Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).</li><li>With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.</li><li>Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.</li></ul>

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

<ul><li>Hartshead Resources (HHR AU)C; target price of A$0.18 per share: On tack for first gas in 2025 – The FDP for Phase I is nearing completion and will be submitted in two weeks.</li><li>Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK50 per share: Executing on plans.</li><li>Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.55 per share: Flow rate at new Vietnam well above expectations.</li></ul>

Hartshead Resources (HHR AU)C; target price of A$0.18 per share: On tack for first gas in 2025 – The FDP for Phase I is nearing completion and will be submitted in two weeks.Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK50 per share: Executing on plans.Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.55 per share: Flow rate at new Vietnam well above expectations.

<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production.</li>
<li>This is a similar result as at RCE-3 (24 h flow rate of 968 bbl/d gross/484 bbl/d net).</li>
<li>Serinus Energy (SEN LN): FY22 results – FY22 production was 889 boe/d including 379 boe/d in Romania and 510 boe/d in Tunisia.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production.
This is a similar result as at RCE-3 (24 h flow rate of 968 bbl/d gross/484 bbl/d net).
Serinus Energy (SEN LN): FY22 results – FY22 production was 889 boe/d including 379 boe/d in Romania and 510 boe/d in Tunisia.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).</li><li>The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.</li><li>The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).</li></ul>

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).

<ul>
<li>1H23 production of 6,915 boe/d and net debt of US$16 mm at the end of June had already been reported.</li>
<li>As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d). </li>
<li>The FY23 cash capex guidance has been reduced from ~US$23 mm to US$13.2 mm with no cash capex in Egypt.</li>
</ul>


1H23 production of 6,915 boe/d and net debt of US$16 mm at the end of June had already been reported.
As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d). 
The FY23 cash capex guidance has been reduced from ~US$23 mm to US$13.2 mm with no cash capex in Egypt.


Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

United Kingdom

Pharos Energy is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a portfolio of production, development, and exploration assets. The company primarily operates in Vietnam and Egypt, focusing on delivering sustainable growth and returns. Pharos Energy was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in London, England.

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Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)

Auctus on Friday - 16/06/2023

Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 & 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 26/05/2023

Hartshead Resources (HHR AU)C; target price of A$0.18 per share: On tack for first gas in 2025 – The FDP for Phase I is nearing completion and will...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 24/03/2023

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d).

Auctus Advisors

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