External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect PICC P&amp;C, the P&amp;C forerunner, to meet both auto and non-auto combined ratio (CoR) guidance of 97%/100%, to land at 96.9%/99.8%, based on our forecast.</li><li>With a benign competitive landscape under tightened regulatory scrutiny and the industry self-discipline convention led by 8 top P&amp;C insurers in Nov 2023, we expect the insurer’s auto expense ratio to drop in 2H23, primarily in 4Q23, to 27.5%, flat vs FY22, whereas the loss ratio to rise to 69.4% (vs 68.1% in FY22), affected by increasing natural catastrophic (NAT CAT) claims in 3Q23.</li><li>In 2024E, we estimate the underwriting profit to rise ~12% YoY, driven by 7% total premium growth and a slight CoR improvement to 98.0% (-0.1pct from FY23E’s 98.1%), thanks to an optimized non-auto structure with risk clearance in some loss-making lines, i.e. liability and commercial property. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect PICC P&amp;C, the P&amp;C forerunner, to meet both auto and non-auto combined ratio (CoR) guidance of 97%/100%, to land at 96.9%/99.8%, based on our forecast.With a benign competitive landscape under tightened regulatory scrutiny and the industry self-discipline convention led by 8 top P&amp;C insurers in Nov 2023, we expect the insurer’s auto expense ratio to drop in 2H23, primarily in 4Q23, to 27.5%, flat vs FY22, whereas the loss ratio to rise to 69.4% (vs 68.1% in FY22), affected by increasing natural catastrophic (NAT CAT) claims in 3Q23.In 2024E, we estimate the underwriting profit to rise ~12% YoY, driven by 7% total premium growth and a slight CoR improvement to 98.0% (-0.1pct from FY23E’s 98.1%), thanks to an optimized non-auto structure with risk clearance in some loss-making lines, i.e. liability and commercial property. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - Expect FY23E CoR Guidance Met

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The NAFR announced Life and P&amp;C premium income of all registered insurers in Sep, showing trends that: 1) the liability side of the sector continued to improve, despite recent regulatory tightening on channels, products and agent behaviour.</li><li>Personal life reversed a negative monthly YoY from -0.2% in 8M23 to +0.9% in 9M23 (Fig 1), and P&amp;C strengthened growth to +5.9% YoY in 9M23 (vs +3.2% YoY in 8M23), driven by an upward auto growth of 6.9% YoY in 9M23; 2) total investment assets expanded to RMB27.2tn in 9M23, up 8.5% from 12M22, with allocation in bonds increased to 44.0% in 9M23 (vs 43.6% in 8M23), and in stocks and equity funds down to 12.8% (-0.1pct from 8M23, Fig 15).</li><li>We believe the upward trend in long-term yields, evidenced by GCNY10 staying above 2.7% since mid Oct (Fig 18), will continue to benefit investment returns and asset performances of the sector, to serve as a shore-up for the sector’s valuation.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The NAFR announced Life and P&amp;C premium income of all registered insurers in Sep, showing trends that: 1) the liability side of the sector continued to improve, despite recent regulatory tightening on channels, products and agent behaviour.Personal life reversed a negative monthly YoY from -0.2% in 8M23 to +0.9% in 9M23 (Fig 1), and P&amp;C strengthened growth to +5.9% YoY in 9M23 (vs +3.2% YoY in 8M23), driven by an upward auto growth of 6.9% YoY in 9M23; 2) total investment assets expanded to RMB27.2tn in 9M23, up 8.5% from 12M22, with allocation in bonds increased to 44.0% in 9M23 (vs 43.6% in 8M23), and in stocks and equity funds down to 12.8% (-0.1pct from 8M23, Fig 15).We believe the upward trend in long-term yields, evidenced by GCNY10 staying above 2.7% since mid Oct (Fig 18), will continue to benefit investment returns and asset performances of the sector, to serve as a shore-up for the sector’s valuation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>PICC P&amp;C delivered 579% YoY growth in underwriting (UW) profit in FY22, translating into RMB2.1bn UW gains in 2H22 vs RMB3.9bn UW losses in 2H21.</li>
<li>The insurer managed to lower its combined ratio (CoR) by 2.0pts YoY to 97.6% from 99.6% in FY21, outperforming the industry average (99.0%) across major peers.</li>
<li>The underwriting (UW) margin continued to improve YoY for the fourth consecutive quarter, leading 2H22 CoR to 99.1% (-2.8pts YoY) and 4Q22 CoR to 100.7% (-0.9pts YoY).</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


