Week Ahead in Global Macro: US Stopgap #5, UST Auctions, RBA, RBNZ, BOE, China Trade, Phils. BSP
Executive summary: Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. Trade ideas: We position for a policy-driven...
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Latin American Currencies on Top
The US dollar has strengthened this year in line with my expectation, but the surprise has been that EM currencies have performed well, led by...
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Indonesian Rupiah Shines in Volatile Times
The Indonesian rupiah has outperformed most other EM currencies but headwinds may be appearing for the currency as the Fed starts raising rates and...
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In the Line of Fire – Impact on Central European Currencies from Russia’s Invasion
Russia's invasion has given another leg up to the US dollar, weighing on EM currencies, particularly in Central Europe despite the steps they have...
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Contagion Risks from Russia to Other EM Currencies
EM currencies have weathered the dollar strengthening well so far, but this may be about to change as their (negative) beta to the dollar has...
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