HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Even starting late,Peijia took the lead in the number of hospitals entered and sales volume in the 1st year after product launch.It could be a dark horse to achieve corner overtaking. </li>
<li>The ceiling of China TAVR market is obvious due to high surgery cost and severe shortage of doctors/qualified hospitals. Future price war due to fierce competition is also a concern.</li>
<li>Related TAVR companies’ high valuation cannot be supported without sufficient incremental markets. So, if companies hope to break the ceiling, they have to develop global markets.</li>
</ul>


Even starting late,Peijia took the lead in the number of hospitals entered and sales volume in the 1st year after product launch.It could be a dark horse to achieve corner overtaking. 
The ceiling of China TAVR market is obvious due to high surgery cost and severe shortage of doctors/qualified hospitals. Future price war due to fierce competition is also a concern.
Related TAVR companies’ high valuation cannot be supported without sufficient incremental markets. So, if companies hope to break the ceiling, they have to develop global markets.


Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK) - Dilemma of TAVR Market

<ul>
<li>MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.</li>
<li>After continuous M&amp;A, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a> could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.</li>
<li>Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.</li>
</ul>


MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.
After continuous M&amp;A, Microport Scientific (853 HK) could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.
Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The executive meeting of State Council has indicated the future direction of China healthcare industry- With the expansion of the VBP scope, the traditional sales mode will be hit hard.</li>
<li>The pricing system of innovative drugs in national medical insurance negotiation has its logic actually. It could provide enterprises with reasonable profits, but not significant profits or exponential growth.</li>
<li>The approval results of FDA on products of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (LEGN US)</a> and Junshi could allow investors to have a better judgment on the logic of internationalization of domestic innovative drugs.</li>
</ul>


The executive meeting of State Council has indicated the future direction of China healthcare industry- With the expansion of the VBP scope, the traditional sales mode will be hit hard.
The pricing system of innovative drugs in national medical insurance negotiation has its logic actually. It could provide enterprises with reasonable profits, but not significant profits or exponential growth.
The approval results of FDA on products of Legend Biotech (LEGN US) and Junshi could allow investors to have a better judgment on the logic of internationalization of domestic innovative drugs.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.18)-VBP Expansion, China Drug Pricing System,FDA Approval,Junshi/Legend

Equity Capital Markets

HeMo Bioengineering / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>It is worth rejoicing that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hemo-bioengineering-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34169:1" rel="noopener">HeMo Bioengineering (HMB HK)</a> has entered commercialization stage, but some of the key products are in-licensed from other companies, not self-developed.</li>
<li>In front of fierce competition and policy impact, how to establish its high moat in R&amp;D, innovation and commercialization capability would be the key factors to support long-term development.</li>
<li>Our view is that opportunities coexist with challenges, and investors should also pay attention to the market sentiment towards new IPOs at that time.</li>
</ul>


It is worth rejoicing that HeMo Bioengineering (HMB HK) has entered commercialization stage, but some of the key products are in-licensed from other companies, not self-developed.
In front of fierce competition and policy impact, how to establish its high moat in R&amp;D, innovation and commercialization capability would be the key factors to support long-term development.
Our view is that opportunities coexist with challenges, and investors should also pay attention to the market sentiment towards new IPOs at that time.


Pre-IPO HeMo Bioengineering - Insights on Industry, Business and Concerns

Shanghai NewMed Medical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>From <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-newmed-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34126:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai NewMed Medical (NMM HK)</a>’s pipeline, it can be seen that almost all the candidates do not have obvious advantages in development progress in front of the competing products.</li>
<li>NewMed has little experience in launching and commercializing product candidates, especially as a late-comer. So, the actual commercialization performance could be lower than expected.</li>
<li>Since there are so many uncertainties as well as the poor market sentiment for new IPOs in HKEX, we are conservative about the outlook of NewMed at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


From Shanghai NewMed Medical (NMM HK)’s pipeline, it can be seen that almost all the candidates do not have obvious advantages in development progress in front of the competing products.
NewMed has little experience in launching and commercializing product candidates, especially as a late-comer. So, the actual commercialization performance could be lower than expected.
Since there are so many uncertainties as well as the poor market sentiment for new IPOs in HKEX, we are conservative about the outlook of NewMed at the current stage.


Pre-IPO Shanghai NewMed Medical - Concerns on Fierce Competition and Future Commercialization

China

Peijia Medical Ltd. produces and sells medical devices. The Company develops and sells heart valve disease treatment medical devices and other products. Peijia Medical Technology markets its products throughout China. 

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Peijia Medical (9996 HK)

Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK) - Dilemma of TAVR Market

The high surgery cost and severe shortage of qualified doctors hospitals are two main bottlenecks for China TAVR market. Entering global markets is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

We analyzed the centralized procurement and other concerns on MicroPort. Due to its development mode, the subsidiaries are more attractive and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.18)-VBP Expansion, China Drug Pricing System,FDA Approval,Junshi/Legend

We analyzed the VBP scope expansion and logic of drug pricing system in medical insurance negotiation.FDA's attitude on Legend Bio&Junshi's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO HeMo Bioengineering - Insights on Industry, Business and Concerns

We analyzed the industry characteristics, the business and competitive landscape of HeMo. The centralized procurement, commercialization...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Shanghai NewMed Medical - Concerns on Fierce Competition and Future Commercialization

We analyzed the industry characteristics of heart valve device market. Concerns of NewMed are mainly the slow product development progress, fierce...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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