European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prysmian-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21213:1" rel="noopener">Prysmian SpA (PRY IM)</a> agreed to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/encore-wire-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1863:1" rel="noopener">Encore Wire (WIRE US)</a> for $290/share in cash, 29% premium to 90-day VWAP, implied EV of €4,264 million, 11x EV/NTM EBITDA and 16.9x Fwd P/E.</li>
<li>Encore wire has traded at an average 6.4x EV/EBITDA and 10.6x P/E over the last 5 years. I set my TP at $290. Synergies could be valued at $51/share.</li>
<li>The shares are trading slightly above the offer price. Gross spread is +0.2%. The volume traded since announcement has been very strong. There is room for some sweetening. Long.</li>
</ul>



Prysmian SpA (PRY IM) agreed to acquire Encore Wire (WIRE US) for $290/share in cash, 29% premium to 90-day VWAP, implied EV of €4,264 million, 11x EV/NTM EBITDA and 16.9x Fwd P/E.
Encore wire has traded at an average 6.4x EV/EBITDA and 10.6x P/E over the last 5 years. I set my TP at $290. Synergies could be valued at $51/share.
The shares are trading slightly above the offer price. Gross spread is +0.2%. The volume traded since announcement has been very strong. There is room for some sweetening. Long.


Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

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In this report, we analyse the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the various sectors and companies in our European coverage universe. We also include a list of bonds for which we see good value. The direct impact from the actions taken to stop the war (including sanctions) should be insignificant or moderate for most companies under our coverage, but these names could be severely affected: Air Baltic, Consolis, Kem One, KME, Lecta, Naviera Armas, Nobian, Nordex, Norican, Oriflame, Pro-Gest, Profine, Raffinerie Heide, Stada and Vedanta Resources.

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Impact Of Ukraine Conflict On Lucror’S European Coverage Universe - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for February 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

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The Europe HY Trade Book for January 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for January 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - January 2022 - Lucror Analytics

Italy

Prysmian SpA develops, designs, produces, supplies and installs a wide range of cables for applications in the energy and telecommunications industries.

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Prysmian SpA (PRY IM)

Prysmian/Encore Wire: Agreed Offer

Prysmian SpA to acquire Encore Wire for $290/share in cash, 29% premium to 90-day VWAP, with potential synergies valued at $51/share. Trading...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Weekly Wrap - 21 Jul 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Impact Of Ukraine Conflict On Lucror’S European Coverage Universe - Lucror Analytics

In this report, we analyse the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the various sectors and companies in our European coverage universe. We...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - February 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for February 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - January 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for January 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

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Prysmian/Encore Wire: Agreed Offer

​Prysmian SpA to acquire Encore Wire for $290/share in cash, 29% premium to 90-day VWAP, with potential synergies valued at $51/share. Trading...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Weekly Wrap - 21 Jul 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Impact Of Ukraine Conflict On Lucror’S European Coverage Universe - Lucror Analytics

In this report, we analyse the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the various sectors and companies in our European coverage universe. We...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - February 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for February 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - January 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for January 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Prysmian SpA to acquire Encore Wire for $290/share in cash, 29% premium to 90-day VWAP, with potential synergies valued at $51/share. Trading...