Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-6827'>Abm Investama</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-26799'>Future Retail</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-216'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Abm InvestamaFuture RetailTata Motors Ltd

Morning Views Asia: Abm Investama, Future Retail, Tata Motors Ltd

From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting tensions between China and the US. In addition, China held its annual Two Sessions during the month after a delay due to COVID-19. In this report, we focus on the Government Working Report delivered at the meetings, looking for guidance on the trajectory of policy easing and the stimulus meant to drive a post-pandemic recovery. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting tensions between China and the US. In addition, China held its annual Two Sessions during the month after a delay due to COVID-19. In this report, we focus on the Government Working Report delivered at the meetings, looking for guidance on the trajectory of policy easing and the stimulus meant to drive a post-pandemic recovery.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Takeaways From China's Two Sessions (2020) - Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

In our view, ABM Investama’s FY 2019 results were very weak. Revenue was down while profitability and cash flows fell substantially, driven by both the challenging coal environment and the loss of a key customer. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly. Liquidity is weak, mainly due to refinancing risk for the USD 350 mn 2022 Notes, which made up most of the reported debt. We believe the FY 2020 results will be even weaker. In addition, we expect rating downgrades of at least one notch, as we see the current B1/B+ ratings from Moody’s and Fitch as highly generous. Eventually, we see potential for the ratings to be downgraded to B3/B- as the refinancing risk grows with time.

  In our view, ABM Investama’s FY 2019 results were very weak. Revenue was down while profitability and cash flows fell substantially, driven by both the challenging coal environment and the loss of a key customer. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly. Liquidity is weak, mainly due to refinancing risk for the USD 350 mn 2022 Notes, which made up most of the reported debt.   We believe the FY 2020 results will be even weaker. In addition, we expect rating downgrades of at least one notch, as we see the current B1/B+ ratings from Moody’s and Fitch as highly generous. Eventually, we see potential for the ratings to be downgraded to B3/B- as the refinancing risk grows with time. 

ABM Investama - Earnings Flash - FY 2019 Results - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - May 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-6827'>Abm Investama</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-1776'>Indika Energy</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Abm InvestamaIndika Energy

Morning Views Asia: Abm Investama, Indika Energy

Indonesia

ABM Investama is an Indonesia-based investment company primarily focused on energy-related sectors, offering integrated energy solutions across resources, services, and infrastructure. Its core business activities include coal production and trading, mining contractor services, power solutions, integrated logistics, and manufacturing of heavy equipment components. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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ABM Investama (ABMM IJ)

Morning Views Asia: Abm Investama, Future Retail, Tata Motors Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Takeaways From China's Two Sessions (2020) - Lucror Analytics

From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting...

Lucror Analytics

ABM Investama - Earnings Flash - FY 2019 Results - Lucror Analytics

In our view, ABM Investama’s FY 2019 results were very weak. Revenue was down while profitability and cash flows fell substantially, driven by...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - May 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Abm Investama, Indika Energy

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

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