Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 11 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could see passive outflows in November.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-March and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 11 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could see passive outflows in November.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).</li>
<li>Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).
Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.</li><li>However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement. Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.</li><li>We are also expecting new deals to ramp-up indicating pick up in demand.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement. Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.We are also expecting new deals to ramp-up indicating pick up in demand.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Information Technology (IT)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over the next three quarters</li><li>Current stock prices reflect increased confidence in this trajectory</li><li>AI is proving to be a net positive for the sector, and with GCC growth differential peaking, concerns around terminal growth are easing, supporting sustained demand</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over the next three quartersCurrent stock prices reflect increased confidence in this trajectoryAI is proving to be a net positive for the sector, and with GCC growth differential peaking, concerns around terminal growth are easing, supporting sustained demandContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT Sector (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Recovery in progress

<ul><li>Accenture’s reported Q4FY24 results stood in line with street expectations on all financial and operational terms.</li><li>Revenue for the quarter stood at $16.4 Bn, registering a growth of 3% (in US$ terms) and 5% (in local currency) on a YoY basis.</li><li>The company registered GAAP EPS of $2.66 for the quarter while adjusted EPS stood at $2.79, reporting 3% YoY growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accenture’s reported Q4FY24 results stood in line with street expectations on all financial and operational terms.Revenue for the quarter stood at $16.4 Bn, registering a growth of 3% (in US$ terms) and 5% (in local currency) on a YoY basis.The company registered GAAP EPS of $2.66 for the quarter while adjusted EPS stood at $2.79, reporting 3% YoY growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sector Update - IT - Accenture - Gradual Pick-Up in Demand

India

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

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Persistent Systems (PSYS IN)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 4...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

There could be 16 constituent changes in December. one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn...

Brian Freitas

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Information Technology (IT)

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q2FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by...

Axis Direct

IT Sector (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Recovery in progress

The IT sector growth is in the middle of its recovery, having bottomed out two quarters ago, and is expected to achieve a high single-digit over...

HDFC Securities

Sector Update - IT - Accenture - Gradual Pick-Up in Demand

The company continues to witness strong demand for Gen AI – the great accelerator of reinvention – with over $1 Bn in new bookings.

Axis Direct

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