Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Pertamina Hulu Energi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-hulu-energi-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39781:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Hulu Energi</a>  is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO.</li>
<li>PHE is a subsidiary of  Pertamina (Persero), which operates an integrated end-to-end energy business, from upstream to downstream businesses. PHE manages the upstream oil and gas assets of its parent.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Pertamina Hulu Energi  is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO.
PHE is a subsidiary of  Pertamina (Persero), which operates an integrated end-to-end energy business, from upstream to downstream businesses. PHE manages the upstream oil and gas assets of its parent.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Pertamina Hulu Energi Early Look - The Negatives - Past Growth Record Seems Lackluster

PT Pertamina (Persero) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-hulu-energi-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39781:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Hulu Energi</a>  is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO.</li>
<li>PHE is a subsidiary of  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-pertamina-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35862:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina (Persero)</a>, which operates an integrated end-to-end energy business, from upstream to downstream businesses. PHE manages the upstream oil and gas assets of its parent.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Pertamina Hulu Energi  is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO.
PHE is a subsidiary of  Pertamina (Persero), which operates an integrated end-to-end energy business, from upstream to downstream businesses. PHE manages the upstream oil and gas assets of its parent.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Pertamina Hulu Energi Early Look - The Positives - High Domestic Market Share

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Mirae Asset Securities Co.,Ltd. provides comprehensive wealth management services. The Company offers fixed income securities brokerage, securities dealing, equity underwriting, and other services. Mirae Asset Securities also deals with mergers and acquisitions, foreign currency, and financial derivatives

Equity Bottom-Up

One of the digital banking pioneers<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

One of the digital banking pioneersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank CIMB Niaga (BNGA IJ) - One of the digital banking pioneers

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

*Improving NIMs and Credit:CIMB Group (CIMB.MK) [CIMB] reported 1Q21 results of MYR 2.5 bn, increasing MYR 2.2 bn (10.6x) linked quarter. Excluding the one time gain of MYR 1.2 bn, CIMB’s core operatimg result came in at MYR 1.3 bn – increasing MYR 1.1 bn or 5.1x over the same period. 1Q21 results were driven by several factors: 1) net interest income improvement of MYR 169 mn (4.9%) which was driven by NIM ex-ansion of 15 bp and modest loan growth of MYR 718 mn or 0.2%; and 2) a MYR 1.5 bn (66.5%) decline in loss provisions tracking credit quality improvement in both Malaysia and Singapore; and 
*Credit Risk Decelerating: With NCOs of MYR 1.9 bn or at 1.60% annualized of total loans (decelerating from the MYR 1.9 bn posted in 4Q20), we find that net new NPLs increased only MYR 756 mn or 23.0% on an annualized basis – quite the decline from the MYR 2.6 bn or a whopping 83.5% on an annualized basis posted in 4Q20. We believe that reserves are too light by MYR 2.6 bn– which is nearly two quarters of core operating results.

*Improving NIMs and Credit:CIMB Group (CIMB.MK) [CIMB] reported 1Q21 results of MYR 2.5 bn, increasing MYR 2.2 bn (10.6x) linked quarter. Excluding the one time gain of MYR 1.2 bn, CIMB’s core operatimg result came in at MYR 1.3 bn – increasing MYR 1.1 bn or 5.1x over the same period. 1Q21 results were driven by several factors: 1) net interest income improvement of MYR 169 mn (4.9%) which was driven by NIM ex-ansion of 15 bp and modest loan growth of MYR 718 mn or 0.2%; and 2) a MYR 1.5 bn (66.5%) decline in loss provisions tracking credit quality improvement in both Malaysia and Singapore; and 
*Credit Risk Decelerating: With NCOs of MYR 1.9 bn or at 1.60% annualized of total loans (decelerating from the MYR 1.9 bn posted in 4Q20), we find that net new NPLs increased only MYR 756 mn or 23.0% on an annualized basis – quite the decline from the MYR 2.6 bn or a whopping 83.5% on an annualized basis posted in 4Q20. We believe that reserves are too light by MYR 2.6 bn– which is nearly two quarters of core operating results. 

