Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/gudang-garam-tbk-pt">Gudang Garam</a> is a dominant player in the Indonesian kretek cigarette market, possessing strong brand equity and an extensive distribution network. However, the company faces significant long-term headwinds.</li>
 <li>Financial performance has been challenged, with a multi-year trend of declining revenue and net income, alongside margin compression. Recent quarters show some stabilization but high volatility remains.</li>
 <li>The primary risks stem from a stringent and unpredictable regulatory environment, particularly regarding excise tax hikes, coupled with increasing health consciousness and intense competition from established peers.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
Gudang Garam is a dominant player in the Indonesian kretek cigarette market, possessing strong brand equity and an extensive distribution network. However, the company faces significant long-term headwinds.
  Financial performance has been challenged, with a multi-year trend of declining revenue and net income, alongside margin compression. Recent quarters show some stabilization but high volatility remains.
  The primary risks stem from a stringent and unpredictable regulatory environment, particularly regarding excise tax hikes, coupled with increasing health consciousness and intense competition from established peers.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) - Apr 2026

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 333% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 83%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 333% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 83%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 301% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 64%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 301% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 64%


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.</li><li>MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.</li><li>Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

Indonesia

PT Gudang Garam Tbk is an Indonesian company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sale of kretek (clove) cigarettes. The company offers a variety of hand-rolled and machine-made clove cigarettes under brands such as Gudang Garam Family, Surya Family, and GG Family. Beyond tobacco products, it also operates in segments including paperboards, infrastructure, trading, and air transportation services. Headquartered in Kediri, Indonesia, the company was founded in 1958.

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Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in July. There will also be capping flows for BBCA and BBRI. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

Primer: Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) - Apr 2026

Gudang Garam is a dominant player in the Indonesian kretek cigarette market, possessing strong brand equity and an extensive distribution...

αSK Primers

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 56

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain; nine stocks were...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 55

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.

BRI Danareksa Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)