External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Prudential reported strong FY23 results with new business profit (NBP) jumping by 45% YoY (CER) to US$3.13bn, beating consensus by 6.4%, thanks to +3ppt NBP margin expansion to 53% in full year.</li><li>The Group’s NBP margin (NBM) sequentially improved in 2H23 to 57% from 49% in 1H23, driven by a trend of margin recovery in 2H in almost all key markets, except the mainland JV CPL, whose NBP fell by 70% YoY in 2H23, adversely affected by tanked bancassurance sales and unfavourable economic sentiment that dragged down demand for protections.</li><li>Hong Kong sustained strong momentum into 4Q23 with NBP up by 3.3x YoY in 2H23, reflecting its market-first position for mainland Chinese visitors (MCVs). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential reported strong FY23 results with new business profit (NBP) jumping by 45% YoY (CER) to US$3.13bn, beating consensus by 6.4%, thanks to +3ppt NBP margin expansion to 53% in full year.The Group’s NBP margin (NBM) sequentially improved in 2H23 to 57% from 49% in 1H23, driven by a trend of margin recovery in 2H in almost all key markets, except the mainland JV CPL, whose NBP fell by 70% YoY in 2H23, adversely affected by tanked bancassurance sales and unfavourable economic sentiment that dragged down demand for protections.Hong Kong sustained strong momentum into 4Q23 with NBP up by 3.3x YoY in 2H23, reflecting its market-first position for mainland Chinese visitors (MCVs). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential Plc. (2378 HK) - NBP Beat Driven by Better 2H Margin

Insurance & Central Asia-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Insurance & Central Asia-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>PICC P&amp;C's Q3 underwriting profitability deteriorated due to typhoon/catastrophe-related losses in both motor and non-motor business.</li>
<li>Samsung Life's new business growth momentum continued in Q3'23; new business CSM margin slightly improved QoQ.</li>
<li>Prudential disclosed limited details in its Q3 results but we can see the growth trend of new business volume and profits continuing in the quarter.</li>
</ul>


PICC P&amp;C's Q3 underwriting profitability deteriorated due to typhoon/catastrophe-related losses in both motor and non-motor business.
Samsung Life's new business growth momentum continued in Q3'23; new business CSM margin slightly improved QoQ.
Prudential disclosed limited details in its Q3 results but we can see the growth trend of new business volume and profits continuing in the quarter.


APAC Insurers Series (#4): How We See the 3 Insurance Stocks in 2024

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in September 2023.</li>
<li>The index changes for the December 2023 rebalance will be announced in mid-November (17 Nov) and implemented in early-December (with effect from 4 Dec).</li>
<li>Although the Hang Seng index has a highly subjective constituent selection process and index changes are somewhat unpredictable, we will continue sharing our thoughts for each quarterly review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in September 2023.
The index changes for the December 2023 rebalance will be announced in mid-November (17 Nov) and implemented in early-December (with effect from 4 Dec).
Although the Hang Seng index has a highly subjective constituent selection process and index changes are somewhat unpredictable, we will continue sharing our thoughts for each quarterly review.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Dec 23: High Conviction Names Have Decent Momentum Vs HSI

<ul>
<li>PICC P&amp;C's thesis has materialized and played out well this year, with the stock being HK's best-performing Chinese insurer.</li>
<li>Samsung Life's share price recovered slightly since our last update as LT Korean government bond yields further increased.</li>
<li>Prudential's thesis is slowly being played out, with its P/BV discount to AIA having narrowed; but still a long way to go. </li>
</ul>


PICC P&amp;C's thesis has materialized and played out well this year, with the stock being HK's best-performing Chinese insurer.
Samsung Life's share price recovered slightly since our last update as LT Korean government bond yields further increased.
Prudential's thesis is slowly being played out, with its P/BV discount to AIA having narrowed; but still a long way to go. 


APAC Insurers Series (#3): Initial Theses At Different Stages of Being Played Out

<ul><li>Prudential PLC reported 30%/26% YoY growth of NBP (new business profit) in 1Q23 on constant/actual FX (CER/AER) basis, driven by 35%/29% YoY growth of APE (annualized premium equivalent).</li><li>If excluded the effect of economic assumption changes (i.e. interest rates movement), 1Q23 NBP growth would reach 43%/39% YoY on CER/AER basis. In terms of geographic breakdowns, the insurer recorded double-digit NBP growth across 10 markets in Asia, incl. HK/China, Thailand and the Philippines.</li><li>Looking forward, we expect strong new business momentum to sustain into 2023, given that: 1) MCV (mainland visitors) business in HK continued to drive growth since China’s reopening in Feb 2023, which will enhance the uptick throughout 2Q-4Q23 sequentially in our view; 2) recovery of demands for life insurance in mainland China boosted value creation of local agency; and 3) rebound in ASEAN markets as their local economy recovered post pandemic. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential PLC reported 30%/26% YoY growth of NBP (new business profit) in 1Q23 on constant/actual FX (CER/AER) basis, driven by 35%/29% YoY growth of APE (annualized premium equivalent).If excluded the effect of economic assumption changes (i.e. interest rates movement), 1Q23 NBP growth would reach 43%/39% YoY on CER/AER basis. In terms of geographic breakdowns, the insurer recorded double-digit NBP growth across 10 markets in Asia, incl. HK/China, Thailand and the Philippines.Looking forward, we expect strong new business momentum to sustain into 2023, given that: 1) MCV (mainland visitors) business in HK continued to drive growth since China’s reopening in Feb 2023, which will enhance the uptick throughout 2Q-4Q23 sequentially in our view; 2) recovery of demands for life insurance in mainland China boosted value creation of local agency; and 3) rebound in ASEAN markets as their local economy recovered post pandemic. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prudential PLC (2378 HK) – HK NBP more than doubled in 1Q23

Hong Kong

Prudential is a multinational insurance and asset management company. It provides life and health insurance, long-term savings, and investment solutions, including mutual funds and annuities, to customers across Asia and Africa. The company was founded in London in 1848 and is headquartered in London and Hong Kong.

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Prudential (2378 HK)

Prudential Plc. (2378 HK) - NBP Beat Driven by Better 2H Margin

Prudential reported strong FY23 results with new business profit (NBP) jumping by 45% YoY (CER) to US$3.13bn, beating consensus by 6.4%, thanks to...

CMB International

APAC Insurers Series (#4): How We See the 3 Insurance Stocks in 2024

While we see limited upside in both PICC P&C and Samsung Life, we believe Prudential is the only one out of the three insurance stocks we...

Alec Tseung

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Dec 23: High Conviction Names Have Decent Momentum Vs HSI

The Hang Seng Index changes for Dec 23 will be published after the close on Friday 17th November 2023. In this insight, you can see Quiddity's...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

APAC Insurers Series (#3): Initial Theses At Different Stages of Being Played Out

Theses for the three insurers we highlighted are at different stages of being played out: PICC P&C's has most materialized while Pru's still has a...

Alec Tseung

Prudential PLC (2378 HK) – HK NBP more than doubled in 1Q23

Prudential PLC reported 30%/26% YoY growth of NBP (new business profit) in 1Q23 on constant/actual FX (CER/AER) basis, driven by 35%/29% YoY growth...

CMB International

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