IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Joinn Laboratories China  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joinn-laboratories-china-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28273:1" rel="noopener">Joinn Laboratories China Co-A (603127 CH)</a> is a global contract research organisation (CRO). JOINN is the largest CRO in non-clinical drug safety assessment in China with a revenue market share of 15.5% in 2019 and ranked the third among the world’s non-clinical drug safety assessment CRO’s as measured by revenues in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JOINN is seeking to raise as much as $600 million through a Hong Kong IPO, according to press reports.</p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/joinn-laboratories-ipo-initiation-on-demand-science" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47482" rel="noopener">JOINN Laboratories IPO Initiation: On-Demand Science</a>, we stated that JOINN potentially gives investors another avenue to gain exposure to the China CRO industry. On balance, we concluded that JOINN’s fundamentals are attractive as the positives outweigh the negatives. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In this note, we look at the PHIP which disclose the 9M20 results and recent developments. Overall, we continue to believe that JOINN is worth a closer look and has attractive fundamentals. </p></div></div></div>

Joinn Laboratories China Co-A (603127 CH) is a global contract research organisation (CRO). JOINN is the largest CRO in non-clinical drug safety assessment in China with a revenue market share of 15.5% in 2019 and ranked the third among the world’s non-clinical drug safety assessment CRO’s as measured by revenues in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JOINN is seeking to raise as much as $600 million through a Hong Kong IPO, according to press reports.In JOINN Laboratories IPO Initiation: On-Demand Science, we stated that JOINN potentially gives investors another avenue to gain exposure to the China CRO industry. On balance, we concluded that JOINN’s fundamentals are attractive as the positives outweigh the negatives. In this note, we look at the PHIP which disclose the 9M20 results and recent developments. Overall, we continue to believe that JOINN is worth a closer look and has attractive fundamentals. 

JOINN Laboratories IPO: PHIP Points to Progress

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p>Joinn Lab is a leading China-based CRO company seeking a USD 400-500 m H-share listing in Hong Kong. </p><p>In this note, we will discuss Joinn Lab's business segment. We note that it has a strong presence in the drug safety segment, particularly the IND application for biologic candidates thanks to its long history in the market and high standard of lab facilities and operation. We think the company has strong growth ahead, driven by the Wuzhou breeding facility, Suzhou lab and California lab in the next two years, followed by expansion in Chongqing and Guangzhou in the longer term. </p><p>We are of the view that investors would like to pay a premium for the company's strong leadership in the niche market and high growth ahead, but the premium will be offset by its smaller size of operation compared to other CRO players.</p>

Joinn Lab is a leading China-based CRO company seeking a USD 400-500 m H-share listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will discuss Joinn Lab's business segment. We note that it has a strong presence in the drug safety segment, particularly the IND application for biologic candidates thanks to its long history in the market and high standard of lab facilities and operation. We think the company has strong growth ahead, driven by the Wuzhou breeding facility, Suzhou lab and California lab in the next two years, followed by expansion in Chongqing and Guangzhou in the longer term. We are of the view that investors would like to pay a premium for the company's strong leadership in the niche market and high growth ahead, but the premium will be offset by its smaller size of operation compared to other CRO players.

Joinn Lab (昭衍新药) A+H: Leader in the Niche Drug Safety CRO Segment

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joinn-laboratories-china-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28273:1" rel="noopener">Joinn Laboratories China Co-A (603127 CH)</a> is a global contract research organisation (CRO). JOINN is the largest CRO in non-clinical drug safety assessment in China with a revenue market share of 15.5% in 2019 and ranked the third among the world’s non-clinical drug safety assessment CRO’s as measured by revenues in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JOINN which is listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange is seeking a listing hearing for a H-Share listing to raise up to $600 million, according to press reports.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Investor sentiment on the China CRO industry remains strong with the H-shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-tigermed-consulting-co-ltd-1008d609-73bd-4d76-8315-b29502a448ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29212:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (H) (3347 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaron-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28428:1" rel="noopener">Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd-H (3759 HK)</a> up 73%, 174% and 297% since the H-share listing, respectively. JOINN potentially gives investors another avenue to gain exposure to the China CRO industry. On balance, we think that JOINN’s fundamentals are attractive as the positives outweigh the negatives. </p></div>

Joinn Laboratories China Co-A (603127 CH) is a global contract research organisation (CRO). JOINN is the largest CRO in non-clinical drug safety assessment in China with a revenue market share of 15.5% in 2019 and ranked the third among the world’s non-clinical drug safety assessment CRO’s as measured by revenues in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JOINN which is listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange is seeking a listing hearing for a H-Share listing to raise up to $600 million, according to press reports.Investor sentiment on the China CRO industry remains strong with the H-shares of Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (H) (3347 HK), WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK) and Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd-H (3759 HK) up 73%, 174% and 297% since the H-share listing, respectively. JOINN potentially gives investors another avenue to gain exposure to the China CRO industry. On balance, we think that JOINN’s fundamentals are attractive as the positives outweigh the negatives. 

