Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 22 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index and 1 change for the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 June.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across both indices is estimated at just over US$2bn and there are 18 stocks that have over 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
<li>A number of the inclusions will have inflows from global and local passive trackers over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


There are 22 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index and 1 change for the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 June.
The round-trip trade across both indices is estimated at just over US$2bn and there are 18 stocks that have over 1x ADV to trade from passives.
A number of the inclusions will have inflows from global and local passive trackers over the next few months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 / Nifty100 LowVol30 Index Rebalance: Over US$2bn to Trade in June

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>While a more cautious outlook is appropriate, as long as $77 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. A move below $77 would start to get very concerning, and would leave $75 and the 200-day MA as last-ditch support. Considering the recent pullback we want to be sticking with areas that have continued to outperform in spite of recent broad market weakness. For that we look to the following leadership Sectors: <strong>Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Manufacturing, Materials, and Transportation</strong></p>

While a more cautious outlook is appropriate, as long as $77 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. A move below $77 would start to get very concerning, and would leave $75 and the 200-day MA as last-ditch support. Considering the recent pullback we want to be sticking with areas that have continued to outperform in spite of recent broad market weakness. For that we look to the following leadership Sectors: Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Manufacturing, Materials, and Transportation

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>We continue to see one change for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 during the September 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>The Vedanta demerger has caused a couple of changes in expectations for NIFTY 100.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
We continue to see one change for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 during the September 2026 index rebal event.
The Vedanta demerger has caused a couple of changes in expectations for NIFTY 100.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep26: Changes to Expectations Caused by Vedanta Spin Offs

<ul>
<li>There could be 22 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 74.6% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 180bn (US$1.9bn).</li>
<li>There is a huge sector mismatch with Industrials and Utilities stocks expected to net gain 4 spots each while Financials are expected to lose 9 index spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 22 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 74.6% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 180bn (US$1.9bn).
There is a huge sector mismatch with Industrials and Utilities stocks expected to net gain 4 spots each while Financials are expected to lose 9 index spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 75% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see one change for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2026 index rebal event.
We see one change for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep26: Many Changes Likely; ~US$950mn Collective One-Way Flows

India

Polycab India Ltd. is India's largest manufacturer of wires and cables, and a prominent player in the Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) industry, offering products such as electric fans, LED lighting, switches, switchgear, and solar products. The company also operates in the Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) sector, specializing in power distribution and rural electrification projects. Polycab India is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was incorporated in 1996.

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Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 / Nifty100 LowVol30 Index Rebalance: Over US$2bn to Trade in June

The deletes have outperformed the adds by 4.7% since the announcement of the changes. The passives trade at the close today and those flows could...

Brian Freitas

Cautiously Optimistic on Global Equities

We are constructive on global equities and would be buyers on a pullback. A move below $77 would start to get very concerning, and would leave $75...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep26: Changes to Expectations Caused by Vedanta Spin Offs

Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) completed its five-way split on 1st May 2026, with the four new entities listing on 15th June 2026. This event has caused...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 75% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 22 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 74.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 180bn (US$1.9bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep26: Many Changes Likely; ~US$950mn Collective One-Way Flows

The NIFTY 50 expected ADD/DEL could trigger US$640mn in one-way flows. There could be more changes for NIFTY 100 which could collectively trigger...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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