Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Given Pru's demerger in 2021, it now offers investors a good alternative to AIA to tap into the development and the growth potential of the life insurance sector in Pan-Asia.</li>
<li>AIA has a more balanced business across so many markets in APAC, while Pru skews toward Southeast Asia.</li>
<li>Pru's P/BV is currently at a 30% discount to AIA's and is trading at the same level as the year-end when China just announced the re-opening of its borders.</li>
</ul>


Given Pru's demerger in 2021, it now offers investors a good alternative to AIA to tap into the development and the growth potential of the life insurance sector in Pan-Asia.
AIA has a more balanced business across so many markets in APAC, while Pru skews toward Southeast Asia.
Pru's P/BV is currently at a 30% discount to AIA's and is trading at the same level as the year-end when China just announced the re-opening of its borders.


APAC Insurers Series (#2): AIA or Prudential?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Prudential unveiled the long-awaited capital management update of US$2.0bn share buyback plan which will be completed no later than mid-2026, in addition to the annual dividend growth of 7%-9% in FY24E, as announced at year start.</li><li>The first tranche of US$700mn buyback will operate from 24 Jun 2024 to no later than 27 Dec 2024 throughout 2H24.</li><li>Under our estimates, this would reduce the company’s ordinary shares by c.78mn in FY24E, and c.224mn in total to 2,530mn shares outstanding by mid-2026, not taking into account of other buybacks, if any, relevant to employee and agent share schemes and/or scrip dividends in future. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Prudential unveiled the long-awaited capital management update of US$2.0bn share buyback plan which will be completed no later than mid-2026, in addition to the annual dividend growth of 7%-9% in FY24E, as announced at year start.The first tranche of US$700mn buyback will operate from 24 Jun 2024 to no later than 27 Dec 2024 throughout 2H24.Under our estimates, this would reduce the company’s ordinary shares by c.78mn in FY24E, and c.224mn in total to 2,530mn shares outstanding by mid-2026, not taking into account of other buybacks, if any, relevant to employee and agent share schemes and/or scrip dividends in future. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential Plc. (2378 HK) - US$2bn Share Buybacks Brace for Sustainable Shareholders Return

<ul>
<li>Pru is currently trading below its embedded value, with the valuation assigning a negative value for the group’s new business profits.</li>
<li>Given its quality franchise across all key markets in Asia and continued strong new business recovery (to pre-Covid levels), this doesn’t seem to make sense at all.</li>
<li>We would continue underwriting the investment case of Pru in the coming year, with the stock offering significant upside potential. </li>
</ul>


Pru is currently trading below its embedded value, with the valuation assigning a negative value for the group’s new business profits.
Given its quality franchise across all key markets in Asia and continued strong new business recovery (to pre-Covid levels), this doesn’t seem to make sense at all.
We would continue underwriting the investment case of Pru in the coming year, with the stock offering significant upside potential. 


2024 High Conviction: Underwriting Prudential’s Investment Case into 2024

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a> raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.</li>
<li>We have looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. 
Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
We have looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Trading - KDIC Stake Overhang Remains, Yield Might Help

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a> is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and share our updated thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. 
Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and share our updated thoughts on valuation.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Weaker Performance than Expected

Hong Kong

Prudential Public Limited Company provides long term savings and protection products. The Company offers life and health insurance for long term business including asset management services. Prudential serves customers in Asia and Africa.

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Prudential (2378 HK)

APAC Insurers Series (#2): AIA or Prudential?

Pru’s recent correction offers investors an opportune window to buy into its premium franchise (vs. AIA), although both stocks provide investors...

Alec Tseung

2024 High Conviction: Underwriting Prudential’s Investment Case into 2024

We continue underwriting Pru’s investment case into 2024, with the market now assigning a negative new business multiple. Any modest improvement in...

Alec Tseung

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO Trading - KDIC Stake Overhang Remains, Yield Might Help

Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) raised around US$125m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dymanics.

Sumeet Singh

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Weaker Performance than Expected

Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and...

Clarence Chu

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