External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Amid continued downtrading and limited catalystsin 3Q24, we expect regional elections and social aid to support consumption spending.</li><li>We view FY25 govt budget as supportive for purchasing power, despite risks from higher VAT, higher tax revenue &amp; new excise taxes. </li><li>We favor companies with organic growth, export contribution, and proven cost mgmt; reiterate our Buy rating on ICBP and MYOR.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amid continued downtrading and limited catalystsin 3Q24, we expect regional elections and social aid to support consumption spending.We view FY25 govt budget as supportive for purchasing power, despite risks from higher VAT, higher tax revenue &amp; new excise taxes. We favor companies with organic growth, export contribution, and proven cost mgmt; reiterate our Buy rating on ICBP and MYOR.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: Sticking with the Winners Amid Lingering Challenges (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)</li><li>We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).</li><li>We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins, Revenue Growth May Remain Soft

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.</li><li>This is reinforced by the GDP deflator, which recorded a negative growth of -0.8% YoY in 1Q24.</li><li>Our rationale for why consumer staples remain unfavorable aligns with the current monetary policies.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.This is reinforced by the GDP deflator, which recorded a negative growth of -0.8% YoY in 1Q24.Our rationale for why consumer staples remain unfavorable aligns with the current monetary policies.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Staples Sectoral Update May 21, 2024

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Prabowo looks to have scored a resounding victory in Indonesia's Presidential election, according to quick count results, with around 58% of the vote, which is positive from a visibility perspective.</li>
<li>Initial reaction suggests continuity from Jokowi's legacy, with concerns centred around potentially nationalistic policies and increased government borrowing in the future, which may pressurise Indonesia's budgetary position. </li>
<li>We remain positive on the outlook for Indonesia, with increased government spending to fast-track Jokowi's legacy projects. Prabowo also looks set on driving higher GDP growth next year.</li>
</ul>


Prabowo looks to have scored a resounding victory in Indonesia's Presidential election, according to quick count results, with around 58% of the vote, which is positive from a visibility perspective.
Initial reaction suggests continuity from Jokowi's legacy, with concerns centred around potentially nationalistic policies and increased government borrowing in the future, which may pressurise Indonesia's budgetary position. 
We remain positive on the outlook for Indonesia, with increased government spending to fast-track Jokowi's legacy projects. Prabowo also looks set on driving higher GDP growth next year.


Indonesia's Election - When the Music's Over?

<ul><li>Reversalsin foreign flows in recent weeks indicate foreign investors may be starting to price in re-emerging risk factors.</li><li>We think large banks’ 4Q23 earnings may dictate ST market direction, as domestic funds are OW and valuations are at premiums.</li><li>We see Telcos (ISAT, EXCL) and middle-high retailers as sectors with potential growth surprises, reasonable valuations and are less crowded.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reversalsin foreign flows in recent weeks indicate foreign investors may be starting to price in re-emerging risk factors.We think large banks’ 4Q23 earnings may dictate ST market direction, as domestic funds are OW and valuations are at premiums.We see Telcos (ISAT, EXCL) and middle-high retailers as sectors with potential growth surprises, reasonable valuations and are less crowded.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Re-Emerging Risk Factors May Warrant More Conservative Positioning in Feb24

Indonesia

Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk is a leading Indonesian manufacturer of packaged food products, offering noodles, dairy, snack foods, food seasonings, nutrition and special foods, and beverages. The company also operates a packaging business. It was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ)

Consumer: Sticking with the Winners Amid Lingering Challenges (OVERWEIGHT)

Amid continued downtrading and limited catalystsin 3Q24, we expect regional elections and social aid to support consumption spending.

BRI Danareksa Research

Consumer: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins, Revenue Growth May Remain Soft

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)

BRI Danareksa Research

Consumer Staples Sectoral Update May 21, 2024

Despite the regained volume since the end of last year, consumers continue to maintain overall spending, leading to downtrading behavior.

MNC Sekuritas

Indonesia's Election - When the Music's Over?

We remain positive on the outlook for Indonesia, with increased government spending to fast-track Jokowi's legacy projects. Prabowo also looks set...

Angus Mackintosh

Equity Strategy: Re-Emerging Risk Factors May Warrant More Conservative Positioning in Feb24

We see Telcos (ISAT, EXCL) and middle-high retailers as sectors with potential growth surprises, reasonable valuations and are less crowded.

BRI Danareksa Research

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