Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD483.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,135mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 14th which has an aggregated holding worth USD483.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,135mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 14th): Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

Posco International Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)

<ul>
<li>Posco International Corporation (047050 KS) and SeAH Steel Holdings (003030 KS) are two key beneficiaries of the Trump administration's efforts to significantly increase the Alaskan gas fields.</li>
<li>The initial estimated cost of this massive project is about $44 billion for the pipeline and related infrastructure.</li>
<li>Despite recent rallies, the valuations of POSCO International and Seah Steel Holdings remain attractive. </li>
</ul>


Posco International Corporation (047050 KS) and SeAH Steel Holdings (003030 KS) are two key beneficiaries of the Trump administration's efforts to significantly increase the Alaskan gas fields.
The initial estimated cost of this massive project is about $44 billion for the pipeline and related infrastructure.
Despite recent rallies, the valuations of POSCO International and Seah Steel Holdings remain attractive. 


POSCO Int & Seah Steel Holdings: Key Beneficiaries of Trump's Plan to Develop Alaskan Gas Fields

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>POSCO Holdings and Samsung SDI stand out for shorting, as both were hit hard by the EV battery chasm. With June rebal looming, they’re likely getting the boot.</li>
<li>Samsung Biologics and Hanwha Aerospace could replace them, with a large float cap gap and strong price momentum, making it unlikely for the gap to flip by May.</li>
<li>As June rebalancing nears, volume could drop, increasing passive impact. With shorting back, passive flow intensity may rise, leading to significant price action.</li>
</ul>


POSCO Holdings and Samsung SDI stand out for shorting, as both were hit hard by the EV battery chasm. With June rebal looming, they’re likely getting the boot.
Samsung Biologics and Hanwha Aerospace could replace them, with a large float cap gap and strong price momentum, making it unlikely for the gap to flip by May.
As June rebalancing nears, volume could drop, increasing passive impact. With shorting back, passive flow intensity may rise, leading to significant price action.


Post-Ban Short Play Idea: TIGER Top 10 ETF Rebal in June

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.</li>
<li>We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legochem-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19803:1" rel="noopener">Legochem Biosciences</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.
We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.
The largest flows will be in Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, POSCO Holdings, Alteogen, Naver Corp, Legochem Biosciences, Netmarble and Celltrion Inc.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Biologics (207940 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Biologics (207940 KS).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 3rd): Samsung Biologics

South Korea

POSCO manufactures various types of steel products.  The Company produces hot rolled steel, cold rolled steel, stainless steel, and other forms of steel. The products are mainly used for automobile, construction, and shipbuilding industries.

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Posco ADR (PKX US)

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 14th): Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hanwha Aerospace, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

POSCO Int & Seah Steel Holdings: Key Beneficiaries of Trump's Plan to Develop Alaskan Gas Fields

Posco International Corporation (047050 KS) and SeAH Steel Holdings (003030 KS) are two key beneficiaries of the Trump administration's efforts to...

Douglas Kim

Post-Ban Short Play Idea: TIGER Top 10 ETF Rebal in June

This post presents a trading idea targeting the resumption of short selling that's largely off the radar: TIGER Top 10 ETF rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

Indications are for a smaller rebalance than usual as index performance suffers and AUM continues to shrink. There are some constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 3rd): Samsung Biologics

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Biologics(207940 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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