Banks: Beware of Catching the Falling Knives (NEUTRAL)
Bank valuations have derated, but PBV valuations have yet to hit bottom in the past two downcycles, i.e., 2015-2016 and 2019-2020.
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Equity Strategy: External Risks Loom...
Amid the possibility of further tariffs to be imposed by Trump, we think key risk to watch remains on EM currency and market risk-offs.
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External Risks Loom, But Improving Domestic Conditions May Cushion Against Further De-Rating
Amid the possibility of further tariffs to be imposed by Trump, we think key risk to watch remains on EM currency and market risk-offs.
320 Views
Banks: Liquidity May Ease Faster, but Stable Rupiah Is Needed for the Rally to Sustain (NEUTRAL)
An early rate cut may ease liquidity pressure faster, while some loans and marketable securities are at risk of lower yield.
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Banks: FY25 Outlook: Less money to lend, save, and repay (NEUTRAL)
We expect a moderate earnings growth of 5.8% in FY25F (from 6.7% in FY24F) due to slower loan growth, still tight liquidity, and higher CoC.
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