Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walmart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11134:1" rel="noopener">Walmart (WMT US)</a> backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phonepe-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34788:1" rel="noopener">Phonepe </a> is gearing up for an IPO in India, according to comments made by Walmart CEO McMillon during Investor call yesterday,</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phonepe-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34788:1" rel="noopener">Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN)</a> , 84% owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walmart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11134:1" rel="noopener">Walmart (WMT US),</a> is one of India's leading fintech company with its flagship digital payment app.</li>
<li>During its last funding round in January 2023, PhonePe raised USD350 million from General Atlantic at a valuation of USD12 billion. </li>
</ul>



Walmart (WMT US) backed Phonepe  is gearing up for an IPO in India, according to comments made by Walmart CEO McMillon during Investor call yesterday,

Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN) , 84% owned by Walmart (WMT US), is one of India's leading fintech company with its flagship digital payment app.
During its last funding round in January 2023, PhonePe raised USD350 million from General Atlantic at a valuation of USD12 billion. 


PhonePe IPO: Walmart-Backed India Fintech Preps for Listing. A Quick Primer

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

BrainBees Solutions / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN)</a> (FirstCry) raised around US$500m in its August 2024 India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>In India, FirstCry sells Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products through its online platform, company-owned modern stores, franchisee-owned modern stores and general trade retail distribution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN) (FirstCry) raised around US$500m in its August 2024 India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
In India, FirstCry sells Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products through its online platform, company-owned modern stores, franchisee-owned modern stores and general trade retail distribution.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) - US$2bn IPO Lockup Expiry with Most Investors Still in the Money

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 Indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.</li>
<li>There could be two ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 Index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 Index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 Indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
There could be two ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 Index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 Index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.</li>
<li>The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.</li>
<li>Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.</li>
</ul>


The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.
The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.
Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.


Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We update Klarna’s pre-IPO valuation based on recent private share transactions and that of Stripe; Indian payments company Pine Labs is reputedly looking for an IPO valuation of USD6bn</li>
<li>Our 2H24 recommended shares performance was suboptimal; only two of our four longs delivered gains, and our short’s share price was strong in the “risk on” investor climate</li>
<li>We downgrade Shift4 to neutral, keeping PagSeguro as our core value pick along with European value play Nexi and US megacap Visa; we keep our sell rating on Affirm</li>
</ul>


We update Klarna’s pre-IPO valuation based on recent private share transactions and that of Stripe; Indian payments company Pine Labs is reputedly looking for an IPO valuation of USD6bn
Our 2H24 recommended shares performance was suboptimal; only two of our four longs delivered gains, and our short’s share price was strong in the “risk on” investor climate
We downgrade Shift4 to neutral, keeping PagSeguro as our core value pick along with European value play Nexi and US megacap Visa; we keep our sell rating on Affirm


Payment Companies – Key Picks and Potential IPOs in Focus

India

One 97 Communications Limited provides payment solutions. The Company provides online services such as hotel booking, top ups, data processing, games, mobile content, and bill payments. One 97 Communications Limited serves customers worldwide.

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Paytm (PAYTM IN)

PhonePe IPO: Walmart-Backed India Fintech Preps for Listing. A Quick Primer

PhonePe's IPO and discussions on potential valuations could turn the spot light on listed peers in the digital payment space and likely lift...

Devi Subhakesan

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) - US$2bn IPO Lockup Expiry with Most Investors Still in the Money

BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN) (FirstCry) raised around US$500m in its August 2024 India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to...

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

IndusInd Bank and Nestle India are expected DELs and Trent and Bharat Electronics are expected ADDs for the SENSEX index in June 2025. However,...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

Payment Companies – Key Picks and Potential IPOs in Focus

PagSeguro is our core value pick, Nexi and Visa are also buys, Affirm still rated a sell, Shift4 is now neutral. Updated Klarna and Stripe pre-IPO...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PhonePe IPO: Walmart-Backed India Fintech Preps for Listing. A Quick Primer

PhonePe's IPO and discussions on potential valuations could turn the spot light on listed peers in the digital payment space and likely lift...

Devi Subhakesan

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) - US$2bn IPO Lockup Expiry with Most Investors Still in the Money

BrainBees Solutions (FIRSTCRY IN) (FirstCry) raised around US$500m in its August 2024 India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to...

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

IndusInd Bank and Nestle India are expected DELs and Trent and Bharat Electronics are expected ADDs for the SENSEX index in June 2025. However,...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

​The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

Payment Companies – Key Picks and Potential IPOs in Focus

PagSeguro is our core value pick, Nexi and Visa are also buys, Affirm still rated a sell, Shift4 is now neutral. ​Updated Klarna and Stripe pre-IPO...

Victor Galliano

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

PagSeguro is our core value pick, Nexi and Visa are also buys, Affirm still rated a sell, Shift4 is now neutral. Updated Klarna and Stripe pre-IPO...