potentia now sets the floor price of a competing bid at A$1.85.
Potentia’s revised bid is the catalyst for the other rumoured suitors (Westpac Banking (WBC AU) and Moneris) to get their act together. A competing offer of around A$2.00 is possible. 


Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Potentia Returns with a A$1.60 Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> confirmed that it has “<em>received approaches from several parties expressing interest in a potential change of control transaction, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>.</em>”</li>
<li>Tyro previously rejected a A$1.27 offer from the Potentia consortium. Grok's get-out clause with Potentia sets the floor price of a competing bid at A$1.52 per share.</li>
<li>The last close of A$1.59 is higher than the floor price. Triangulating the value of a rival bid across several data points suggests a competing offer of around A$2.</li>
</ul>



Tyro Payments (TYR AU) confirmed that it has “received approaches from several parties expressing interest in a potential change of control transaction, including Westpac Banking (WBC AU).”
Tyro previously rejected a A$1.27 offer from the Potentia consortium. Grok's get-out clause with Potentia sets the floor price of a competing bid at A$1.52 per share.
The last close of A$1.59 is higher than the floor price. Triangulating the value of a rival bid across several data points suggests a competing offer of around A$2.


Tyro Confirms Westpac as One of the Interested Suitors

United Kingdom

PayPoint Plc is the national network for collecting payments 'over the counter'. The Company owns PayPoint outlets located in newsagents, convenience stores, supermarkets, and forecourts across the UK, and a wide range of payments can be made such as electricity, gas, water, local taxes, and cable bills.

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PayPoint PLC (PAY LN)

Appreciate Group/Paypoint: Completion

On 1 March 7:00, Appreciate shares have been cancelled from trading on AIM. Admission of the New PayPoint Shares to trading on the London Stock...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Bid Revived as Potentia Secures Due Diligence

Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous...

Arun George

Appreciate Group/Paypoint: There May Be Higher Rewards in Vouchers

PayPoint has launched an agreed cash and shares offer for closest rival Appreciate. PayPoint shareholders will hold c. 95% and Appreciate...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Potentia Returns with a A$1.60 Offer

Potentia's revised offer continues to remain light. Potentia’s latest move is the catalyst for other suitors such as Westpac and Moneris (rumoured)...

Arun George

Tyro Confirms Westpac as One of the Interested Suitors

The floor price of a competing bid at A$1.52 per share. Triangulating the value of a rival bid across several data points suggests a competing...

Arun George

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52-week Range

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Appreciate Group/​Paypoint: Completion

On 1 March 7:00, Appreciate shares have been cancelled from trading on AIM. Admission of the New PayPoint Shares to trading on the London Stock...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Bid Revived as Potentia Secures Due Diligence

Since the rejection of the offer, the FY2023 guidance has been upgraded and peers have re-rated. Therefore, Potentia can afford to be more generous...

Arun George

Appreciate Group/Paypoint: There May Be Higher Rewards in Vouchers

PayPoint has launched an agreed cash and shares offer for closest rival Appreciate. PayPoint shareholders will hold c. 95% and Appreciate...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Tyro Payments (TYR AU): Potentia Returns with a A$1.60 Offer

Potentia's revised offer continues to remain light. Potentia’s latest move is the catalyst for other suitors such as Westpac and Moneris (rumoured)...

Arun George

Tyro Confirms Westpac as One of the Interested Suitors

The floor price of a competing bid at A$1.52 per share. Triangulating the value of a rival bid across several data points suggests a competing...

Arun George

Appreciate Group/Paypoint: Completion