IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hailan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39776:1" rel="noopener">Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yachiyo-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6299:1" rel="noopener">Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP)</a>, Penguin. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  111 Inc (YI US), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP), Penguin. 


Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dali-foods-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1082:1" rel="noopener">Dali Foods Group (3799 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">Nws Holdings (659 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, Yitai Coal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ddh1-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36022:1" rel="noopener">DDH1 (DDH AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Tryt Inc (9164 JP), Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - JSR Corp (4185 JP), Dali Foods Group (3799 HK), Nws Holdings (659 HK), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Yitai Coal, DDH1 (DDH AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> circularity was too complex. Lots of people hated it. It was actually easier than most thought, but optically was difficult to reconcile. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> was a clear buy: there is no justification for assigning a similar discount for cash from the US Coke ops as you would to unlisted ops</li>
<li>A residual <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (9432 JP)</a> individual small-holder shareholding tenure reward does not get split 25:1 when the stock gets split 25:1. It doesn't mean much, but it's an interesting artefact. </li>
</ul>


The Naspers (NPN SJ) / Prosus (PRX NA) circularity was too complex. Lots of people hated it. It was actually easier than most thought, but optically was difficult to reconcile. 

Swire Pacific (19 HK) was a clear buy: there is no justification for assigning a similar discount for cash from the US Coke ops as you would to unlisted ops
A residual NTT (9432 JP) individual small-holder shareholding tenure reward does not get split 25:1 when the stock gets split 25:1. It doesn't mean much, but it's an interesting artefact. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Naspers/Prosus, Swire Pacific, NTT, Aussie Tax-Loss Selling

<ul>
<li>After shares were suspended on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0620/2023062000230.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">20 June</a>, art and culture play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a> has announced a pre-conditional privatisation at HK$8.88 per H-share.</li>
<li>This Offer, from SOE Poly Group, is by way of a Merger by Absorption, which incorporates a Scheme-like vote. There is no tendering condition.
</li>
<li>The premium to last close is 77.6%; and a 112.5% premium to the five-day closing average. </li>
</ul>


After shares were suspended on the 20 June, art and culture play Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK) has announced a pre-conditional privatisation at HK$8.88 per H-share.
This Offer, from SOE Poly Group, is by way of a Merger by Absorption, which incorporates a Scheme-like vote. There is no tendering condition.

The premium to last close is 77.6%; and a 112.5% premium to the five-day closing average. 


Poly Culture (3636 HK)’s Pre-Conditional Merger By Absorption

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Poly Group at HK$8.88 per H Share, a 77.6% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$5.00.</li>
<li>The pre-condition of regulatory approvals is a formality as Poly Group is an SOE. The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% rejection). </li>
<li>The offer price is final. There is no minimum acceptance condition. No independent H Shareholder holds a blocking stake. The offer is attractive, waving the way to success.  </li>
</ul>



Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Poly Group at HK$8.88 per H Share, a 77.6% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$5.00.
The pre-condition of regulatory approvals is a formality as Poly Group is an SOE. The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% rejection). 
The offer price is final. There is no minimum acceptance condition. No independent H Shareholder holds a blocking stake. The offer is attractive, waving the way to success.  


Poly Culture (3636 HK): HK$8.88 Per H Share Privatisation Offer

China

Poly Culture Group operates as a culture and art company in China, primarily engaged in art business and auction, performance and theatre management, and cinema investment and management. Its activities include buying and selling artworks, managing theatres, arranging performances, and operating cinemas. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China.

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Poly Culture Group (POLY HK)

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (38.6%), ENM (11.5%), Chindata (10.5%), Estia (9.2%), Poly Culture (8.2%), Costa (7.9%), Dali (7.8%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, JSR, DDH1/Perenti, Silk Laser) and ECM (Tryt, J&T...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Naspers/Prosus, Swire Pacific, NTT, Aussie Tax-Loss Selling

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Poly Culture (3636 HK)’s Pre-Conditional Merger By Absorption

I'd be buying up to around $8.48 (or better) or a gross/annualised spread of 5%/15%, assuming late-October payment. Trading at HK$8.22 currently -...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (38.6%), ENM (11.5%), Chindata (10.5%), Estia (9.2%), Poly Culture (8.2%), Costa (7.9%), Dali (7.8%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, JSR, DDH1/Perenti, Silk Laser) and ECM (Tryt, J&T...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Naspers/Prosus, Swire Pacific, NTT, Aussie Tax-Loss Selling

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Poly Culture (3636 HK)’s Pre-Conditional Merger By Absorption

I'd be buying up to around $8.48 (or better) or a gross/annualised spread of 5%/15%, assuming late-October payment. Trading at HK$8.22 currently -...

David Blennerhassett

Poly Culture (3636 HK): HK$8.88 Per H Share Privatisation Offer

The offer price is final. There is no minimum acceptance condition. No independent H Shareholder holds a blocking stake. The offer is attractive,...

Arun George