Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Capital Markets

FWD Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>While FWD has achieved strong growth in certain key markets, its overall new business growth rate didn't differ significantly from the peers, AIA and Prudential.</li>
<li>Compared to the peers, it offers more exposure to Thailand/Cambodia, in terms of APE and VNB mix. But, the peers still have better scale in these markets.</li>
<li>We struggle to develop the thesis unless FWD's valuation is really attractive. It's also not expecting to pay any dividends in the near future while both peers do.</li>
</ul>


While FWD has achieved strong growth in certain key markets, its overall new business growth rate didn't differ significantly from the peers, AIA and Prudential.
Compared to the peers, it offers more exposure to Thailand/Cambodia, in terms of APE and VNB mix. But, the peers still have better scale in these markets.
We struggle to develop the thesis unless FWD's valuation is really attractive. It's also not expecting to pay any dividends in the near future while both peers do.


Private Capital Markets

FWD Group Holdings / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The saga of CK Hutchison's Panama Canal Ports sale might also impact FWD due to tensions between China and the Li family.</li>
<li>Despite minimal mainland China presence, FWD faces exposure through its significant HK and Macau operations; HK and Macau contributed 40% - 50% of the group's VNB and operating profits.</li>
<li>After FWD's failed IPO attempts, PCG might consider a strategic sale for liquidity; FWD might offer a good strategic fit to Korean insurers looking to expand to Southeast Asia. </li>
</ul>


The saga of CK Hutchison's Panama Canal Ports sale might also impact FWD due to tensions between China and the Li family.
Despite minimal mainland China presence, FWD faces exposure through its significant HK and Macau operations; HK and Macau contributed 40% - 50% of the group's VNB and operating profits.
After FWD's failed IPO attempts, PCG might consider a strategic sale for liquidity; FWD might offer a good strategic fit to Korean insurers looking to expand to Southeast Asia. 


FWD: An Ideal Acquisition Target for Korean Insurers?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a> is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and share our updated thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. 
Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and share our updated thoughts on valuation.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Weaker Performance than Expected

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> IFA opines that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.</li>
<li>In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.</li>
<li>The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. </li>
</ul>



Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) IFA opines that the OCBC (OCBC SP) S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.
In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.
The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. 


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threat</li><li>Corruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life in prison</li><li>CMB /: Exclusive: China Merchants Bank punishes two private banking executives, sources say</li></ul>

TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threatCorruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life in prisonCMB /: Exclusive: China Merchants Bank punishes two private banking executives, sources say

CX Daily: ByteDance Holds Firm Against Selling TikTok Despite U.S. Ban Threat

United Kingdom

Prudential plc is an international company which provides a wide assortment of insurance and investment products and services. Insurance products include life, accident and health, property and casualty insurance, as well as fixed and variable annuities.  Financial and investment services include personal and group pensions, equity plans, mortgages and deposit accounts.

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Prudential PLC (PRU LN)

FWD IPO: What Are We Buying?

As FWD's scale still lags behind both AIA and Prudential and its growth rate was also merely in line with them, we struggle to develop the...

Alec Tseung

FWD: An Ideal Acquisition Target for Korean Insurers?

FWD decided to make another IPO application in Hong Kong on Monday (19th), given the recent share price rebound in the market. This is the 3rd...

Alec Tseung

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Weaker Performance than Expected

Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and...

Clarence Chu

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Shares will likely breach float requirements and be suspended at offer close. While trading through terms, recent precedent suggests that investors...

Arun George

CX Daily: ByteDance Holds Firm Against Selling TikTok Despite U.S. Ban Threat

TikTok /: ByteDance holds firm against selling TikTok despite U.S. ban threat Corruption /: Head of Chinese Football Association sentenced to life...

Caixin Global

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