Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Peptron’s lack of single-stock futures means no risk-free arbitrage but also less speculative selling, making the 25% discount an attractive outright position opportunity.</li>
<li>The low capital increase rate may stabilize the stock price, and more forfeited shares could lower the cost of securing subscription rights during the trading window.</li>
<li>Consider buying rights during the trading period or targeting forfeited shares. Conservatively estimate the final offering price range to set a profitable cost for securing rights.</li>
</ul>


Peptron’s lack of single-stock futures means no risk-free arbitrage but also less speculative selling, making the 25% discount an attractive outright position opportunity.
The low capital increase rate may stabilize the stock price, and more forfeited shares could lower the cost of securing subscription rights during the trading window.
Consider buying rights during the trading period or targeting forfeited shares. Conservatively estimate the final offering price range to set a profitable cost for securing rights.


Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 16 August, Peptron (087010 KS) announced that it decided to increase capital through a rights offering worth about 120 billion won, involving 2.64 million shares (12.8% of outstanding shares). </li>
<li>The expected rights offering price is 45,450 won, which is 22% lower than current price.</li>
<li>We are negative on Peptron's rights offering mainly due to much lower expected rights offering price, concerns about additional rights offering next 2-3 years, and continued lack of profitability.</li>
</ul>


On 16 August, Peptron (087010 KS) announced that it decided to increase capital through a rights offering worth about 120 billion won, involving 2.64 million shares (12.8% of outstanding shares). 
The expected rights offering price is 45,450 won, which is 22% lower than current price.
We are negative on Peptron's rights offering mainly due to much lower expected rights offering price, concerns about additional rights offering next 2-3 years, and continued lack of profitability.


Peptron: Rights Offering of 120 Billion Won

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Apr 4th which has an aggregated holding worth USD465.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,455mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Apr 4th which has an aggregated holding worth USD465.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,455mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 4th): SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.</li>
<li>Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.</li>
</ul>


Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.
Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.
The Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) to KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.


Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

South Korea

Peptron Co., Ltd. is a pharmaceuticals company that focuses on peptide engineering and developing sustained-release medication technology.  The Company's main technologies include PeptrEX and SmartDepot.

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Peptron (087010 KS)

Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity

This post covers Peptron's ₩120B rights issue and examines the potential to leverage the 25% discount for an outright position opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

Peptron: Rights Offering of 120 Billion Won

On 16 August, Peptron (087010 KS) announced that it decided to increase capital through a rights offering worth about 120 billion won, involving...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 4th): SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Short notional has increased as has foreign ownership of Korean equities. Stock selection will become increasingly important. The forecast index...

Brian Freitas

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