Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The whitelist lifting means that Japan is now able to export restrict about 1,200 materials/products to Korea. It is expected that Japan will unveil more details of the next measures on Aug 8. Until then, it's only a guessing game. Even after Aug 8, it is very possible that we won't have any clearer visual on the situation. Probably, this is what the Japanese government wants: creating uncertainties one after another. Nonetheless, we are not short of local speculations about which specific products or materials to be export restricted in the next round. Here are the 4 strong candidates being speculated by local media and industry experts.</p><ol>
<li>Silicon wafer</li>
<li>Shadow mask (FMM: fine metal mask)</li>
<li>Image sensor</li>
<li>Li-ion battery separator</li>
</ol>

The whitelist lifting means that Japan is now able to export restrict about 1,200 materials/products to Korea. It is expected that Japan will unveil more details of the next measures on Aug 8. Until then, it's only a guessing game. Even after Aug 8, it is very possible that we won't have any clearer visual on the situation. Probably, this is what the Japanese government wants: creating uncertainties one after another. Nonetheless, we are not short of local speculations about which specific products or materials to be export restricted in the next round. Here are the 4 strong candidates being speculated by local media and industry experts.
Silicon wafer
Shadow mask (FMM: fine metal mask)
Image sensor
Li-ion battery separator


Japan's Second Round of Export Restrictions Against Korea: 4 Candidate Products

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Next rebalance is Dec 12; Simmtech (222800 KS) looks set to replace Philoptics, with a KRW 0.8T market cap gap making it a high-conviction front-runner.</li>
<li>Dongjin Semicam and Daeduck clear market cap but face keyword-score risk; PSK Holdings vs S&amp;S Tech is tight — final screening will decide, so front-running carries caution.</li>
<li>December rebalance AUM doubled; Simmtech and Philoptics could see ~1x DTV passive flows, likely triggering an even stronger passive price impact than last cycle.</li>
</ul>


Next rebalance is Dec 12; Simmtech (222800 KS) looks set to replace Philoptics, with a KRW 0.8T market cap gap making it a high-conviction front-runner.
Dongjin Semicam and Daeduck clear market cap but face keyword-score risk; PSK Holdings vs S&amp;S Tech is tight — final screening will decide, so front-running carries caution.
December rebalance AUM doubled; Simmtech and Philoptics could see ~1x DTV passive flows, likely triggering an even stronger passive price impact than last cycle.


Hunting Trades in Korea Semis Materials & Equip ETF Ahead of the Dec Rebalance

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KRX is set to spotlight Philenergy’s 2023 IPO as the model, pushing spin-off deals to reward parentco holders—like Philoptics’ move to hand out IPO shares.</li>
<li>Philoptics doubled pre-Philenergy IPO on crazy momentum, then round-tripped post-listing. Setups like this hint at bigger parentco moves ahead in future spin-off IPO plays.</li>
<li>SK Enmove IPO is scrapped; but SK Plasma (SK Discovery) still live; LS E-Link (LS Corp) also likely to be an early test case for the new parentco compensation framework.</li>
</ul>


KRX is set to spotlight Philenergy’s 2023 IPO as the model, pushing spin-off deals to reward parentco holders—like Philoptics’ move to hand out IPO shares.
Philoptics doubled pre-Philenergy IPO on crazy momentum, then round-tripped post-listing. Setups like this hint at bigger parentco moves ahead in future spin-off IPO plays.
SK Enmove IPO is scrapped; but SK Plasma (SK Discovery) still live; LS E-Link (LS Corp) also likely to be an early test case for the new parentco compensation framework.


KRX Virtually Locks In Parentco Payout Rules for Spin-Off IPOs

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 9 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> in June. Most of the adds and all of the deletes were forecast.</li>
<li>The index committee have used their discretion and kept <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snh-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12212:1" rel="noopener">Snh Inc (051980 KS)</a> out of the index for yet another rebalance - no reason provided.</li>
<li>There's been little movement in the relative performance of the adds/deletes the last few months. The announcement of the changes could see the stocks move over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) in June. Most of the adds and all of the deletes were forecast.
The index committee have used their discretion and kept Fadu (440110 KS) and Snh Inc (051980 KS) out of the index for yet another rebalance - no reason provided.
There's been little movement in the relative performance of the adds/deletes the last few months. The announcement of the changes could see the stocks move over the next few weeks.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Fadu Ignored Again

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the June rebalance complete, we highlight 11 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.2-7.5 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.2-5.8 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6-7 months with a big move higher in the last month. Trim positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the June rebalance complete, we highlight 11 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.2-7.5 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.2-5.8 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6-7 months with a big move higher in the last month. Trim positions into strength.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Around the Corner

South Korea

Philoptics Co. Ltd. develops laser glass cutting equipments. The Company produces laminator, exposure machine, laser processing machine, and Illumination optical systems.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Philoptics Co Ltd. (161580 KS)

Japan's Second Round of Export Restrictions Against Korea: 4 Candidate Products

The whitelist lifting means that Japan is now able to export restrict about 1,200 materials/products to Korea. It is expected that Japan will...

Sanghyun Park

Hunting Trades in Korea Semis Materials & Equip ETF Ahead of the Dec Rebalance

This post explores potential trade flow and positioning in the Korea Semis Materials & Equipment ETF ahead of the December rebalance.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Virtually Locks In Parentco Payout Rules for Spin-Off IPOs

This post breaks down how KRX has virtually locked in its playbook for rewarding parentco shareholders in spin-off IPOs.

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Fadu Ignored Again

There are 9 changes as Fadu and Joongang AM have been kept out of the index again. Passive impact varies from 0.2-8.6x ADV. Performance has been...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Around the Corner

We highlight 11 potential changes for the index in June. Impact varies from 0.2-7.5x ADV. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)