External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.</li><li>Despite rising manufacturing-led FDI, investment momentum is soft. Capex cycle, utilisation, and minimum wages are key factors to watch.</li><li>Wage growth tracks investment in productive regions, highlighting the need to shift UMR rules toward productivity-based, region-specific.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.Despite rising manufacturing-led FDI, investment momentum is soft. Capex cycle, utilisation, and minimum wages are key factors to watch.Wage growth tracks investment in productive regions, highlighting the need to shift UMR rules toward productivity-based, region-specific.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle

<ul><li>Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.</li><li>Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.</li><li>Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

<ul><li>Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.</li><li>MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.</li><li>Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Foreign flows reversed; Poultry and Metals outperformed. After four consecutive weeks of inflows (US$680mn), foreign equity flows reversed to -US$254mn, partly driven by last week’s street protests, despite signs of deescalation this week.</li><li>Foreign investors have continued to de-risk on largecap banks, namely BBCA (-US$195mn w-w, YTD: US$1.4bn) and BMRI (- US$45mn w-w, YTD: US$814mn).</li><li>Despite this, JCI managed to close +0.5% on the week, supported by metals sectors (ANTM +12% w-w, AMMN +3%, MDKA +6%), and conglomerate groups stocks (+DSSA +7% w-w, EMTK +7%, SMMA). ttractive at 11.9x P/E (-1.5SD to 5-year mean), following underperformance (-14% YTD).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Foreign flows reversed; Poultry and Metals outperformed. After four consecutive weeks of inflows (US$680mn), foreign equity flows reversed to -US$254mn, partly driven by last week’s street protests, despite signs of deescalation this week.Foreign investors have continued to de-risk on largecap banks, namely BBCA (-US$195mn w-w, YTD: US$1.4bn) and BMRI (- US$45mn w-w, YTD: US$814mn).Despite this, JCI managed to close +0.5% on the week, supported by metals sectors (ANTM +12% w-w, AMMN +3%, MDKA +6%), and conglomerate groups stocks (+DSSA +7% w-w, EMTK +7%, SMMA). ttractive at 11.9x P/E (-1.5SD to 5-year mean), following underperformance (-14% YTD).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – Metal sector vs. gold price

<ul><li>We expect 2H25 earnings growth to rebound, driven by improved liquidity and prospect of govt spending acceleration.</li><li>We continue to like Telcos and are turning more constructive on banks (stable/ better NIM), while remaining ST cautious on Consumers.</li><li>We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect 2H25 earnings growth to rebound, driven by improved liquidity and prospect of govt spending acceleration.We continue to like Telcos and are turning more constructive on banks (stable/ better NIM), while remaining ST cautious on Consumers.We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: 2H25: Positioning for a Growth Rebound

Indonesia

PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties across Asia. The company primarily explores for lead, zinc, gold, copper, and iron ore, and also engages in investment activities, funding, financing, and offers mining advisory and marketing services. It was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ)

Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle

Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

Indonesia’s economy maintained solid momentum in 3Q25, recording 5.04% y-y (1.43% q-q) growth, although slightly easing from 2Q25’s 5.12%.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – Metal sector vs. gold price

Foreign investors have continued to de-risk on largecap banks, namely BBCA (-US$195mn w-w, YTD: US$1.4bn) and BMRI (- US$45mn w-w, YTD: US$814mn).

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: 2H25: Positioning for a Growth Rebound

We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.

BRI Danareksa Research

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