External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Petronet LNG's total volumes were marginally above our estimates. Total sales volumes came in at 218 tbtu compared to 219 tbtu in Q4FY20 (flattish YoY) and 235 tbtu in Q3FY21 (down 7.2% QoQ). While regasification volume at 98 tbtu, better than estimate of 90 tbtu, it declined 8.4% QoQ as higher spot LNG prices led to a dip in demand, mainly from the power sector. The management said that Dahej utilisation is at 88% currently. On account of reduction in demand, we expect regasification volume to remain low in the current quarter.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Petronet LNG's total volumes were marginally above our estimates. Total sales volumes came in at 218 tbtu compared to 219 tbtu in Q4FY20 (flattish YoY) and 235 tbtu in Q3FY21 (down 7.2% QoQ). While regasification volume at 98 tbtu, better than estimate of 90 tbtu, it declined 8.4% QoQ as higher spot LNG prices led to a dip in demand, mainly from the power sector. The management said that Dahej utilisation is at 88% currently. On account of reduction in demand, we expect regasification volume to remain low in the current quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PETRONET: Petronet LNG's total volumes were marginally above our estimates

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<div><p>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 6.6 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.</p></div><div>
<p>The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.</p>
<p>At the next recategorization in July 2021, we see 7 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 13 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the 16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. There are 3 recent listings that will enter the mid cap segment with over 18 joining the small cap segment.</p>
<p>Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.</p>
</div>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 6.6 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.
The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.
At the next recategorization in July 2021, we see 7 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 13 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the 16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. There are 3 recent listings that will enter the mid cap segment with over 18 joining the small cap segment.
Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.


India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Quantitative Analysis

<p>We have devised a few screens to identify long opportunities in the Indian markets. While there are different investment strategies out there, we have focused on catering to three key portfolio strategies: 1) Quality &amp; Growth 2) Income/Dividend Generation and 3) Value. These strategies resonate with our own investment approach and we regularly refer to these screens for our own idea generation.</p>
<p>Below we provide an overview of methodology used and backtest results for each of the screens followed by companies flagged by our screener for each strategy.</p>
<h3><strong>What's Unique?</strong></h3>
<p>Most screens tend to use a plethora of parameters whereas we have relied on 2-3 key parameters determined based on our back testing analysis that uses 7 years of historical data as of 2010. We originally started with multiple variables to devise our screen but eliminated variables that provided limited value addition as guided by back tested results. To filter out noise and any cyclical impact in determining trends, we have used averages across long periods ranging from 3 to 7 years, as appropriate.</p>

We have devised a few screens to identify long opportunities in the Indian markets. While there are different investment strategies out there, we have focused on catering to three key portfolio strategies: 1) Quality &amp; Growth 2) Income/Dividend Generation and 3) Value. These strategies resonate with our own investment approach and we regularly refer to these screens for our own idea generation.
Below we provide an overview of methodology used and backtest results for each of the screens followed by companies flagged by our screener for each strategy.
What's Unique?
Most screens tend to use a plethora of parameters whereas we have relied on 2-3 key parameters determined based on our back testing analysis that uses 7 years of historical data as of 2010. We originally started with multiple variables to devise our screen but eliminated variables that provided limited value addition as guided by back tested results. To filter out noise and any cyclical impact in determining trends, we have used averages across long periods ranging from 3 to 7 years, as appropriate.

Attractive Fishing Areas | India - What's Screening Well?

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> is engaged in the business of refining crude oil and marketing of petroleum products. It is India's second largest Oil Marketing Company (OMC) and sixth largest company by turnover.</p><p>The Government of India holds 53.29% of the company and is looking to sell its stake to raise funds to meet its divestment target for the fiscal year and bridge the fiscal deficit. In this Insight, we take a look at the company structure, the ways in which privatisation could be achieved, potential suitors for the stake and the price offered, implications for investors due to the open offer that would need to be made and due to changes in the free float weighting in the local/global indices.</p>

Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) is engaged in the business of refining crude oil and marketing of petroleum products. It is India's second largest Oil Marketing Company (OMC) and sixth largest company by turnover.The Government of India holds 53.29% of the company and is looking to sell its stake to raise funds to meet its divestment target for the fiscal year and bridge the fiscal deficit. In this Insight, we take a look at the company structure, the ways in which privatisation could be achieved, potential suitors for the stake and the price offered, implications for investors due to the open offer that would need to be made and due to changes in the free float weighting in the local/global indices.

BPCL - Thoughts on the Potential Government Stake Sale

India

Petronet LNG is an Indian oil and gas company primarily engaged in the import, storage, and regasification of liquefied natural gas (LNG). It operates LNG receiving and regasification terminals, with major facilities in Dahej, Gujarat, and Kochi, Kerala, supplying regasified LNG to various sectors including fertilizers, city gas distribution, refineries, and power generation. The company was founded on April 2, 1998, and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.

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Petronet LNG (PLNG IN)

PETRONET: Petronet LNG's total volumes were marginally above our estimates

Petronet LNG's total volumes were marginally above our estimates. Total sales volumes came in at 218 tbtu compared to 219 tbtu in Q4FY20 (flattish...

ICICI Securities Limited

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management

There are a lot of segment changes expected in July when AMFI recategorizes stocks and mutual funds start to rebalance their portfolios. We...

Brian Freitas

Attractive Fishing Areas | India - What's Screening Well?

We have devised a few screens to identify long opportunities in the Indian markets. While there are different investment strategies out there, we...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

BPCL - Thoughts on the Potential Government Stake Sale

Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) is engaged in the business of refining crude oil and marketing of petroleum products. It is India's second largest...

Brian Freitas

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