*Lower Tax Rate Offset By Massive Provisions: CIMB Group (CIMB.MK) [CIMB] reported 4Q20 results of MYR 195.8 mn, increasing MYR 16.7 mn (9.3%) linked quarter. During the period, we noted a  massive reduction in its tax rate from 60.6% in 3Q20 to 18.0% which was additive to bottom-line performance by MYR 70.8 mn. However, this was offset by an enormous increase in loss provisions reflecting a breakdown in credit quality; and   *Credit Risk Now Accelerating: With NCOs of MYR 1.9 bn (accelerating from the MYR 1.2 bn posted in 3Q20), we find that net new NPLs increased MYR 2.6 bn or a whopping 83.5% on an annualized basis. We continue to believe that reserve cover is too light by MYR 12.0 bn (versus MYR 1.5 bn in 3Q20) – which nearly six years of profit before tax or 21.1% of 4Q20 capital.

*Lower Tax Rate Offset By Massive Provisions: CIMB Group (CIMB.MK) [CIMB] reported 4Q20 results of MYR 195.8 mn, increasing MYR 16.7 mn (9.3%) linked quarter. During the period, we noted a  massive reduction in its tax rate from 60.6% in 3Q20 to 18.0% which was additive to bottom-line performance by MYR 70.8 mn. However, this was offset by an enormous increase in loss provisions reflecting a breakdown in credit quality; and   *Credit Risk Now Accelerating: With NCOs of MYR 1.9 bn (accelerating from the MYR 1.2 bn posted in 3Q20), we find that net new NPLs increased MYR 2.6 bn or a whopping 83.5% on an annualized basis. We continue to believe that reserve cover is too light by MYR 12.0 bn (versus MYR 1.5 bn in 3Q20) – which nearly six years of profit before tax or 21.1% of 4Q20 capital. 

CIMB Group – Heading Deeper Into the Woods

Indonesia

CIMB Niaga is an Indonesian commercial bank offering a comprehensive portfolio of conventional and Sharia banking services, including consumer, SME, commercial, and corporate banking, as well as treasury and payment services. The bank provides products like credit cards, personal loans, mortgages, and auto loans. It is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, and was founded in 1955.

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CIMB Niaga (BNGA IJ)

Pertamina Hulu Energi Early Look - The Negatives - Past Growth Record Seems Lackluster

Pertamina Hulu Energi is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. In this note we talk about the not so positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Bank CIMB Niaga (BNGA IJ) - One of the digital banking pioneers

One of the digital banking pioneersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and...

Mirae Asset Securities

CIMB Group – A Positive Turn

CIMB GROUP: CIMB core results improved 5.1x linked quarter, driven by NIM expansion, loan growth, and decline in loss provisions. Loss reserves are...

Thomas J. Monaco

CIMB Group – Heading Deeper Into the Woods

CIMB GROUP: CIMB reported 4Q20 results improved 9.3% linked quarter, and highlighted by a massive reduction in its tax rate and an enormous...

Thomas J. Monaco

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Pertamina Hulu Energi Early Look - The Negatives - Past Growth Record Seems Lackluster

Pertamina Hulu Energi is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. In this note we talk about the not so positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Pertamina Hulu Energi Early Look - The Positives - High Domestic Market Share

Pertamina Hulu Energi (PHE) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Bank CIMB Niaga (BNGA IJ) - One of the digital banking pioneers

One of the digital banking pioneersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and...

Mirae Asset Securities

CIMB Group – A Positive Turn

CIMB GROUP: CIMB core results improved 5.1x linked quarter, driven by NIM expansion, loan growth, and decline in loss provisions. Loss reserves are...

Thomas J. Monaco

CIMB Group – Heading Deeper Into the Woods

CIMB GROUP: CIMB reported 4Q20 results improved 9.3% linked quarter, and highlighted by a massive reduction in its tax rate and an enormous...

Thomas J. Monaco