Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>POSCO's 2 July Investor Day formalised a 35–40% payout policy funded by subsidiary monetisation, targeting PBR 1.0×+α by 2028 — a management-driven re-rating case, not analyst speculation.</li>
<li>Lithium is now a genuine second earnings engine: Q1 FY26 EBIT beat consensus by 20.3%, with capacity guided to 173ktpa by 2033 and top-5 global supplier ambition.</li>
<li>BUY, TP W480,000 (+52%). Stock trades 35% below its April high at 0.40× book — entry into a name where capital allocation, not commodity price, now drives re-rating.</li>
</ul>


POSCO's 2 July Investor Day formalised a 35–40% payout policy funded by subsidiary monetisation, targeting PBR 1.0×+α by 2028 — a management-driven re-rating case, not analyst speculation.
Lithium is now a genuine second earnings engine: Q1 FY26 EBIT beat consensus by 20.3%, with capacity guided to 173ktpa by 2033 and top-5 global supplier ambition.
BUY, TP W480,000 (+52%). Stock trades 35% below its April high at 0.40× book — entry into a name where capital allocation, not commodity price, now drives re-rating.


POSCO Holdings (005490 KS) — Holdco Discount Unlock: PBR Re-Rating Meets A Second Earnings Engine

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>We highlight a  commodity sector with  a strong risk-reward ratio</li>
<li>Precious metals have likely just completed Wave B of their correction</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
We highlight a  commodity sector with  a strong risk-reward ratio
Precious metals have likely just completed Wave B of their correction


Overview #41 – Securing Supply, Unlocking Value: Global Themes in Equities and Commodities

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange plans to announce the first rebalance of the "Korea Value Up Index" next week on 27 May. The actual rebalance is expected to take place on 13 June.</li>
<li>Korea Exchange plans to reduce the constituents to 100 (from 105 currently) and change 30% of the included stocks in this index to better reflect the Value Up program incentives. </li>
<li>In this insight, we provide a list of 20 potential exclusion candidates and 20 inclusion candidates in the Value Up index rebalance. </li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange plans to announce the first rebalance of the "Korea Value Up Index" next week on 27 May. The actual rebalance is expected to take place on 13 June.
Korea Exchange plans to reduce the constituents to 100 (from 105 currently) and change 30% of the included stocks in this index to better reflect the Value Up program incentives. 
In this insight, we provide a list of 20 potential exclusion candidates and 20 inclusion candidates in the Value Up index rebalance. 


Korea Value Up Index Rebalance Announcement Next Week

<ul>
<li>There are some major surprises (both inclusions and exclusions) in the Korea Value Up index. </li>
<li>In particular, the telecom sector (SK Telecom and KT) and large cap holding companies (Samsung C&amp;T and LG Corp) are surprising exclusions in the index.</li>
<li>There are many surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies are surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index (19 KOSDAQ and 11 KOSPI listed).</li>
</ul>


There are some major surprises (both inclusions and exclusions) in the Korea Value Up index. 
In particular, the telecom sector (SK Telecom and KT) and large cap holding companies (Samsung C&amp;T and LG Corp) are surprising exclusions in the index.
There are many surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies are surprising inclusions in the Korea Value Up Index (19 KOSDAQ and 11 KOSPI listed).


Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The memory giants, Samsung and SK Hynix, have driven the Korean collapse, as AI anxiety and competition concern takes hold. However, there's more to Korea than memory and AI capex.</li>
<li>Throughout last month's carnage, Korean earnings estimates continued to be upgraded - not only in tech but also in financials, retail, basic materials, energy and industrial services.</li>
<li>Based on strong growth, attractive valuations, healthy balance-sheets, robust earnings upgrades, we highlight 15 non-tech Korean companies. Companies from industrials, select household products, basic materials have the strongest growth forecasts.</li>
</ul>


The memory giants, Samsung and SK Hynix, have driven the Korean collapse, as AI anxiety and competition concern takes hold. However, there's more to Korea than memory and AI capex.
Throughout last month's carnage, Korean earnings estimates continued to be upgraded - not only in tech but also in financials, retail, basic materials, energy and industrial services.
Based on strong growth, attractive valuations, healthy balance-sheets, robust earnings upgrades, we highlight 15 non-tech Korean companies. Companies from industrials, select household products, basic materials have the strongest growth forecasts.


Asian Equities: Korea - If Not Memory, Then What?

South Korea

POSCO manufactures various types of steel products.  The Company produces hot rolled steel, cold rolled steel, stainless steel, and other forms of steel. The products are mainly used for automobile, construction, and shipbuilding industries.

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Posco ADR (PKX US)

POSCO Holdings (005490 KS) — Holdco Discount Unlock: PBR Re-Rating Meets A Second Earnings Engine

July Investor Day unlocks holdco discount via 35–40% payout policy + PBR 1.0×+α target. Lithium is a real second earnings engine. Trades 0.49×...

Mo Aziz

Overview #41 – Securing Supply, Unlocking Value: Global Themes in Equities and Commodities

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Lithium, Japan, precious Metals and the Oil and Gas sector

Rikki Malik

Korea Value Up Index Rebalance Announcement Next Week

Korea Exchange plans to announce the first rebalance of the "Korea Value Up Index" next week on 27 May. The actual rebalance is expected to take...

Douglas Kim

Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

There are many surprising inclusions and exclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies that are surprising inclusions and 10...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: Korea - If Not Memory, Then What?

KR memory giants have driven equity crash, but many non-tech firms show strong growth, cheap valuation, healthy balance sheets & EPS upgrades. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

POSCO Holdings (005490 KS) — Holdco Discount Unlock: PBR Re-Rating Meets A Second Earnings Engine

July Investor Day unlocks holdco discount via 35–40% payout policy + PBR 1.0×+α target. Lithium is a real second earnings engine. Trades 0.49×...

Mo Aziz

Overview #41 – Securing Supply, Unlocking Value: Global Themes in Equities and Commodities

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Lithium, Japan, precious Metals and the Oil and Gas sector

Rikki Malik

Korea Value Up Index Rebalance Announcement Next Week

Korea Exchange plans to announce the first rebalance of the "Korea Value Up Index" next week on 27 May. The actual rebalance is expected to take...

Douglas Kim

Korea Value Up Index - Surprising Inclusions and Exclusions

There are many surprising inclusions and exclusions in the Korea Value Up Index. We provide 30 companies that are surprising inclusions and 10...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: Korea - If Not Memory, Then What?

​KR memory giants have driven equity crash, but many non-tech firms show strong growth, cheap valuation, healthy balance sheets & EPS upgrades. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

KR memory giants have driven equity crash, but many non-tech firms show strong growth, cheap valuation, healthy balance sheets & EPS upgrades. We...