PICC P&amp;C delivered 579% YoY growth in underwriting (UW) profit in FY22, translating into RMB2.1bn UW gains in 2H22 vs RMB3.9bn UW losses in 2H21.
The insurer managed to lower its combined ratio (CoR) by 2.0pts YoY to 97.6% from 99.6% in FY21, outperforming the industry average (99.0%) across major peers.
The underwriting (UW) margin continued to improve YoY for the fourth consecutive quarter, leading 2H22 CoR to 99.1% (-2.8pts YoY) and 4Q22 CoR to 100.7% (-0.9pts YoY).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) – Remained UW profitable in 2H22

<ul><li>The 2023 jumpstart performance YTD of Chinese life insurers are divergent according to our channel check.</li><li>While most insurance companies continued suffering from new business declines given the weaker-than-expected pre-sale performance amid COVID outbreaks in Dec 2022, China Life recorded a decent FYP growth thanks to its early launch of pre-sale since Oct 2022.</li><li>We also note that the NBV momentum of CPIC and Ping An elevated substantially since midJan 2023, driven by: 1) enhanced agent productivity on the back of proactive agency reform and 2) consistent strong demands for savings products. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The 2023 jumpstart performance YTD of Chinese life insurers are divergent according to our channel check.While most insurance companies continued suffering from new business declines given the weaker-than-expected pre-sale performance amid COVID outbreaks in Dec 2022, China Life recorded a decent FYP growth thanks to its early launch of pre-sale since Oct 2022.We also note that the NBV momentum of CPIC and Ping An elevated substantially since midJan 2023, driven by: 1) enhanced agent productivity on the back of proactive agency reform and 2) consistent strong demands for savings products. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance – Divergent jumpstart performance among life insurers

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>In 9M22, PICC P&amp;C’s net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB25.9bn, translating to 98% YoY profit growth in the third quarter.</li><li>Underwriting (UW) profit grew 246% YoY in 9M22 (vs +53% YoY in 1H22), as the 3Q22 UW profits turned positive given a QoQ increase of RMB2.85bn compared to a RMB2.2bn respective loss resulted in 3Q21.</li><li>The substantial improvements in UW profits can be credited to a descending combined ratio (-2.4ppt YoY in 9M22, -4.7ppt YoY in 3Q22) and robust premium growth (+10% YoY in 9M22, +11% YoY in 3Q22). </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In 9M22, PICC P&amp;C’s net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB25.9bn, translating to 98% YoY profit growth in the third quarter.Underwriting (UW) profit grew 246% YoY in 9M22 (vs +53% YoY in 1H22), as the 3Q22 UW profits turned positive given a QoQ increase of RMB2.85bn compared to a RMB2.2bn respective loss resulted in 3Q21.The substantial improvements in UW profits can be credited to a descending combined ratio (-2.4ppt YoY in 9M22, -4.7ppt YoY in 3Q22) and robust premium growth (+10% YoY in 9M22, +11% YoY in 3Q22). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) – Continual UW Margin Improvement

China

PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited provides insurance services. The Company provides property loss insurances, liability insurances, credit insurances, accidental injury insurances, short term health insurances, guarantee insurances, and other insurance products. PICC Property and Casualty also operates investment businesses.

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PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK)

PICC P&C (2328 HK) - Expect FY23E CoR Guidance Met

We expect PICC P&C, the P&C forerunner, to meet both auto and non-auto combined ratio (CoR) guidance of 97%/100%, to land at 96.9%/99.8%, based on...

CMB International

China Insurance – 9M23 Monthly

We believe the upward trend in long-term yields, evidenced by GCNY10 staying above 2.7% since mid Oct, will continue to benefit investment returns

CMB International

PICC P&C (2328 HK) – Remained UW profitable in 2H22

PICC P&C delivered 579% YoY growth in underwriting (UW) profit in FY22, translating into RMB2.1bn UW gains in 2H22 vs RMB3.9bn UW losses in 2H21.

CMB International

China Insurance – Divergent jumpstart performance among life insurers

The 2023 jumpstart performance YTD of Chinese life insurers are divergent according to our channel check.While most insurance companies continued...

CMB International

PICC P&C (2328 HK) – Continual UW Margin Improvement

In 9M22, PICC P&C’s net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB25.9bn, translating to 98% YoY profit growth in the third quarter.

CMB International

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