Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we discuss LARA and Credit Bias developments for companies under our coverage over the past few years, including related trends for and between Asia, LatAm and Europe. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we discuss LARA and Credit Bias developments for companies under our coverage over the past few years, including related trends for and between Asia, LatAm and Europe.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - LARA And Credit Bias Study (2020 Update) - Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Agung Podomoro Land’s H1/20 results were weak. Revenues and profitability appeared to beat our projections, but the poor marketing sales were in line with our expectations. It was unclear how much of the improvement was due to the new accounting standards. While leverage and coverage seemed to improve slightly from FYE 2019, the liquidity position worsened significantly to an inadequate level. As of end-June 2020, the business had very little cash while short-term debt had surged to over IDR 2.0 tn, including IDR 350 bn in domestic MTN due on August 20th.

  Agung Podomoro Land’s H1/20 results were weak. Revenues and profitability appeared to beat our projections, but the poor marketing sales were in line with our expectations. It was unclear how much of the improvement was due to the new accounting standards. While leverage and coverage seemed to improve slightly from FYE 2019, the liquidity position worsened significantly to an inadequate level. As of end-June 2020, the business had very little cash while short-term debt had surged to over IDR 2.0 tn, including IDR 350 bn in domestic MTN due on August 20th. 

Agung Podomoro Land - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2020 Results - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of July includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of July includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - July 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-16010'>Agung Podomoro Land</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-173'>First Pacific Co</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-112'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-5582'>Modernland Realty</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Agung Podomoro LandFirst Pacific CoLifestyle International HoldingsModernland Realty

Morning Views Asia: Agung Podomoro Land, First Pacific Co, Lifestyle International Holdings

Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month deals with our framework for discerning fraud in Asian companies. We also give an overview of common techniques used to manipulate financial information in Asian markets, and present case studies of alleged or confirmed fraud drawn from our coverage universe. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month deals with our framework for discerning fraud in Asian companies. We also give an overview of common techniques used to manipulate financial information in Asian markets, and present case studies of alleged or confirmed fraud drawn from our coverage universe.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Framework For Discerning Fraud In Asian Companies - Lucror Analytics

Indonesia

PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk is a leading integrated diversified real estate owner, developer, and manager in Indonesia, focusing on retail, commercial, and residential properties. The company's activities span land acquisition, design, development, project management, sales, leasing, marketing, and the operation of superblocks, shopping malls, offices, hotels, and residential units. Headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, the company was established in 2004.

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Agung Podomoro Land (APLN IJ)

Asia HY Monthly - LARA And Credit Bias Study (2020 Update) - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we discuss LARA and Credit Bias developments for companies under our coverage over the past few years,...

Lucror Analytics

Agung Podomoro Land - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2020 Results - Lucror Analytics

Agung Podomoro Land’s H1/20 results were weak. Revenues and profitability appeared to beat our projections, but the poor marketing sales were in...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - July 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of July includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas....

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Agung Podomoro Land, First Pacific Co, Lifestyle International Holdings

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Framework For Discerning Fraud In Asian Companies - Lucror Analytics

Following the recent string of high-profile fraud scandals, from Luckin Coffee in China to Wirecard in Germany, our In-Focus section this month...

Lucror Analytics

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