External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

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<ul><li>We lower our average 2024F Brent oil price assumption by 3.6% to USD80/bbl.</li><li>YTD to October 3, the average Brent oil price was USD82/bbl, slightly lower than our previous 2024F forecast of USD83/bbl.</li><li>However, we anticipate subdued oil prices in Q4, driven by weak demand from China, which is expected to outweigh concerns over rising tensions in the Middle East and a projected oil deficit from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) — defined as a situation where global oil production falls short of global consumption.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We lower our average 2024F Brent oil price assumption by 3.6% to USD80/bbl.YTD to October 3, the average Brent oil price was USD82/bbl, slightly lower than our previous 2024F forecast of USD83/bbl.However, we anticipate subdued oil prices in Q4, driven by weak demand from China, which is expected to outweigh concerns over rising tensions in the Middle East and a projected oil deficit from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) — defined as a situation where global oil production falls short of global consumption.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil & Gas Sector - Lowering 2024F Oil Price, Raising 2025F Forecast

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities Co.,Ltd. provides comprehensive wealth management services. The Company offers fixed income securities brokerage, securities dealing, equity underwriting, and other services. Mirae Asset Securities also deals with mergers and acquisitions, foreign currency, and financial derivatives

<ul><li>Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank (HDB), formerly known as HCMC Housing Development Bank, was established in 1989.</li><li>HDB was listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in late-2017 and began trading in early-2018.</li><li>By end-2Q23, HDB's total loan portfolio had surged by 8.7% YTD, reaching VND284tr (US$11.8bn). </li></ul><div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank (HDB), formerly known as HCMC Housing Development Bank, was established in 1989.HDB was listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in late-2017 and began trading in early-2018.By end-2Q23, HDB's total loan portfolio had surged by 8.7% YTD, reaching VND284tr (US$11.8bn). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market) - September 2023

<ul><li>The recovery of China’s market points to rising demand for crude oil.</li><li>China’s total imports have increased by 20% YoY, providing significant support for oil prices amid the global economy’s still-slow recovery.</li><li>According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global crude oil demand is forecast to increase to 103mnbd by 2mnbd (+2% YoY) in 2023.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

The recovery of China’s market points to rising demand for crude oil.China’s total imports have increased by 20% YoY, providing significant support for oil prices amid the global economy’s still-slow recovery.According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global crude oil demand is forecast to increase to 103mnbd by 2mnbd (+2% YoY) in 2023.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industry Report - Oil and Gas - Neutral - China's recovery holds key to growth

<ul><li>Vietnam's crude oil trade has shifted towards net imports since 2018. The main reason for this is that domestic demand for crude oil has surged</li><li>From 2015 onwards, the import value of petroleum has decreased significantly compared with the previous period.</li><li>In 2018, when the Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical project came into operation, the proportion of crude oil imports rose sharply, exceeding the import proportion of petroleum in 2020 and 2021.</li></ul>

Vietnam's crude oil trade has shifted towards net imports since 2018. The main reason for this is that domestic demand for crude oil has surgedFrom 2015 onwards, the import value of petroleum has decreased significantly compared with the previous period.In 2018, when the Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical project came into operation, the proportion of crude oil imports rose sharply, exceeding the import proportion of petroleum in 2020 and 2021.

Oil Price Shock’s Impacts on Vietnam’s Oil and Gas Industry

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Average weights among Frontier market countries stand at a combined 0.86%, with 42.5% of the EM funds in our analysis having some exposure to Frontier.  On a country level, Vietnam dominates, held by 19.6% of funds, followed by Kazakhstan and Panama.The most widely held stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/copa-holdings-sa-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6110:1" rel="noopener">Copa Holdings Sa Class A (CPA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaspi-kz-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33382:1" rel="noopener">Kaspi.KZ JSC (KSPI LI)</a> , with 10.4% and 10% of funds invested respectively.On a fund level, openings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaspi-kz-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33382:1" rel="noopener">Kaspi.KZ JSC (KSPI LI)</a> dominate the picture, with Carmignac Emerging Discovery, Fidelity and BlackRock opening positions, among others.  Closures in Nova Ljubljanska Banka from TT International, Goldman Sachs and Polar Capital are the stand outs.  Analysis taken from our Emerging Markets Research, covering 242 active GEM funds with combined AUM of $500bn

Average weights among Frontier market countries stand at a combined 0.86%, with 42.5% of the EM funds in our analysis having some exposure to Frontier.  On a country level, Vietnam dominates, held by 19.6% of funds, followed by Kazakhstan and Panama.The most widely held stocks are Copa Holdings Sa Class A (CPA US) and Kaspi.KZ JSC (KSPI LI) , with 10.4% and 10% of funds invested respectively.On a fund level, openings in Kaspi.KZ JSC (KSPI LI) dominate the picture, with Carmignac Emerging Discovery, Fidelity and BlackRock opening positions, among others.  Closures in Nova Ljubljanska Banka from TT International, Goldman Sachs and Polar Capital are the stand outs.  Analysis taken from our Emerging Markets Research, covering 242 active GEM funds with combined AUM of $500bn

Vietnam

PetroVietnam Technical Services Corporation provides technical services for the oil and gas, energy, and industrial sectors, including EPCIC for offshore facilities, FSO/FPSO services, and offshore supply vessels. The company also offers geological surveys, installation, operation, and maintenance of offshore facilities, and port and supply base services. Headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, the company was founded in 1976.

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PetroVietnam Technical Services (PVS VN)

Oil & Gas Sector - Lowering 2024F Oil Price, Raising 2025F Forecast

We lower our average 2024F Brent oil price assumption by 3.6% to USD80/bbl. YTD to October 3, the average Brent oil price was USD82/bbl, slightly...

Vietcap

Stock Recommendations (Vietnam Market) - September 2023

Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank (HDB), formerly known as HCMC Housing Development Bank, was established in 1989.

Mirae Asset Securities

Industry Report - Oil and Gas - Neutral - China's recovery holds key to growth

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global crude oil demand is forecast to increase to 103mnbd by 2mnbd (+2% YoY) in 2023.

Mirae Asset Securities

Oil Price Shock’s Impacts on Vietnam’s Oil and Gas Industry

Vietnam's crude oil trade has shifted towards net imports since 2018. The main reason for this is that domestic demand for crude oil has surged

Mirae Asset Securities

Frontier Markets Exposure in EM Funds

With Argentina and Kuwait moving up to Emerging status, how are active EM investors positioned in the current crop of Frontier Markets?

Steven Holden

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