Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Promoters of multiple large-cap Indian firms made significant insider purchases in March 2025.</li>
<li>Sectors with notable activity include financials, real estate, and specialty chemicals.</li>
<li>Many of these stocks have already rallied post-purchase, with gains reaching up to 30%.</li>
</ul>


Promoters of multiple large-cap Indian firms made significant insider purchases in March 2025.
Sectors with notable activity include financials, real estate, and specialty chemicals.
Many of these stocks have already rallied post-purchase, with gains reaching up to 30%.


Insider Buying Trends in Indian Equities (Market Cap > USD 1 Billion) – March 2025

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Domestic investors (DIIs, retail, and HNIs) now hold 26.67% of non-promoter shares, narrowing the gap with FIIs, whose stakes have dropped to a 12-year low.</li>
<li>This shift signifies growing domestic confidence and a stabilizing market environment, reducing dependency on volatile FII flows amid global uncertainties.</li>
<li>Movement of the stock prices mostly dependent on FII moves rather than DII or Retail Investors. </li>
</ul>


Domestic investors (DIIs, retail, and HNIs) now hold 26.67% of non-promoter shares, narrowing the gap with FIIs, whose stakes have dropped to a 12-year low.
This shift signifies growing domestic confidence and a stabilizing market environment, reducing dependency on volatile FII flows amid global uncertainties.
Movement of the stock prices mostly dependent on FII moves rather than DII or Retail Investors. 


<ul>
<li>Insider buying activity often signals that a positive shift in the business cycle may be approaching for certain businesses.</li>
<li>We highlight large and liquid companies that experienced significant insider buying during December 2024, as reported on the stock exchanges.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-stainless-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10966:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Stainless (JDSL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poonawalla-fincorp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3449:1" rel="noopener">Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indegene-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36629:1" rel="noopener">Indegene (INDGN IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ncc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11975:1" rel="noopener">NCC Ltd (NJCC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sheela-foam-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28073:1" rel="noopener">Sheela Foam Ltd (SFL IN)</a> have seen good buying by insiders.</li>
</ul>


Insider buying activity often signals that a positive shift in the business cycle may be approaching for certain businesses.
We highlight large and liquid companies that experienced significant insider buying during December 2024, as reported on the stock exchanges.

Jindal Stainless (JDSL IN) , Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN) , Indegene (INDGN IN) , NCC Ltd (NJCC IN) and Sheela Foam Ltd (SFL IN) have seen good buying by insiders.


Oil & Natural Gas Corporation / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. </li>
<li>Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).</li>
<li>Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. 
Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).
Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials


MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

India

Poonawalla Fincorp Limited is a non-banking finance company that provides consumer and MSME financing services in India. The company offers a diversified product suite including personal, business, and asset-backed loans, along with supply chain financing and insurance products. It was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Pune, India.

Price Gauge
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Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)

Insider Buying Trends in Indian Equities (Market Cap > USD 1 Billion) – March 2025

Promoters increased stakes in key large-cap Indian stocks in March'25, signaling strong conviction. Focus on financials, real estate, and chemicals...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

Who Is Moving Indian Markets?

Growing domestic investor confidence is reducing dependency on volatile FII flows, with DIIs now holding 26.67% of non-promoter shares.

Nimish Maheshwari

India: Monthly Insider Buying Update

Insider buying signals positive business cycle shift, highlighting companies like Jindal Stainless, Poonawalla Fincorp, Indegene, NCC Ltd, &...

Sreemant Dudhoria

MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Insider Buying Trends in Indian Equities (Market Cap > USD 1 Billion) – March 2025

Promoters increased stakes in key large-cap Indian stocks in March'25, signaling strong conviction. Focus on financials, real estate, and chemicals...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

Who Is Moving Indian Markets?

​Growing domestic investor confidence is reducing dependency on volatile FII flows, with DIIs now holding 26.67% of non-promoter shares.

Nimish Maheshwari

India: Monthly Insider Buying Update

​Insider buying signals positive business cycle shift, highlighting companies like Jindal Stainless, Poonawalla Fincorp, Indegene, NCC Ltd, &...

Sreemant Dudhoria

MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Growing domestic investor confidence is reducing dependency on volatile FII flows, with DIIs now holding 26.67% of non-promoter shares.

Insider buying signals positive business cycle shift, highlighting companies like Jindal Stainless, Poonawalla Fincorp, Indegene, NCC Ltd, &...