External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The newly launched “8+4” program stimulus should serve as a catalyst for consumer spending recovery and support Consumer sector’s growth. </li><li>While we expect the stimulus impact may take place in 4Q25 onwards, we maintain our rev/core earnings growth of +4.8/+0.4% yoy in FY25F.</li><li>Reiterate our Overweight stance on the sector. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp12,000), followed by MYOR (Buy, TP Rp2,500).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The newly launched “8+4” program stimulus should serve as a catalyst for consumer spending recovery and support Consumer sector’s growth. While we expect the stimulus impact may take place in 4Q25 onwards, we maintain our rev/core earnings growth of +4.8/+0.4% yoy in FY25F.Reiterate our Overweight stance on the sector. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp12,000), followed by MYOR (Buy, TP Rp2,500).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: Stimulus on the Horizon (OVERWEIGHT)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>CCI slipped to 117.5 in May-25 (vs 121.7 in Apr-25), marking the lowest point since Oct-22.</li><li>This continued downtrend suggests that households remain wary of economic uncertainties, particularly with muted wage growth and rising cost of living.</li><li>The Current Economic Index declined to 106.0 (vs 113.7 in Apr-25) and Consumer Expectation Index dropped to 129.0 in May-25 (vs 129.8 in Apr-25), with income expectation slipping to 135.4 and business activity index falling to 127.8. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CCI slipped to 117.5 in May-25 (vs 121.7 in Apr-25), marking the lowest point since Oct-22.This continued downtrend suggests that households remain wary of economic uncertainties, particularly with muted wage growth and rising cost of living.The Current Economic Index declined to 106.0 (vs 113.7 in Apr-25) and Consumer Expectation Index dropped to 129.0 in May-25 (vs 129.8 in Apr-25), with income expectation slipping to 135.4 and business activity index falling to 127.8. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Sector Waiting for a Clearer Sign: Between Caution and Catalyst

<ul><li>We expect govt’s economic stimulus and stronger IDR to support purchasing power and Consumer companies’ earnings in 2H25.</li><li>We foresee a decent +6.4%/+5.2% rev/core net profit growth in FY25F, supported by ongoing cost efficiencies to help limit EBIT margin decline.</li><li>Resuming our coverage with an Overweight rating given the resilient sector’s growth outlook. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp14,000).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect govt’s economic stimulus and stronger IDR to support purchasing power and Consumer companies’ earnings in 2H25.We foresee a decent +6.4%/+5.2% rev/core net profit growth in FY25F, supported by ongoing cost efficiencies to help limit EBIT margin decline.Resuming our coverage with an Overweight rating given the resilient sector’s growth outlook. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp14,000).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: A Laggard Sector with Potential Catalysts to Support Growth; Resuming Coverage with OW

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on Indonesia Strategy, Maynilad Water Services, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/top-glove-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20759:1" rel="noopener">Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also an economic Insight on Indonesia's middle-class squeeze and the potential impact on the overall economy.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Indonesia Strategy, Maynilad Water Services, Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ), and Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK).
There was also an economic Insight on Indonesia's middle-class squeeze and the potential impact on the overall economy.
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Indonesia Strategy, Maynilad Water Services and Mayora Indah

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy but the fall was mainly driven by retail.</li>
<li>The sell-off does not reflect an underlying deterioration of growth prospects for the economy or indeed earnings, although 4Q2024 results saw a slower performance for some sectors. </li>
<li>The government has already taken note and has determined to take action to reassure investors through policy measures. Valuations have already reached a historically attractive level.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy but the fall was mainly driven by retail.
The sell-off does not reflect an underlying deterioration of growth prospects for the economy or indeed earnings, although 4Q2024 results saw a slower performance for some sectors. 
The government has already taken note and has determined to take action to reassure investors through policy measures. Valuations have already reached a historically attractive level.


CrossASEAN Strategy - Indonesia's Delicate Balance

Indonesia

PT Mayora Indah Tbk is an Indonesian multinational food and beverage company that manufactures, markets, and distributes fast-moving consumer goods, including biscuits, candies, wafers, chocolates, coffee, and health foods. The company is known for brands such as Kopiko, Energen, Torabika, and Beng Beng. Headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, it was founded in 1977.

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Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)

Consumer: Stimulus on the Horizon (OVERWEIGHT)

The newly launched “8+4” program stimulus should serve as a catalyst for consumer spending recovery and support Consumer sector’s growth.

BRI Danareksa Research

Consumer Sector Waiting for a Clearer Sign: Between Caution and Catalyst

This continued downtrend suggests that households remain wary of economic uncertainties, particularly with muted wage growth and rising cost of...

MNC Sekuritas

Consumer: A Laggard Sector with Potential Catalysts to Support Growth; Resuming Coverage with OW

Resuming our coverage with an Overweight rating given the resilient sector’s growth outlook. Our top pick is ICBP (Buy, TP Rp14,000).

BRI Danareksa Research

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Indonesia Strategy, Maynilad Water Services and Mayora Indah

The past week saw insights on Indonesia Strategy, Maynilad Water Services, Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ), and Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK).

Angus Mackintosh

CrossASEAN Strategy - Indonesia's Delicate Balance

The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy...

Angus Mackintosh

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