Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>PICC P&amp;C's thesis has materialized and played out well this year, with the stock being HK's best-performing Chinese insurer.</li>
<li>Samsung Life's share price recovered slightly since our last update as LT Korean government bond yields further increased.</li>
<li>Prudential's thesis is slowly being played out, with its P/BV discount to AIA having narrowed; but still a long way to go. </li>
</ul>


PICC P&amp;C's thesis has materialized and played out well this year, with the stock being HK's best-performing Chinese insurer.
Samsung Life's share price recovered slightly since our last update as LT Korean government bond yields further increased.
Prudential's thesis is slowly being played out, with its P/BV discount to AIA having narrowed; but still a long way to go. 


APAC Insurers Series (#3): Initial Theses At Different Stages of Being Played Out

<ul>
<li>Given Pru's demerger in 2021, it now offers investors a good alternative to AIA to tap into the development and the growth potential of the life insurance sector in Pan-Asia.</li>
<li>AIA has a more balanced business across so many markets in APAC, while Pru skews toward Southeast Asia.</li>
<li>Pru's P/BV is currently at a 30% discount to AIA's and is trading at the same level as the year-end when China just announced the re-opening of its borders.</li>
</ul>


Given Pru's demerger in 2021, it now offers investors a good alternative to AIA to tap into the development and the growth potential of the life insurance sector in Pan-Asia.
AIA has a more balanced business across so many markets in APAC, while Pru skews toward Southeast Asia.
Pru's P/BV is currently at a 30% discount to AIA's and is trading at the same level as the year-end when China just announced the re-opening of its borders.


APAC Insurers Series (#2): AIA or Prudential?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

<ul><li>Prudential PLC reported 30%/26% YoY growth of NBP (new business profit) in 1Q23 on constant/actual FX (CER/AER) basis, driven by 35%/29% YoY growth of APE (annualized premium equivalent).</li><li>If excluded the effect of economic assumption changes (i.e. interest rates movement), 1Q23 NBP growth would reach 43%/39% YoY on CER/AER basis. In terms of geographic breakdowns, the insurer recorded double-digit NBP growth across 10 markets in Asia, incl. HK/China, Thailand and the Philippines.</li><li>Looking forward, we expect strong new business momentum to sustain into 2023, given that: 1) MCV (mainland visitors) business in HK continued to drive growth since China’s reopening in Feb 2023, which will enhance the uptick throughout 2Q-4Q23 sequentially in our view; 2) recovery of demands for life insurance in mainland China boosted value creation of local agency; and 3) rebound in ASEAN markets as their local economy recovered post pandemic. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential PLC reported 30%/26% YoY growth of NBP (new business profit) in 1Q23 on constant/actual FX (CER/AER) basis, driven by 35%/29% YoY growth of APE (annualized premium equivalent).If excluded the effect of economic assumption changes (i.e. interest rates movement), 1Q23 NBP growth would reach 43%/39% YoY on CER/AER basis. In terms of geographic breakdowns, the insurer recorded double-digit NBP growth across 10 markets in Asia, incl. HK/China, Thailand and the Philippines.Looking forward, we expect strong new business momentum to sustain into 2023, given that: 1) MCV (mainland visitors) business in HK continued to drive growth since China’s reopening in Feb 2023, which will enhance the uptick throughout 2Q-4Q23 sequentially in our view; 2) recovery of demands for life insurance in mainland China boosted value creation of local agency; and 3) rebound in ASEAN markets as their local economy recovered post pandemic. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential PLC (2378 HK) – HK NBP more than doubled in 1Q23

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>This is our first report on Prudential, a major provider of life and health insurance.</li><li>Prudential had a very strong quarter with 19% sales growth.</li><li>Despite slower revenue recognition in the life insurance market, the company has been witnessing strong cash flows and returned over $800 million to shareholders in the latest quarter.</li></ul>

This is our first report on Prudential, a major provider of life and health insurance.Prudential had a very strong quarter with 19% sales growth.Despite slower revenue recognition in the life insurance market, the company has been witnessing strong cash flows and returned over $800 million to shareholders in the latest quarter.

Prudential PLC: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion In Emerging Markets & Other Drivers

<ul><li>Prudential plc reported in line results for FY22, with NBP excl. HK up 5% YoY on constant exchange rates (CER) basis.</li><li>The group NBP declined 11% on CER basis in FY22, mainly dragged by interest rate assumption changes.</li><li>Excluding the impact of negative economic assumption changes, the insurer’s group NBP decreased 4% YoY in FY22.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential plc reported in line results for FY22, with NBP excl. HK up 5% YoY on constant exchange rates (CER) basis.The group NBP declined 11% on CER basis in FY22, mainly dragged by interest rate assumption changes.Excluding the impact of negative economic assumption changes, the insurer’s group NBP decreased 4% YoY in FY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential Plc. (2378 HK) – 15% APE Growth in 2M23

Hong Kong

Prudential Public Limited Company provides long term savings and protection products. The Company offers life and health insurance for long term business including asset management services. Prudential serves customers in Asia and Africa.

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Prudential (2378 HK)

APAC Insurers Series (#3): Initial Theses At Different Stages of Being Played Out

Theses for the three insurers we highlighted are at different stages of being played out: PICC P&C's has most materialized while Pru's still has a...

Alec Tseung

APAC Insurers Series (#2): AIA or Prudential?

Pru’s recent correction offers investors an opportune window to buy into its premium franchise (vs. AIA), although both stocks provide investors...

Alec Tseung

Prudential PLC (2378 HK) – HK NBP more than doubled in 1Q23

Prudential PLC reported 30%/26% YoY growth of NBP (new business profit) in 1Q23 on constant/actual FX (CER/AER) basis, driven by 35%/29% YoY growth...

CMB International

Prudential PLC: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion In Emerging Markets & Other Drivers

This is our first report on Prudential, a major provider of life and health insurance. Prudential had a very strong quarter with 19% sales...

Baptista Research

Prudential Plc. (2378 HK) – 15% APE Growth in 2M23

Prudential plc reported in line results for FY22, with NBP excl. HK up 5% YoY on constant exchange rates (CER) basis. The group NBP declined 11% on...

CMB International

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