Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Korea’s impeachment drama hit a tipping point, with the second motion against Yoon set for a vote on the 14th, and the market pricing in a 100% chance of approval.</li>
<li>The market’s all-in on a Democratic Party win in May, as public sentiment against the president makes the ruling party’s chances virtually non-existent.</li>
<li>Target stocks impacted by corporate law changes, then focus on sector-specific plays, particularly the energy policy shift and growing support for virtual assets.</li>
</ul>


Korea’s impeachment drama hit a tipping point, with the second motion against Yoon set for a vote on the 14th, and the market pricing in a 100% chance of approval.
The market’s all-in on a Democratic Party win in May, as public sentiment against the president makes the ruling party’s chances virtually non-existent.
Target stocks impacted by corporate law changes, then focus on sector-specific plays, particularly the energy policy shift and growing support for virtual assets.


Yoon’s Impeachment a Lock, Regime Change Trade Set for May

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS), Posco (004590 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 22nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS), Posco (004590 KS).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Hanwha Aerospace, Posco

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility .</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility .


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 15th): Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A Democratic Party insider noted some proposals need legal tweaks, so the December 10 deadline may slip, but they’re set on passing the expanded director loyalty duty.</li>
<li>FKI analyzed top conglomerates’ shareholder structures and found four of the top 10 facing substantial risks.</li>
<li>We need more clarity before jumping in, but with MBK driving Korea's hostile M&amp;A scene and the Commercial Act amendments, local chaebols facing control battles are a key KOSPI theme.</li>
</ul>


A Democratic Party insider noted some proposals need legal tweaks, so the December 10 deadline may slip, but they’re set on passing the expanded director loyalty duty.
FKI analyzed top conglomerates’ shareholder structures and found four of the top 10 facing substantial risks.
We need more clarity before jumping in, but with MBK driving Korea's hostile M&amp;A scene and the Commercial Act amendments, local chaebols facing control battles are a key KOSPI theme.


Korea Pushes to Expand Director’s Duty of Loyalty: Focus on Hostile Takeover-Risk Conglomerates

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.</li>
<li>Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF</li>
<li>Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.</li>
</ul>


As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.
Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF
Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.


EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

South Korea

POSCO manufactures various types of steel products.  The Company produces hot rolled steel, cold rolled steel, stainless steel, and other forms of steel. The products are mainly used for automobile, construction, and shipbuilding industries.

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Posco ADR (PKX US)

Yoon’s Impeachment a Lock, Regime Change Trade Set for May

Yoon’s impeachment is pretty much a lock, with the market pricing in a 100% chance. We should get ready for theme trading plays aiming at the...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Hanwha Aerospace, Posco

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanwha Aerospace, Posco.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 15th): Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Korzinc, Posco, Alteogen, Doosan Enerbility.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Pushes to Expand Director’s Duty of Loyalty: Focus on Hostile Takeover-Risk Conglomerates

Korea’s majority party is doubling down on expanding the director’s duty of loyalty to include shareholders. This post spotlights on major chaebols...

Sanghyun Park

EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

India becomes key underweight among active Emerging Market Ex-China funds. Argentina, Mexico and Developed Markets strategic overweights.

Steven Holden

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