Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.</li>
<li>As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.</li>
<li>Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples</li>
</ul>


Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.
As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.
Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-one-financial-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:255:1" rel="noopener">Capital One Financial (COF US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/under-armour-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11401:1" rel="noopener">Under Armour (UAA US)</a> </li>
<li>For the thirteen weeks since inception ended 17 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA +0.2%, S&amp;P500 +2.9%, Nasdaq +5.8%, Russell2000 +5.2%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.3%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>This week the large-cap portfolio underperformed on a mini <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> sell-off while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10x-genomics-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35564:1" rel="noopener">10X Genomics (TXG US)</a> was strong in the small caps group. </li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Nike (NKE US) , Capital One Financial (COF US) and Under Armour (UAA US) 
For the thirteen weeks since inception ended 17 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA +0.2%, S&amp;P500 +2.9%, Nasdaq +5.8%, Russell2000 +5.2%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.3%, all in US$ terms
This week the large-cap portfolio underperformed on a mini Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) sell-off while 10X Genomics (TXG US) was strong in the small caps group. 


The Innovations Portfolio - Week Thirteen

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-oreal-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21521:1" rel="noopener">L'Oreal SA (OR FP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electricite-de-france-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21441:1" rel="noopener">Electricite De France Sa (EDF FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10x-genomics-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35564:1" rel="noopener">10X Genomics (TXG US)</a> </li>
<li>For the twelve weeks since inception ended 10 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +3.3%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.2%, Nasdaq +5.1%, Russell2000 +3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.4%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>Researchers from The University of Queensland found the lion's mane mushroom had a significant impact on the growth of brain cells and improving memory</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are L'Oreal SA (OR FP) , Electricite De France Sa (EDF FP) and 10X Genomics (TXG US) 
For the twelve weeks since inception ended 10 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +3.3%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +3.2%, Nasdaq +5.1%, Russell2000 +3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +4.4%, all in US$ terms
Researchers from The University of Queensland found the lion's mane mushroom had a significant impact on the growth of brain cells and improving memory


<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermo-fisher-scientific-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7375:1" rel="noopener">Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ford-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19225:1" rel="noopener">Ford Motor Co (F US) </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sonoco-products-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15651:1" rel="noopener">Sonoco Products Co (SON US)</a> </li>
<li>For the eleven weeks since inception ended 3 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +4.6%, versus DJIA +.5%, S&amp;P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +7.7%, Russell2000 +7.3%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +5.7%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>Ironically or aptly it was at "China Lake" in California that the infrared technology in the AIM-9X Sidewinder missile that brought down the "spy/weather" balloon was developed.</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US), Ford Motor Co (F US) and Sonoco Products Co (SON US) 
For the eleven weeks since inception ended 3 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +4.6%, versus DJIA +.5%, S&amp;P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +7.7%, Russell2000 +7.3%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +5.7%, all in US$ terms
Ironically or aptly it was at "China Lake" in California that the infrared technology in the AIM-9X Sidewinder missile that brought down the "spy/weather" balloon was developed.


<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roche-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:976:1" rel="noopener">Roche Holding Ltd (ROG VX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-healthineers-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29221:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-ink-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17793:1" rel="noopener">E Ink Holdings (8069 TT)</a> </li>
<li>For the ten weeks since inception ended 27 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +4.0%, versus DJIA +.7%, S&amp;P500 +2.7%, Nasdaq +4.3%, Russell2000 +3.3%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +5.1%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>For the first time in decades IBM lost its top position in patent registrations in US. IBM’s patent count declined 44% to 4,743 patents in 2022, versus Samsung Electronics' 8,513</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Roche Holding Ltd (ROG VX) , Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR) and E Ink Holdings (8069 TT) 
For the ten weeks since inception ended 27 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +4.0%, versus DJIA +.7%, S&amp;P500 +2.7%, Nasdaq +4.3%, Russell2000 +3.3%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +5.1%, all in US$ terms
For the first time in decades IBM lost its top position in patent registrations in US. IBM’s patent count declined 44% to 4,743 patents in 2022, versus Samsung Electronics' 8,513


United States

The Procter & Gamble Company manufactures and markets consumer products in countries throughout the world. The Company provides products in the laundry and cleaning, paper, beauty care, food and beverage, and health care segments. Procter & Gamble products are sold primarily through mass merchandisers, grocery stores, membership club stores, drug stores, and neighborhood stores.

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Procter & Gamble Co (PG US)

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Last week (3/21) we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the $SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted...

Vermilion Research

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Thirteen

For the thirteen weeks since inception ended 17 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +2.4%, versus DJIA +0.2%, S&P500 +2.9%, Nasdaq +5.8%,...

Pyari Menon

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Twelve

For the twelve weeks since inception ended 10 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +3.3%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&P500 +3.2%, Nasdaq +5.1%,...

Pyari Menon

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Eleven

For the eleven weeks since inception ended 3 Feb the combined innovation portfolio was +4.6%, versus DJIA +.5%, S&P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +7.7%,...

Pyari Menon

The Innovations Portfolio - Week Ten

For the ten weeks since inception ended 27 Jan the combined innovation portfolio was +4.0%, versus DJIA +.7%, S&P500 +2.7%, Nasdaq +4.3%,...

Pyari Menon

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