Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Surge in Group II cargo loadings from Taiwan at end-July extended into early August, with a wave of shipments moving mostly to Southeast Asian markets, including the Philippines and Indonesia.</li><li>Cargo loaded from South Korea in early-July before heading to the US Gulf coast, arrived in recent days.</li><li>Singapore took delivery in the past week of its largest cargo from the UAE since last September, despite ongoing disruption to Middle East shipping.</li></ul>

Surge in Group II cargo loadings from Taiwan at end-July extended into early August, with a wave of shipments moving mostly to Southeast Asian markets, including the Philippines and Indonesia.Cargo loaded from South Korea in early-July before heading to the US Gulf coast, arrived in recent days.Singapore took delivery in the past week of its largest cargo from the UAE since last September, despite ongoing disruption to Middle East shipping.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 7 August

<ul><li>Global base oils markets grew more divided by region as Asia's broad supply softened Middle East disruptions, Europe's premium-grade supply drew on non-Middle East routes, though not enough to ease Group III tightness, and the US stayed structurally tighter.</li></ul><ul><li>Asia's broader supply base limited the impact of Middle East Group III disruptions, while the US stayed structurally tighter.</li><li>Singapore's prolonged production constraints kept imports elevated and exports subdued, giving rival Asian suppliers more time to strengthen relationships with buyers traditionally reliant on Singapore.</li></ul>

Global base oils markets grew more divided by region as Asia's broad supply softened Middle East disruptions, Europe's premium-grade supply drew on non-Middle East routes, though not enough to ease Group III tightness, and the US stayed structurally tighter.Asia's broader supply base limited the impact of Middle East Group III disruptions, while the US stayed structurally tighter.Singapore's prolonged production constraints kept imports elevated and exports subdued, giving rival Asian suppliers more time to strengthen relationships with buyers traditionally reliant on Singapore.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 07 Aug '26

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.


Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

<ul><li>Cargo-loadings from Taiwan extended their rebound, with a surge in shipments in the last 10 days of July.</li><li>Cargo carrying a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan in the past week before heading to South Korea.</li><li>Shipments from Taiwan to South Korea often then move on to other markets like the Americas.</li></ul>

Cargo-loadings from Taiwan extended their rebound, with a surge in shipments in the last 10 days of July.Cargo carrying a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan in the past week before heading to South Korea.Shipments from Taiwan to South Korea often then move on to other markets like the Americas.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 31 July

Middle East Group III disruptions entered a sixth month, keeping exports at multi-year lows, while maintenance among other Group III producers threatened to tighten supply further. South Korea and India continued filling part of the shortfall, Singapore became a net base oils importer for the first time in five years, and slower replacement cargoes from Europe and the US pointed to limited spare supply ahead of August.

Middle East Group III disruptions entered a sixth month, keeping exports at multi-year lows, while maintenance among other Group III producers threatened to tighten supply further. South Korea and India continued filling part of the shortfall, Singapore became a net base oils importer for the first time in five years, and slower replacement cargoes from Europe and the US pointed to limited spare supply ahead of August.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 31 Jul '26

China

PetroChina Company Limited operates as an oil and gas company. The Company offers crude oil and oil products exploration, development, production and marketing. PetroChina also markets petrochemical products and derivative chemicals.

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PetroChina (601857 CH)

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 7 August

Surge in Group II cargo loadings from Taiwan at end-July extended into early August, with a wave of shipments moving mostly to Southeast Asian...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 07 Aug '26

Global base oils markets grew more divided by region as Asia's broad supply softened Middle East disruptions, Europe's premium-grade supply drew...

Base Oil News

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI. Discussed Thursday to expect support at the 50-day MA. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 31 July

Cargo-loadings from Taiwan extended their rebound, with a surge in shipments in the last 10 days of July. Cargo carrying a combination of Group II...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 31 Jul '26

Middle East Group III disruptions entered a sixth month, keeping exports at multi-year lows, while maintenance among other Group III producers...

Base Oil News

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