External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line? The curve prices in another hike, but historical patterns suggest a more measured yield adjustment than in 2022–23.</li><li>We revisit our study on Indonesia’s three differentials, finding that policy carry provides the strongest ST buffer.</li><li>Earlier hikes also strengthened BI’s policy buffer, allowing targeted measures to take priority rather than another rate hike. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line? The curve prices in another hike, but historical patterns suggest a more measured yield adjustment than in 2022–23.We revisit our study on Indonesia’s three differentials, finding that policy carry provides the strongest ST buffer.Earlier hikes also strengthened BI’s policy buffer, allowing targeted measures to take priority rather than another rate hike. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line?

<ul><li>JCI posted a 3.5% rebound, bringing YTD performance to -5% while during the week EM has sustained outperformance (led by South Korea’s KOSPI Index +8%, Taiwan’s TWSE Index +6%, Thailand’s SET Index +6%) compared to US market’s -1%.</li><li>While JCI’s last week performance was in-line with EM, the gains were mainly led by the rebound in conglo group stocks (DSSA +10.5%, BRMS +14.3%, BUMI +29.2%), while fundamentals stocks were among the laggards (BBCA -6.2%, ASII -0.7%).</li><li>Government reaffirms stronger growth outlook. In Economic Outlook update, President Prabowo reaffirms FY26 GDP growth target of 5.4% (base case), while MOF sees upside to 6% (per Pak Purbaya) and 5.5– 6.0% in 1Q26.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI posted a 3.5% rebound, bringing YTD performance to -5% while during the week EM has sustained outperformance (led by South Korea’s KOSPI Index +8%, Taiwan’s TWSE Index +6%, Thailand’s SET Index +6%) compared to US market’s -1%.While JCI’s last week performance was in-line with EM, the gains were mainly led by the rebound in conglo group stocks (DSSA +10.5%, BRMS +14.3%, BUMI +29.2%), while fundamentals stocks were among the laggards (BBCA -6.2%, ASII -0.7%).Government reaffirms stronger growth outlook. In Economic Outlook update, President Prabowo reaffirms FY26 GDP growth target of 5.4% (base case), while MOF sees upside to 6% (per Pak Purbaya) and 5.5– 6.0% in 1Q26.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Retailers Sector P/E Band

<ul><li>Delayed Fed cuts keep yields elevated, constrain BI easing, with risk now shift focus toward near-term liquidity conditions.</li><li>Market impact on Moody’s downgrade looks contained; past precedents show reversals if policy response is credible and timely.</li><li>MSCI scrutiny accelerated structural transparency upgrades; frontier reclassification risk fades, but re-inclusion hinges on implementation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Delayed Fed cuts keep yields elevated, constrain BI easing, with risk now shift focus toward near-term liquidity conditions.Market impact on Moody’s downgrade looks contained; past precedents show reversals if policy response is credible and timely.MSCI scrutiny accelerated structural transparency upgrades; frontier reclassification risk fades, but re-inclusion hinges on implementation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: Off the Lows, Still Exposed to Headwinds

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI recorded a -0.8% correction amid a shortened trading week, mainly driven by declines in conglo names (e.g., DSSA, BRPT, BRMS), as market liquidity continued to contract ahead of the holiday season.</li><li>Large-cap banks (BMRI, BBNI, BBCA) were also among the laggards, giving back gains from earlier in the week.</li><li>On the other hand, metal-related names (e.g., INCO, ANTM, EMAS) outperformed on the back of strong momentum in metals, alongside large-cap non-bank stocks such as TLKM and ASII. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI recorded a -0.8% correction amid a shortened trading week, mainly driven by declines in conglo names (e.g., DSSA, BRPT, BRMS), as market liquidity continued to contract ahead of the holiday season.Large-cap banks (BMRI, BBNI, BBCA) were also among the laggards, giving back gains from earlier in the week.On the other hand, metal-related names (e.g., INCO, ANTM, EMAS) outperformed on the back of strong momentum in metals, alongside large-cap non-bank stocks such as TLKM and ASII. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI Metals Sector Vs. Gold Price

<ul>
<li>JCI closed slightly up (+0.3% w-w) despite correcting from all-time high level during the week.</li>
<li>In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental stocks underperformed (BBCA -3.6% w-w, TLKM -4.1%, BMRI -1.6%).</li>
<li>Within our coverage universe, the Metal sector has regained leadership (+9.5% w-w), following recovery in gold price, followed by Media (+6.2% w-w, led by SCMA) and Tech (+2.0% w-w, led by GOTO); Industrial Estate, Heavy Equipment and Cigarettes underperformed.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


JCI closed slightly up (+0.3% w-w) despite correcting from all-time high level during the week.
In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental stocks underperformed (BBCA -3.6% w-w, TLKM -4.1%, BMRI -1.6%).
Within our coverage universe, the Metal sector has regained leadership (+9.5% w-w), following recovery in gold price, followed by Media (+6.2% w-w, led by SCMA) and Tech (+2.0% w-w, led by GOTO); Industrial Estate, Heavy Equipment and Cigarettes underperformed.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – JCI vs. LQ45 Forward P/E Band

Indonesia

PT Merdeka Gold Resources Tbk is an Indonesian gold mining company that explores for gold and silver. It develops mines and produces gold-bearing output, which can be sold as doré, concentrate, or other mined products. The company's flagship project is the Pani Gold Mine in Gorontalo Province, Sulawesi Island. Headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia, the company was incorporated in 2015.

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Merdeka Gold Resources (EMAS IJ)

Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line?

The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line? The curve prices in another hike, but historical patterns suggest a more measured yield adjustment than in...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – Retailers Sector P/E Band

While JCI’s last week performance was in-line with EM, the gains were mainly led by the rebound in conglo group stocks (DSSA +10.5%, BRMS +14.3%,...

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: Off the Lows, Still Exposed to Headwinds

MSCI scrutiny accelerated structural transparency upgrades; frontier reclassification risk fades, but re-inclusion hinges on implementation.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI Metals Sector Vs. Gold Price

JCI recorded a -0.8% correction amid a shortened trading week, mainly driven by declines in conglo names (e.g., DSSA, BRPT, BRMS), as market...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – JCI vs. LQ45 Forward P/E Band

In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental...

BRI Danareksa Research

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