External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Poly Property Services   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The company’s 1H25 net profit was +5.3% YoY (in-line with market expectation of mid-single-digit growth).</li><li>Total revenue grew 6.6% YoY, with resilient basic PM growth (+13.1% YoY) driven by third-party projects and commercial/office projects.</li><li>The company delivered strong third-party expansion growth (annualized contracts +17.2% YoY to RMB 1.4bn), particularly in residential (+32.2% YoY) and commercial/office (+18.7% YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The company’s 1H25 net profit was +5.3% YoY (in-line with market expectation of mid-single-digit growth).Total revenue grew 6.6% YoY, with resilient basic PM growth (+13.1% YoY) driven by third-party projects and commercial/office projects.The company delivered strong third-party expansion growth (annualized contracts +17.2% YoY to RMB 1.4bn), particularly in residential (+32.2% YoY) and commercial/office (+18.7% YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Poly Services (6049 HK) - 1H25 Earnings in Line; No Interim Dividend

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s destocking scheme showed encouraging progress, with Guangzhou announcing to purchase developers’ unsold inventory at cost prices, which could serve as an example for other cities. We think the scheme currently may only benefit SOEs/semi-SOEs as LGFVs may need to divest their financing function at first.</li><li>A number of regions actively implemented mortgage rate related policies after 17 May, and we think there is still room for further adjustment in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen.</li><li>Noticeable recovery on property sales was shown with the daily transaction volume post-517 policy for new/second hand home increasing by 23%/21% compared to pre-517 policy. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s destocking scheme showed encouraging progress, with Guangzhou announcing to purchase developers’ unsold inventory at cost prices, which could serve as an example for other cities. We think the scheme currently may only benefit SOEs/semi-SOEs as LGFVs may need to divest their financing function at first.A number of regions actively implemented mortgage rate related policies after 17 May, and we think there is still room for further adjustment in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen.Noticeable recovery on property sales was shown with the daily transaction volume post-517 policy for new/second hand home increasing by 23%/21% compared to pre-517 policy. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Encouraging Signs on Both Policy Implementation and Property Sales, Reiterate Buy

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. </li>
<li>A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.</li>
<li>Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.</li>
</ul>


Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. 
A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.
Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.


China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 19 September, Boyu completed the auction share transfer to take its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> shareholding to 55.91% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>Pursuant to Rule 26.1 of the Takeovers Code, Boyu is required to make a mandatory unconditional general offer at HK$6.67. The offer should open by 26 September.</li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive, suggesting a low chance of breaching the public float requirements (23.4% of outstanding shares). At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 0.9%/10.0%.</li>
</ul>


On 19 September, Boyu completed the auction share transfer to take its Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) shareholding to 55.91% of outstanding shares.
Pursuant to Rule 26.1 of the Takeovers Code, Boyu is required to make a mandatory unconditional general offer at HK$6.67. The offer should open by 26 September.
The offer price is unattractive, suggesting a low chance of breaching the public float requirements (23.4% of outstanding shares). At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 0.9%/10.0%.


Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu’s Unconditional Offer Set to Open

Evergrande Property Services / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” </li>
<li>The trading halt likely relates to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.</li>
<li>The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande (3333 HK) liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.
The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.


Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

China

Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. provides property services. The Company offers property management, property projects pre-consultation, post-delivery evaluation and analysis, professional equipment and facilities maintenance, housekeeping, and other services. Poly Property Services provides services in China.

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Poly Property Services (6049 HK)

Poly Services (6049 HK) - 1H25 Earnings in Line; No Interim Dividend

The company delivered strong third-party expansion growth (annualized contracts +17.2% YoY to RMB 1.4bn), particularly in residential (+32.2% YoY)...

CMB International

Property - Encouraging Signs on Both Policy Implementation and Property Sales, Reiterate Buy

For stocks, we prefer PM companies like CR MixC, Poly Services, Binjiang Services and Onewo, property agents BEKE, and PJM company Greentown Mgmt.

CMB International

China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a Rmb3.8trn special purpose bond quota suggested government spending will remain important economic driver. More...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu’s Unconditional Offer Set to Open

Boyu’s unconditional offer is open and closes on 17 October. The IFA opines that the HK$6.67 offer is fair and reasonable. The long-term play is...

Arun George

Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services, which could...

Arun George

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