External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect positive FY26 earnings growth for banking sector (+5.1% yoy) driven by higher loan growth offsetting the lower NIM in FY26F.</li><li>We opine that NPL could still be in an upcycle in FY26F, with MSME and consumers loan delinquency risks affecting the investment loans.</li><li>We maintain a Neutral view on the banking sector amid potential earnings downside, macro uncertainty, and lingering asset quality risks</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect positive FY26 earnings growth for banking sector (+5.1% yoy) driven by higher loan growth offsetting the lower NIM in FY26F.We opine that NPL could still be in an upcycle in FY26F, with MSME and consumers loan delinquency risks affecting the investment loans.We maintain a Neutral view on the banking sector amid potential earnings downside, macro uncertainty, and lingering asset quality risksContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: K-shape Earnings Recovery Could Weigh on Margin and Asset Quality (NEUTRAL)

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI’s correction was driven primarily by declines in conglo names (e.g., BREN, CUAN, BRPT, BUMI, DEWA), alongside noticeably weaker retail liquidity ahead of the holiday season.</li><li>Meanwhile, large-cap banks (BMRI, BBRI, BBCA) led the gainers following neutral management-change news from the EGM, supported also by newly-listed SUPA.</li><li>Foreign fund flow was maintained at at US$196mn (all market), despite outflows in previous weeks’ momentum names (BUMI, DEWA) and continued outflows in large-cap banks (BBRI).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI’s correction was driven primarily by declines in conglo names (e.g., BREN, CUAN, BRPT, BUMI, DEWA), alongside noticeably weaker retail liquidity ahead of the holiday season.Meanwhile, large-cap banks (BMRI, BBRI, BBCA) led the gainers following neutral management-change news from the EGM, supported also by newly-listed SUPA.Foreign fund flow was maintained at at US$196mn (all market), despite outflows in previous weeks’ momentum names (BUMI, DEWA) and continued outflows in large-cap banks (BBRI).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI Market Cap Conglo Vs. Ex-Conglo

<ul>
<li>JCI closed slightly up (+0.3% w-w) despite correcting from all-time high level during the week.</li>
<li>In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental stocks underperformed (BBCA -3.6% w-w, TLKM -4.1%, BMRI -1.6%).</li>
<li>Within our coverage universe, the Metal sector has regained leadership (+9.5% w-w), following recovery in gold price, followed by Media (+6.2% w-w, led by SCMA) and Tech (+2.0% w-w, led by GOTO); Industrial Estate, Heavy Equipment and Cigarettes underperformed.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


JCI closed slightly up (+0.3% w-w) despite correcting from all-time high level during the week.
In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental stocks underperformed (BBCA -3.6% w-w, TLKM -4.1%, BMRI -1.6%).
Within our coverage universe, the Metal sector has regained leadership (+9.5% w-w), following recovery in gold price, followed by Media (+6.2% w-w, led by SCMA) and Tech (+2.0% w-w, led by GOTO); Industrial Estate, Heavy Equipment and Cigarettes underperformed.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – JCI vs. LQ45 Forward P/E Band

<ul><li>The Fed is likely to lean toward an easing bias as labor conditions weaken, though divisions among members remain.</li><li>Stable inflation, ample liquidity, and BI’s intervention framework support Bank Indonesia’s gradual 2026 rate cuts.</li><li>We expect 2026 INDOGB yields at 5.62%–6.14% (5.9% yr-end baseline), supported by expected rate cuts, stable IDR and foreign ownership.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Fed is likely to lean toward an easing bias as labor conditions weaken, though divisions among members remain.Stable inflation, ample liquidity, and BI’s intervention framework support Bank Indonesia’s gradual 2026 rate cuts.We expect 2026 INDOGB yields at 5.62%–6.14% (5.9% yr-end baseline), supported by expected rate cuts, stable IDR and foreign ownership.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: 2026: Navigating the Rate and Yield Transition

<ul><li>JCI rose 1.5% w-w, outperforming majority of EM peers (except for Korea’s Kospi index +4.4% w-w), bringing YTD performance to 21.9%.</li><li>Leaders were mixed between momentum stocks (FILM +38.8%, MORA +60.1%, IMPC +20.3% w-w) and the fundamental names (TLKM +5.4%, UNTR +10.2%, BBCA +1.0%, ASII +2.3%, BMRI +1.4%); DSSA and BBRI were laggards.</li><li>On sector performance, Heavy Equipment (+10.2% w-w), Telco (+5.0%) and Poultry (+4.5%) outperformed, while Pharma (-3.0% w-w), Property (-1.9%) and Retailers (-1.6%) underperformed.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI rose 1.5% w-w, outperforming majority of EM peers (except for Korea’s Kospi index +4.4% w-w), bringing YTD performance to 21.9%.Leaders were mixed between momentum stocks (FILM +38.8%, MORA +60.1%, IMPC +20.3% w-w) and the fundamental names (TLKM +5.4%, UNTR +10.2%, BBCA +1.0%, ASII +2.3%, BMRI +1.4%); DSSA and BBRI were laggards.On sector performance, Heavy Equipment (+10.2% w-w), Telco (+5.0%) and Poultry (+4.5%) outperformed, while Pharma (-3.0% w-w), Property (-1.9%) and Retailers (-1.6%) underperformed.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – ICBP P/E Band – Core Profit

Indonesia

PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk is Indonesia's largest bank, providing a wide range of banking products and services to individuals and businesses. These offerings include savings and current accounts, various loans, credit and debit cards, e-banking, investment products, and insurance services. The bank was formed on October 2, 1998, through the merger of four state-owned banks and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ)

Banks: K-shape Earnings Recovery Could Weigh on Margin and Asset Quality (NEUTRAL)

We expect positive FY26 earnings growth for banking sector (+5.1% yoy) driven by higher loan growth offsetting the lower NIM in FY26F.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI Market Cap Conglo Vs. Ex-Conglo

JCI’s correction was driven primarily by declines in conglo names (e.g., BREN, CUAN, BRPT, BUMI, DEWA), alongside noticeably weaker retail...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – JCI vs. LQ45 Forward P/E Band

In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental...

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: 2026: Navigating the Rate and Yield Transition

We expect 2026 INDOGB yields at 5.62%–6.14% (5.9% yr-end baseline), supported by expected rate cuts, stable IDR and foreign ownership.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – ICBP P/E Band – Core Profit

JCI rose 1.5% w-w, outperforming majority of EM peers (except for Korea’s Kospi index +4.4% w-w), bringing YTD performance to 21.9%.

BRI Danareksa Research

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