Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

<p>The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of growth recorded since 1Q2014, and was largely driven by household expenditure and investment. Household expenditure, which grew 5.04% y-o-y compared to 4.94% y-o-y in 1Q, was partially supported by the Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr festivities in June. Gross fixed capital formation came in at 5.06% y-o-y in 2Q compared to an increase of 5.57% y-o-y in the…</p>

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of growth recorded since 1Q2014, and was largely driven by household expenditure and investment. Household expenditure, which grew 5.04% y-o-y compared to 4.94% y-o-y in 1Q, was partially supported by the Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr festivities in June. Gross fixed capital formation came in at 5.06% y-o-y in 2Q compared to an increase of 5.57% y-o-y in the…

Indonesia: Strong Household Expenditure Drives GDP in 2Q2016

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> published a solid set of FY2024 results, with sales growth to +7.4% YoY, although FY2024 net profit was down slightly due to cost pressures and higher promotional spending.</li>
<li>The company continues to see a favourable product mix shift towards higher-end tiles, especially its ARNA porcelain brand. New capacity coming on stream in 2025 will provide a further boost.</li>
<li>The gas subsidy has yet to be confirmed for the ceramic industry, but expectations are that it will come through shortly. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> valuations remain attractive, with higher growth ahead.</li>
</ul>



Arwana Citramulia published a solid set of FY2024 results, with sales growth to +7.4% YoY, although FY2024 net profit was down slightly due to cost pressures and higher promotional spending.
The company continues to see a favourable product mix shift towards higher-end tiles, especially its ARNA porcelain brand. New capacity coming on stream in 2025 will provide a further boost.
The gas subsidy has yet to be confirmed for the ceramic industry, but expectations are that it will come through shortly. Arwana Citramulia valuations remain attractive, with higher growth ahead.


Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Capacity-Driven Growth Ahead

Equity Capital Markets

Daya Intiguna Yasa / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Home improvements player <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-daya-intiguna-yasa-tbk-mr-diy-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44124:1" rel="noopener">PT Daya Intiguna Yasa (Mr DIY Indonesia)</a> completed the book building for its IPO this week for its Jakarta listing where it seeks to raise US$296m. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-daya-intiguna-yasa-tbk-mr-diy-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44124:1" rel="noopener">Mr DIY</a>  has seen a rapid rollout of outlets with over 900 stores across Indonesia and SSSG over the last two years of 30%-40% and the company is already profitable. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-daya-intiguna-yasa-tbk-mr-diy-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44124:1" rel="noopener">Mr DIY</a>  has a 25% market share of the home improvements segment focusing on the mass market with affordable products. Prefer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aspirasi-hidup-indonesia-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia</a> as a proxy for this space.</li>
</ul>


Home improvements player PT Daya Intiguna Yasa (Mr DIY Indonesia) completed the book building for its IPO this week for its Jakarta listing where it seeks to raise US$296m. 

Mr DIY  has seen a rapid rollout of outlets with over 900 stores across Indonesia and SSSG over the last two years of 30%-40% and the company is already profitable. 

Mr DIY  has a 25% market share of the home improvements segment focusing on the mass market with affordable products. Prefer Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia as a proxy for this space.


Mr DIY Indonesia IPO - Prefer Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ)

Catur Sentosa Adiprana / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/catur-sentosa-adiprana-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18671:1" rel="noopener">Catur Sentosa Adiprana (CSAP IJ)</a> has grown rapidly from a building material distribution company into the leading retailer in building materials and home improvement through Mitra10 and shop-in-shop Atria. </li>
<li>The company already has 52 Mitra10 superstores in Indonesia, with six distribution centres across the country, selling a range of home decoration products, with an increasing portion of private labels.</li>
<li>CSAP has seen a market improvement in margins for Mitra10 through more private label and scale benefits, and margins will continue to improve. Valuations are attractive with earnings growth accelerating. </li>
</ul>



Catur Sentosa Adiprana (CSAP IJ) has grown rapidly from a building material distribution company into the leading retailer in building materials and home improvement through Mitra10 and shop-in-shop Atria. 
The company already has 52 Mitra10 superstores in Indonesia, with six distribution centres across the country, selling a range of home decoration products, with an increasing portion of private labels.
CSAP has seen a market improvement in margins for Mitra10 through more private label and scale benefits, and margins will continue to improve. Valuations are attractive with earnings growth accelerating. 


PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana - One-Stop Shop for Homemakers

Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A meeting with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia</a> revealed a newfound enthusiasm and confidence in the outlook for growth with new store formats and an omnichannel approach as key future drivers. </li>
<li>The company will accelerate its store buildout in 2024 with plans for 20 new stores versus 13 in 2023 with new format stores taking the lead, with an emphasis ex-Java.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a> will also accelerate the buildout of smaller-sized Ace Express stores with a pilot started this year.  Recent share price weakness looks unjustified.</li>
</ul>


A meeting with Ace Hardware Indonesia revealed a newfound enthusiasm and confidence in the outlook for growth with new store formats and an omnichannel approach as key future drivers. 
The company will accelerate its store buildout in 2024 with plans for 20 new stores versus 13 in 2023 with new format stores taking the lead, with an emphasis ex-Java.

Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) will also accelerate the buildout of smaller-sized Ace Express stores with a pilot started this year.  Recent share price weakness looks unjustified.


Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) - Reinvigorated with Significant Upside

Indonesia

PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk is an Indonesia-based holding company that engages in the distribution and retail of industrial goods, specializing in building materials, chemicals, and consumer goods. The company operates retail stores under the Mitra10 and Atria brands. It was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Catur Sentosa Adiprana (CSAP IJ)

Indonesia: Strong Household Expenditure Drives GDP in 2Q2016

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of...

Rajan Govil

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Capacity-Driven Growth Ahead

Arwana Citramulia continues to see a favourable product mix shift towards higher-end tiles, especially its ARNA porcelain brand, with new capacity...

Angus Mackintosh

Mr DIY Indonesia IPO - Prefer Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ)

Mr DIY has a 25% market share of the home improvements segment focusing on the mass market with affordable products. We prefer ACES IJ as a proxy...

Angus Mackintosh

PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana - One-Stop Shop for Homemakers

Catur Sentosa Adiprana (CSAP IJ) has grown from a building material distribution company into the leading Indonesian retailer in building materials...

Angus Mackintosh

Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) - Reinvigorated with Significant Upside

A meeting with Ace Hardware Indonesia revealed a newfound enthusiasm and confidence in the outlook for growth with new store formats and an...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)