JOINN Laboratories IPO Initiation: On-Demand Science

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p>The big data and AI solutions provider for healthcare sector in China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yidu-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29245:1" rel="noopener">Yidu Tech Inc (2158 HK)</a>  has set the terms for its IPO. The company was ranked no. 1 in terms of revenue among all healthcare big data solution providers in China in 2019.</p><p>China is the world’s second largest healthcare market, and the country has been increasingly informatizing the healthcare system in order to improve the efficiency as well as close the huge healthcare resource gap to meet emerging demands for high quality holistic health management.</p><p>The company plans to issue 156.5m shares at an indicative IPO price range of HK$23.5-26.5 per share, and at the midpoint of the IPO price range of HK$24.90 per share, Yidu Tech will raise gross proceeds of US$503m (HK$3.9bn).</p><p>In our previous insights on the company’s IPO, we examined the company’s business model, segments, revenues and profitability. In this insight, we examine the company’s valuation.</p>

The big data and AI solutions provider for healthcare sector in China, Yidu Tech Inc (2158 HK)  has set the terms for its IPO. The company was ranked no. 1 in terms of revenue among all healthcare big data solution providers in China in 2019.China is the world’s second largest healthcare market, and the country has been increasingly informatizing the healthcare system in order to improve the efficiency as well as close the huge healthcare resource gap to meet emerging demands for high quality holistic health management.The company plans to issue 156.5m shares at an indicative IPO price range of HK$23.5-26.5 per share, and at the midpoint of the IPO price range of HK$24.90 per share, Yidu Tech will raise gross proceeds of US$503m (HK$3.9bn).In our previous insights on the company’s IPO, we examined the company’s business model, segments, revenues and profitability. In this insight, we examine the company’s valuation.

Yidu Tech IPO Valuation: Attractive at the Low-End but Superior Growth Profile Justifies the Premium

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

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<p>The H-Share/A-Share monitor is published every weekend for the data ending the last trading day of the previous week. It includes all H-Share/A-Share pairs where the H-Share has a 90-day average daily value-traded of US$1.0mm or more. It shows basic data per H/A spread stock by sector, with...</p>
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<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>H/A Discount,</li>
<li>movement in H/A Discount over 5 and 20 days,</li>
<li>a 52-week Z-score for the spread,</li>
<li>A chart showing evolution of the H/A spread over the last 20 days,</li>
<li>Southbound shares held (millions of shares), Net Change in Southbound (Shanghai and Shenzhen combined) shares held by millions of shares, and contribution of Net Southbound Volume to HK-traded volume over the past five days and 20 days, </li>
<li>There is also a chart showing the average sector spread and the individual spreads within each sector over the last three years. </li>
</ul>
</div>
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<p>A recent addition is the possible status of H/A-share companies in the monitor which are subject to the Trump Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies. They are separated into three types (Possible Direct Qualifying Entity, Possible Indirect Qualifying Entity, and 20+%-owned by Qualifying Entity). They are color-coded as below.</p>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/174/784/original/image?1606541170" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="174784"></figure>
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<p>For more on the list of names, please see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trump-s-executive-order-on-chinese-military-companies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45259" rel="noopener">Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies</a>. </p>
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<div class="content-highlight">
<p>This past week saw mixed movement in H/A spreads but on average they were narrower.</p>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/174/829/original/Screenshot%202020-11-28%20at%206.25.16%20PM.png?1606559131" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="174829"></figure>
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<p>Average performance of the 39 recommendations (long 27, short 12) from last week was for a profit of 0.67% per trade.</p>
<p>There are 43 recommendations for the upcoming week.</p>
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<p>The first sector discussed is <strong>Consumer</strong>, where liquid H/A spreads narrowed on average 0.6% this past week after narrowing 2.7% the week before. Spreads are now tighter by 2.1% on average over a four-week period. Four of six liquid Hs outperformed their As.</p>
<p>Southbound accounts were large-ish net buyers on the week. There were three net buys and three net sells but the net buying ended up being all <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, again. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> saw significant net selling. </p>
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<p>Last week I recommended staying long the H vs A on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> and that spread gained 1.6% for the week (after gaining 4.7% the week before when it was also recommended). This past week I put out the Weekly late on Monday (after 2pm), when BYD in Hong Kong had gained 3.7% vs the As on the day, and so recommended implementing a short BYD (1211 HK) H vs A share trade and from that point or even from the end of the day or the next, the Hs actually underperformed the As by 0.4%. </p>
<p>See below the fold for this week's recommendations.</p>
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<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/174/809/original/Screenshot%202020-11-28%20at%205.32.56%20PM.png?1606556000" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="174809"></figure>
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<section class="figure">For Energy, Financials &amp; Real Estate, Health Care, Tech, Industrials, Materials, and Utilities, please read on.</section>
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The H-Share/A-Share monitor is published every weekend for the data ending the last trading day of the previous week. It includes all H-Share/A-Share pairs where the H-Share has a 90-day average daily value-traded of US$1.0mm or more. It shows basic data per H/A spread stock by sector, with...



