Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Beijing Airport High Tech A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 8 adds and 3 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 456m. There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months, and the announcement of the changes could lead to short-term outperformance.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 8 adds and 3 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 456m. There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months, and the announcement of the changes could lead to short-term outperformance.


CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in June

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this webinar, part of Real Estate Foresight's 12th annual China Property Outlook, we share our views on 2024 for the China housing markets</li>
<li>We explore several themes, incl. the latest Whitelist approvals by local governments and a wave of related announcements</li>
<li>The webinar presentation was recorded on Feb 6, 2024. You can also view <a href="https://vimeo.com/911098574/5874dfd757?share=copy" target="_blank" rel="noopener">this 3-minute version</a> with a few highlights.</li>
</ul>


In this webinar, part of Real Estate Foresight's 12th annual China Property Outlook, we share our views on 2024 for the China housing markets
We explore several themes, incl. the latest Whitelist approvals by local governments and a wave of related announcements
The webinar presentation was recorded on Feb 6, 2024. You can also view this 3-minute version with a few highlights.


Webinar Recording: 12th Annual China Property Outlook by Real Estate Foresight, "The Big Shifts"

Dawning Information Industry C / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 4 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 12 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dawning-information-industry-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25380:1" rel="noopener">Dawning Information Industry C (603019 CH)</a> is a surprise add given the upcoming merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> adds have underperformed the deletes over the last couple of months and there could be outperformance from here as positioning builds ahead of the implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 constituent changes for the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 12 December.

Dawning Information Industry C (603019 CH) is a surprise add given the upcoming merger with Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH). 
The SSE50 Index adds have underperformed the deletes over the last couple of months and there could be outperformance from here as positioning builds ahead of the implementation of the changes.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: 4 Changes a Side & US$2.2bn Trade

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech / Index Rebalance

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there are 6 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone. However, as usual, there will be discretion used.</li>
<li>4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 4%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 17bn (US$2.4bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The index committee has used discretion in selecting the index adds and deletes and that could continue to be the case at this review too.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there are 6 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone. However, as usual, there will be discretion used.
4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 4%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 17bn (US$2.4bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.
The index committee has used discretion in selecting the index adds and deletes and that could continue to be the case at this review too.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on GANFENG LITHIUM, CMB, CSSC, Longi Green, TIANQI LITHIUM, BYD, SIEYUAN ELECTRIC, CHINA SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY, Cssc, Sieyuan Electric, BYD, China Shipbuilding Industry, Cmb, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on GANFENG LITHIUM, CMB, CSSC, Longi Green, TIANQI LITHIUM, BYD, SIEYUAN ELECTRIC, CHINA SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY, Cssc, Sieyuan Electric, BYD, China Shipbuilding Industry, Cmb, Longi Green.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Sep): GANFENG LITHIUM, CMB, Longi Green, TIANQI LITHIUM, BYD

China

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. mainly develops and sells residential homes. The company is also in the business of leasing and rental of real estates, and property management.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

Webinar Recording: 12th Annual China Property Outlook by Real Estate Foresight, "The Big Shifts"

China: As the Two Meetings kick off this week, our China Property Outlook 2024 webinar from February dives deeper into the China housing market,...

Robert Ciemniak

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 4 Changes a Side & US$2.2bn Trade

There are 4 changes for the SSE50 Index in Dec. Dawning is the surprise addition and could move closer to the merger ratio implied price. Estimated...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

There could be 4 changes for the index in Dec. The index committee has used discretion in the past and that is likely to continue. One-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Sep): GANFENG LITHIUM, CMB, Longi Green, TIANQI LITHIUM, BYD

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in GANFENG LITHIUM (002460 CH), CMB (600036 CH), CSSC (600150 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in June

There could be 8 adds and 3 deletes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.2% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY...

Brian Freitas

Webinar Recording: 12th Annual China Property Outlook by Real Estate Foresight, "The Big Shifts"

China: As the Two Meetings kick off this week, our China Property Outlook 2024 webinar from February dives deeper into the China housing market,...

Robert Ciemniak

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 4 Changes a Side & US$2.2bn Trade

There are 4 changes for the SSE50 Index in Dec. Dawning is the surprise addition and could move closer to the merger ratio implied price. Estimated...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

There could be 4 changes for the index in Dec. The index committee has used discretion in the past and that is likely to continue. One-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Sep): GANFENG LITHIUM, CMB, Longi Green, TIANQI LITHIUM, BYD

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in GANFENG LITHIUM (002460 CH), CMB (600036 CH), CSSC (600150 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM