Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case implied market cap of 7.9 trillion won for LG CNS, representing target price of 81,095 won per share.</li>
<li>Therefore, our base case valuation target price of 81,095 won is 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>We estimate LG CNS to generate sales of 5.99 trillion won (up 6.8% YoY) and net profit of 356.1 billion won (up 7.1% YoY) in 2024.</li>
</ul>


According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case implied market cap of 7.9 trillion won for LG CNS, representing target price of 81,095 won per share.
Therefore, our base case valuation target price of 81,095 won is 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
We estimate LG CNS to generate sales of 5.99 trillion won (up 6.8% YoY) and net profit of 356.1 billion won (up 7.1% YoY) in 2024.


<ul>
<li>Eight months after shareholders approved the transfer from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI market, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM (247540 KS)</a> has submitted the application for section transfer to the KRX.</li>
<li>Given historical precedent, the transfer could take place in February. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM</a>'s deletion will mean an inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a> to maintain the number of index constituents at 150.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM (247540 KS)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> leading to passive selling and some short covering. Then will come the inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


Eight months after shareholders approved the transfer from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI market, Ecopro BM (247540 KS) has submitted the application for section transfer to the KRX.
Given historical precedent, the transfer could take place in February. Ecopro BM's deletion will mean an inclusion to the KOSDAQ150 Index to maintain the number of index constituents at 150.

Ecopro BM (247540 KS) will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index leading to passive selling and some short covering. Then will come the inclusion to the KOSPI 200 Index.


Ecopro BM (247540 KS): Index Implications as KOSPI Transfer Nears

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We estimate the short interests to be USD 5.2bn and highlight short interest changes in Hlb (028300 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We estimate the short interests to be USD 5.2bn and highlight short interest changes in Hlb (028300 KS).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 23rd): Hlb

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI, Kia, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Mar 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI, Kia, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 15th): Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI

South Korea

Posco DX Company Ltd. provides information and technology services. The Company provides computer systems design, computer and server merchant wholesale, computer and office machine repair and maintenance services. Posco DX also offers eic engineering, smart factory, wireless networking equipment, steel manufacturing, and digital video recorder manufacturing services.

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Posco DX (022100 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

There could be 37 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 3 MidCap inclusions. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

LG CNS IPO Valuation Analysis

According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case implied market cap of 7.9 trillion won for LG CNS, representing target price of 81,095...

Douglas Kim

Ecopro BM (247540 KS): Index Implications as KOSPI Transfer Nears

EcoproBM's section transfer application is with the KRX; approval could come in Jan/Feb. LS Marine could be added to the KOSDAQ150 Index while...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 23rd): Hlb

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week. We estimate the short interests to be USD 5.2bn and highlighted short interest changes in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 15th): Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic, Samsung SDI

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Posco Dx, Kum Yang, Samsung Biologic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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