H/A Discount,
movement in H/A Discount over 5 and 20 days,
a 52-week Z-score for the spread,
A chart showing evolution of the H/A spread over the last 20 days,
Southbound shares held (millions of shares), Net Change in Southbound (Shanghai and Shenzhen combined) shares held by millions of shares, and contribution of Net Southbound Volume to HK-traded volume over the past five days and 20 days, 
There is also a chart showing the average sector spread and the individual spreads within each sector over the last three years. 



A recent addition is the possible status of H/A-share companies in the monitor which are subject to the Trump Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies. They are separated into three types (Possible Direct Qualifying Entity, Possible Indirect Qualifying Entity, and 20+%-owned by Qualifying Entity). They are color-coded as below.





For more on the list of names, please see Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies. 



This past week saw mixed movement in H/A spreads but on average they were narrower.




Average performance of the 39 recommendations (long 27, short 12) from last week was for a profit of 0.67% per trade.
There are 43 recommendations for the upcoming week.



The first sector discussed is Consumer, where liquid H/A spreads narrowed on average 0.6% this past week after narrowing 2.7% the week before. Spreads are now tighter by 2.1% on average over a four-week period. Four of six liquid Hs outperformed their As.
Southbound accounts were large-ish net buyers on the week. There were three net buys and three net sells but the net buying ended up being all BYD (1211 HK), again. Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) saw significant net selling. 




Last week I recommended staying long the H vs A on Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) and that spread gained 1.6% for the week (after gaining 4.7% the week before when it was also recommended). This past week I put out the Weekly late on Monday (after 2pm), when BYD in Hong Kong had gained 3.7% vs the As on the day, and so recommended implementing a short BYD (1211 HK) H vs A share trade and from that point or even from the end of the day or the next, the Hs actually underperformed the As by 0.4%. 
See below the fold for this week's recommendations.











For Energy, Financials &amp; Real Estate, Health Care, Tech, Industrials, Materials, and Utilities, please read on.


Quiddity Weekly H/​​A: Share Spread Monitor as of 27 Nov 2020

China

Pharmaron Beijing Co., Ltd. engages in discovery, development, and manufacturing spectrum for small molecule drugs, cell therapies, and gene therapies as well as providing testing services for medical devices and clinic research. The Company offers laboratory, clinical development, chemistry manufactory and control, and other services. Pharmaron Beijing conducts businesses based in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Pharmaron Beijing (3759 HK)

JOINN Laboratories IPO: PHIP Points to Progress

JOINN is seeking to raise as much as $600 million through an HK IPO. The PHIP which disclose the 9M20 results reinforce our view that JOINN has...

Arun George

Joinn Lab (昭衍新药) A+H: Leader in the Niche Drug Safety CRO Segment

Investors would like to pay a premium for the company's strong leadership in the niche market and high growth ahead, but the premium will be offset...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JOINN Laboratories IPO Initiation: On-Demand Science

JOINN is seeking a listing hearing for a H-Share listing to raise up to $600 million, according to press reports. On balance, we think that JOINN’s...

Arun George

Yidu Tech IPO Valuation: Attractive at the Low-End but Superior Growth Profile Justifies the Premium

The big data and AI solutions provider for healthcare sector in China, Yidu Tech has set the terms for its IPO and in this insight, we examine Yidu...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JOINN Laboratories IPO: PHIP Points to Progress

JOINN is seeking to raise as much as $600 million through an HK IPO. The PHIP which disclose the 9M20 results reinforce our view that JOINN has...

Arun George

Joinn Lab (昭衍新药) A+H: Leader in the Niche Drug Safety CRO Segment

Investors would like to pay a premium for the company's strong leadership in the niche market and high growth ahead, but the premium will be offset...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

JOINN Laboratories IPO Initiation: On-Demand Science

JOINN is seeking a listing hearing for a H-Share listing to raise up to $600 million, according to press reports. On balance, we think that JOINN’s...

Arun George

Yidu Tech IPO Valuation: Attractive at the Low-End but Superior Growth Profile Justifies the Premium

The big data and AI solutions provider for healthcare sector in China, Yidu Tech has set the terms for its IPO and in this insight, we examine Yidu...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Quiddity Weekly H/​​A: Share Spread Monitor as of 27 Nov 2020

The weekly H/A Share Monitor and Trade Recommendations. Spreads narrower on the week. Last week's 39 trade recommendations gained 0.67% on average....

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Weekly H/A: Share Spread Monitor as of 27 Nov 2020