External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.</li><li>Apart from its products, we like the Company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.</li><li>We project Li Auto’s 2Q23E revenue to more than triple YoY to RMB 27.9bn, as its sales volume beat guidance.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.Apart from its products, we like the Company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.We project Li Auto’s 2Q23E revenue to more than triple YoY to RMB 27.9bn, as its sales volume beat guidance.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (July Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

<ul><li>We untangle the “household excess saving” enigma.</li><li>Instead of a silver bullet, we consider it a status-quo in which consumers are confident enough to spend (or invest) beyond their pre-pandemic budgets by tapping into their savings accumulated during the pandemic, after they first normalize their spending to prepandemic level.</li><li>In other words, we believe the use of “excess saving” would predominantly kick-in upon a full-fledged consumption recovery. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We untangle the “household excess saving” enigma.Instead of a silver bullet, we consider it a status-quo in which consumers are confident enough to spend (or invest) beyond their pre-pandemic budgets by tapping into their savings accumulated during the pandemic, after they first normalize their spending to prepandemic level.In other words, we believe the use of “excess saving” would predominantly kick-in upon a full-fledged consumption recovery. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – From Reopening to Recovery

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Prada delivered an exceptional 1H performance with 17.4% reported sales growth.</li><li>Upon its forthcoming 3Q data release, we project revenue growth will start to normalise towards mid-single-digit, and this should not come in as a total surprise to the market, in our view, considering the well-communicated management guidance given at the beginning of the year.</li><li>By region, we caveat that sales in Europe will likely face the toughest comp among all, when the return of tourist traffic to Western Europe drove the region’s sales growth to 30%+ in 3Q22. Asia would likely face similar headwind owing to Shanghai’s reopening in the same quarter last year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prada delivered an exceptional 1H performance with 17.4% reported sales growth.Upon its forthcoming 3Q data release, we project revenue growth will start to normalise towards mid-single-digit, and this should not come in as a total surprise to the market, in our view, considering the well-communicated management guidance given at the beginning of the year.By region, we caveat that sales in Europe will likely face the toughest comp among all, when the return of tourist traffic to Western Europe drove the region’s sales growth to 30%+ in 3Q22. Asia would likely face similar headwind owing to Shanghai’s reopening in the same quarter last year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prada SpA (1913 HK) – 3Q Preview: Embracing a Normalised Quarter

<ul><li>1H Group sales growth of 20.5% cFX slightly disappointed, considering 22.2% YoY growth in 1Q, when retail sales growth descended QoQ from 21.1% in 1Q to 14.7% in 2Q.</li><li>Growth in Miu Miu remained eye-catching, with net sales in 2Q further accelerating at 57.3% YoY from 41.9% YoY in 1Q, thanks to the brand’s higher exposure in China and Asia. By region, Japan was the best performing region and grew 49.2% YoY, benefitting from a refreshed retail network and elevating inbound tourist flow.</li><li>Growth in APAC was 25.3% YoY and that of Europe was 24.2% YoY. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H Group sales growth of 20.5% cFX slightly disappointed, considering 22.2% YoY growth in 1Q, when retail sales growth descended QoQ from 21.1% in 1Q to 14.7% in 2Q.Growth in Miu Miu remained eye-catching, with net sales in 2Q further accelerating at 57.3% YoY from 41.9% YoY in 1Q, thanks to the brand’s higher exposure in China and Asia. By region, Japan was the best performing region and grew 49.2% YoY, benefitting from a refreshed retail network and elevating inbound tourist flow.Growth in APAC was 25.3% YoY and that of Europe was 24.2% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prada SpA (1913 HK) – A Decent 1H, Though Not a Straight Beat

<ul><li>Subsequent to top management rotations in the last three years, which included personnel changes in the creative team (2020), Head of Miu Miu (2020), Head of Fine Jewelry (2021), a new CFO (2022) and lastly a new Prada brand/ Prada Group CEO (2023), Prada is back to shape and has made every right decision to fuel a neat business turnaround.</li><li>The refocusing of retail business, termination of in-store discount, and increasing efficiency of marketing campaigns etc., in our view, have begun to manifest into strong financial metrics with 4Q22 probably just being one of the milestones of this upcycle.</li><li>Prada’s re-rating has yet to be over. Comparing to its soft luxury peers, Prada’s sales is just 10% of LVMH and approximately &lt;50% of Hermes and Gucci etc. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Subsequent to top management rotations in the last three years, which included personnel changes in the creative team (2020), Head of Miu Miu (2020), Head of Fine Jewelry (2021), a new CFO (2022) and lastly a new Prada brand/ Prada Group CEO (2023), Prada is back to shape and has made every right decision to fuel a neat business turnaround.The refocusing of retail business, termination of in-store discount, and increasing efficiency of marketing campaigns etc., in our view, have begun to manifest into strong financial metrics with 4Q22 probably just being one of the milestones of this upcycle.Prada’s re-rating has yet to be over. Comparing to its soft luxury peers, Prada’s sales is just 10% of LVMH and approximately &lt;50% of Hermes and Gucci etc. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prada SpA (1913 HK) – Re-Rating Is Not over when Prada Remains Hugely Sub-Scale to Its Global Peers

Italy

Prada designs, manufactures, and distributes luxury goods, including leather goods, footwear, ready-to-wear apparel, and accessories under brands like Prada, Miu Miu, Church's, Car Shoe, and Marchesi 1824. The company also operates in the eyewear and fragrance sectors through licensing agreements. Prada S.p.A. was founded in 1913 in Milan, Italy.

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Prada (1913 HK)

CMBI Research Focus List (July Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of...

CMB International

China Consumer – From Reopening to Recovery

In other words, we believe the use of “excess saving” would predominantly kick-in upon a full-fledged consumption recovery.

CMB International

Prada SpA (1913 HK) – 3Q Preview: Embracing a Normalised Quarter

Upon its forthcoming 3Q data release, we project revenue growth will start to normalise towards mid-single-digit, and this should not come in as a...

CMB International

Prada SpA (1913 HK) – A Decent 1H, Though Not a Straight Beat

1H Group sales growth of 20.5% cFX slightly disappointed, considering 22.2% YoY growth in 1Q, when retail sales growth descended QoQ from 21.1% in...

CMB International

Prada SpA (1913 HK) – Re-Rating Is Not over when Prada Remains Hugely Sub-Scale to Its Global Peers

Prada’s re-rating has yet to be over. Comparing to its soft luxury peers, Prada’s sales is just 10% of LVMH and approximately <50% of Hermes and...

CMB International

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