External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Amid this year’s Ramadhan period, MYOR has witnessed solid growth starting in 1Q23.</li>
<li>Combined with lower input costs and higher ASP from last year, the management is optimistic of robust performance in 1Q23.</li>
<li>Revenues should also receive a boost in the lead up to next year’s elections. As we estimate solid earnings going forward, we maintain our BUY call with a higher TP of IDR3,300.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


Amid this year’s Ramadhan period, MYOR has witnessed solid growth starting in 1Q23.
Combined with lower input costs and higher ASP from last year, the management is optimistic of robust performance in 1Q23.
Revenues should also receive a boost in the lead up to next year’s elections. As we estimate solid earnings going forward, we maintain our BUY call with a higher TP of IDR3,300.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ): Maintain Higher Margins to Boost FY23 Earnings

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ)</a> had an exciting 2022, with a ramp-up in new audience share-winning original content along with the boost from the Word Cup rights. </li>
<li>Both SCTV and IVM gained significant audience share in 2022, and Vidio led the charge on OTT driven by killer content, finishing the year with 5m paying subscribers. </li>
<li>Profitability was hit by a sharp rise in production costs and investment in Vidio but we expect significant improvement in 2023. Valuations are attractive with SCMA on 12x FY2023E PER. </li>
</ul>



PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ) had an exciting 2022, with a ramp-up in new audience share-winning original content along with the boost from the Word Cup rights. 
Both SCTV and IVM gained significant audience share in 2022, and Vidio led the charge on OTT driven by killer content, finishing the year with 5m paying subscribers. 
Profitability was hit by a sharp rise in production costs and investment in Vidio but we expect significant improvement in 2023. Valuations are attractive with SCMA on 12x FY2023E PER. 


PT Surya Citra Media (SCMA IJ) - Primed for Reset in 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

ESSA Industries Indonesia / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.</li>
<li>Largest passive inflows are expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-esa-perkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14326:1" rel="noopener">Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.
Largest passive inflows are expected to be on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) and Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ)</a> remains the laggard amongst the top four Indonesian banks but we see this as unjustified given improving returns and falling credit costs.</li>
<li>The bank continues to focus on top-tier corporate clients and large commercial clients plus growing subsidized KUR loans as well as expanding mortgages and payroll loans in the consumer segment.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia</a> continues to improve returns with its ROE back to 15% in 1H2022 and it trades on 1.2x FY2022 PBV. The bank will benefit from rising interest rates.</li>
</ul>



Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) remains the laggard amongst the top four Indonesian banks but we see this as unjustified given improving returns and falling credit costs.
The bank continues to focus on top-tier corporate clients and large commercial clients plus growing subsidized KUR loans as well as expanding mortgages and payroll loans in the consumer segment.  

Bank Negara Indonesia continues to improve returns with its ROE back to 15% in 1H2022 and it trades on 1.2x FY2022 PBV. The bank will benefit from rising interest rates.


Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - More Than Meets the Eye

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.</li>
<li>There is passive inflow on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO)</a> due to index inclusion, and on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a> due to capping changes.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.
There is passive inflow on Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO) due to index inclusion, and on Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA) due to capping changes.
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

Indonesia

PT Mayora Indah Tbk is an Indonesian multinational food and beverage company that manufactures, markets, and distributes fast-moving consumer goods, including biscuits, candies, wafers, chocolates, coffee, and health foods. The company is known for brands such as Kopiko, Energen, Torabika, and Beng Beng. Headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, it was founded in 1977.

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Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)