Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Review Period Nearly Complete

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/puradelta-lestari-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:428:1" rel="noopener">Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ)</a> remains one of the most interesting industrial estate developers in Indonesia with a high-quality tenant base across growth sectors including autos, 2W, pharmaceuticals, and data centres.</li>
<li>The completion of a new AEON Mall will provide a further draw for the estate as a destination and a place to live and work and is increasingly well-connected.</li>
<li>DMAS had a slower start to the year for revenues but marketing sales are running ahead of schedule having beat last year, with bookings expected to pick up in 2023.</li>
</ul>



Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ) remains one of the most interesting industrial estate developers in Indonesia with a high-quality tenant base across growth sectors including autos, 2W, pharmaceuticals, and data centres.
The completion of a new AEON Mall will provide a further draw for the estate as a destination and a place to live and work and is increasingly well-connected.
DMAS had a slower start to the year for revenues but marketing sales are running ahead of schedule having beat last year, with bookings expected to pick up in 2023.


Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ) - Cars, Drugs, and Data Centres

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-keluarga-karyasehat-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:288:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Keluarga (MIKA IJ)</a> recently booked 1Q2023, where headlines did not reflect the true recovery of the core business given COVID was still a factor boosting last year's revenues. </li>
<li>Non-COVID inpatient and outpatient volumes were up by +19% YoY reflecting the strength of the recovery as the environment normalizes but occupancy rates still have a significant upside.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-keluarga-karyasehat-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:288:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Keluarga</a> has started to put foot-to-pedal in terms of expanding new hospitals and increasing capacity at existing hospitals combined with increased efficiencies. Valuations are attractive versus history.</li>
</ul>



Mitra Keluarga (MIKA IJ) recently booked 1Q2023, where headlines did not reflect the true recovery of the core business given COVID was still a factor boosting last year's revenues. 
Non-COVID inpatient and outpatient volumes were up by +19% YoY reflecting the strength of the recovery as the environment normalizes but occupancy rates still have a significant upside.

Mitra Keluarga has started to put foot-to-pedal in terms of expanding new hospitals and increasing capacity at existing hospitals combined with increased efficiencies. Valuations are attractive versus history.


Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ) - Stepping on the Gas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>Following the release of the 1Q23 result, we revise our earnings forecast on MIKA mainly to reflect our new ASP growth assumption for this year, as we believe MIKA will have less flexibility in setting its ASP in 2023 given a shift in the pattern of consumer spending</li><li>At the same time, we also revise our operational beds and BOR assumptions for 2023 given the update on the number of beds in MIKA’s new hospitals</li><li>All in all, our topline growth estimate is lowered from 15.8% to 11.4% yoy, reducing our TP to IDR3,300</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Following the release of the 1Q23 result, we revise our earnings forecast on MIKA mainly to reflect our new ASP growth assumption for this year, as we believe MIKA will have less flexibility in setting its ASP in 2023 given a shift in the pattern of consumer spendingAt the same time, we also revise our operational beds and BOR assumptions for 2023 given the update on the number of beds in MIKA’s new hospitalsAll in all, our topline growth estimate is lowered from 15.8% to 11.4% yoy, reducing our TP to IDR3,300Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mitra Keluarga (MIKA IJ) - Modest downward revisions

Bumi Resources Minerals / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/panin-financial-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19472:1" rel="noopener">Panin Financial (PNLF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energi-mega-persada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17534:1" rel="noopener">Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcoal-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28449:1" rel="noopener">Transcoal Pacific (TCPI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO)</a>.</li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indocement-tunggal-prakarsa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4040:1" rel="noopener">Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-negara-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:731:1" rel="noopener">Bank Tabungan Negara Persero (BBTN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Potential adds are Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ), Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ), Panin Financial (PNLF IJ), Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ), Transcoal Pacific (TCPI IJ) and Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO).
Potential deletions are Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ), Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP IJ), Timah Persero (TINS IJ), Bank Tabungan Negara Persero (BBTN IJ) and Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ). 


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Changes

Indonesia

PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk is a prominent Indonesian private hospital operator that owns and manages hospitals, offering both outpatient and inpatient healthcare services. The company's network includes Mitra Keluarga Hospitals and Kasih Group Hospitals, providing specialized medical care such as oncology, radiotherapy, brain and spine care, women and children's health, and orthopedic services. It also offers healthcare platform services. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Review Period Nearly Complete

There could be up to 5 changes for the LQ45 in July. The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletes compared to the adds....

Brian Freitas

Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ) - Cars, Drugs, and Data Centres

Puradelta Lestari remains the most interesting industrial estate developer in Indonesia with a high-quality tenant base across growth sectors...

Angus Mackintosh