CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, and 11 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 259% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 44%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, and 11 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 259% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 44%


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>Indonesia’s Jul24 coal production rose +10.7% mom/ +3.2% yoy to 72Mt, driving an improved 7M24 growth to 5.8% yoy (477Mt).</li><li>China and India’s 6M24 imports have remained resilient, while Indonesia’s high production cost continues to offer support for price.</li><li>We maintain OW rating on the sector but shift our preference to UNTR amid the ST supply risk from Indonesia.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indonesia’s Jul24 coal production rose +10.7% mom/ +3.2% yoy to 72Mt, driving an improved 7M24 growth to 5.8% yoy (477Mt).China and India’s 6M24 imports have remained resilient, while Indonesia’s high production cost continues to offer support for price.We maintain OW rating on the sector but shift our preference to UNTR amid the ST supply risk from Indonesia.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Coal Sector: Rising Indonesia Production, but Demand and Cost Curve Remain Supportive for Price

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Indonesia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Telkom Indonesia, XL Axiata, Indo Tambangraya Megah, Mitra Adiperkasa, Astra Intl, GoTo Gojek Tokopedia, Merdeka Copper Gold, Charoen Pokphand Indonesia.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Indonesia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Telkom Indonesia, XL Axiata, Indo Tambangraya Megah, Mitra Adiperkasa, Astra Intl, GoTo Gojek Tokopedia, Merdeka Copper Gold, Charoen Pokphand Indonesia.


MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (Aug): Telkom Indonesia, XL Axiata, Indo Tambangraya Megah

<ul><li>Looking into potential late-cycle plays in commodity sectorsAs metal prices are likely entering a ‘late-cycle’ phase, we see copper’s outlook as particularly attractive as it is backed by falling inventory.</li><li>While Brent’s price surge is backed by a firmer demand outlook, thermal coal S-D seasonality suggests investors should only add in 2Q24.</li><li>Amid light funds’ positioning, better clarity on metals’ production growth may improve sentiment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Looking into potential late-cycle plays in commodity sectorsAs metal prices are likely entering a ‘late-cycle’ phase, we see copper’s outlook as particularly attractive as it is backed by falling inventory.While Brent’s price surge is backed by a firmer demand outlook, thermal coal S-D seasonality suggests investors should only add in 2Q24.Amid light funds’ positioning, better clarity on metals’ production growth may improve sentimentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy - Looking into potential late-cycle plays in commodity sectors

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on the Thai Economy and further insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a>, and UNOAsia in the Philippines. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The Past week saw insights on GoTo, Grab Holdings (GRAB US),Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ), Matahari Department Store, BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Astra International (ASII IJ).
There was also a macro insight on the Thai Economy and further insights on Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP), Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB), and UNOAsia in the Philippines. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo & Grab, BFIN's Rising, and Astra Intl's Oversold

Indonesia

Indo Tambangraya Megah engages in coal mining and energy activities, producing thermal coal for power plants. The company is also involved in coal trading, fuel trading, energy marketing, electricity generation, mining contractor services, and solar rooftop installations. It was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 49

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Coal Sector: Rising Indonesia Production, but Demand and Cost Curve Remain Supportive for Price

Indonesia’s Jul24 coal production rose +10.7% mom/ +3.2% yoy to 72Mt, driving an improved 7M24 growth to 5.8% yoy (477Mt).

BRI Danareksa Research

MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (Aug): Telkom Indonesia, XL Axiata, Indo Tambangraya Megah

We analyzed MS-Indonesia's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ), XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Indo...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Equity Strategy - Looking into potential late-cycle plays in commodity sectors

Looking into potential late-cycle plays in commodity sectorsAs metal prices are likely entering a ‘late-cycle’ phase. we see copper’s outlook as...

BRI Danareksa Research

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo & Grab, BFIN's Rising, and Astra Intl's Oversold

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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