Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM, Dantes Outlook

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM

Dantes Outlook

We invest over a full market cycle, using multi-asset portfolios tailored to each global client, from individuals to family offices.

Built to Endure

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Cautious entry: Indonesian stocks are stabilizing. We may consider a small absolute long on a 6-12-month horizon, either on the country level or with a basket of three stocks.</li>
<li>
Absolute for now: Historically, past downside extremes in Indonesian stocks preceded positive absolute returns 6-12-months forward, but relative performance remained weak over the same time horizon.</li>
<li>
Relative later: Our framework does not support an overweight to Indonesia vs. EM or Asia Pacific until relative trend signals improve. If you're already underweight, trim it.</li>
</ul>



Cautious entry: Indonesian stocks are stabilizing. We may consider a small absolute long on a 6-12-month horizon, either on the country level or with a basket of three stocks.

Absolute for now: Historically, past downside extremes in Indonesian stocks preceded positive absolute returns 6-12-months forward, but relative performance remained weak over the same time horizon.

Relative later: Our framework does not support an overweight to Indonesia vs. EM or Asia Pacific until relative trend signals improve. If you're already underweight, trim it.


Indonesia Stabilizes: Three Stocks with Relative Upside

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Solusi Sinergi Digital / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's internet penetration rate is quite high, but most of it is powered by smartphone data. Broadband internet penetration is still quite low. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solusi-sinergi-digital-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33156:1" rel="noopener">Solusi Sinergi Digital Tbk PT (WIFI IJ)</a> will expand in Java and ex-Java as well; the economics of owning broadband are clearly favorable to smartphone data. </li>
<li>A couple of foreign institutions have invested in WIFI, validating the investment thesis. Valuation has normalized as well, making it more palatable to invest. </li>
</ul>


Indonesia's internet penetration rate is quite high, but most of it is powered by smartphone data. Broadband internet penetration is still quite low. 

Solusi Sinergi Digital Tbk PT (WIFI IJ) will expand in Java and ex-Java as well; the economics of owning broadband are clearly favorable to smartphone data. 
A couple of foreign institutions have invested in WIFI, validating the investment thesis. Valuation has normalized as well, making it more palatable to invest. 


Solusi Sinergi Digital (WIFI): Normalized Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index rebalance ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 30 January.</li>
<li>We highlight 3 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. Depending on the index committee discretion, the actual number of changes could be lower/higher.</li>
<li>The impact on the forecast inclusions is not very high but the impact on the forecast deletion is much higher.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index rebalance ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 30 January.
We highlight 3 potential inclusions and 3 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. Depending on the index committee discretion, the actual number of changes could be lower/higher.
The impact on the forecast inclusions is not very high but the impact on the forecast deletion is much higher.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2026): Identifying Potential Index Changes

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We analyse markets of South Korea, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, China, Europe, and the US to study extreme dispersion, extracting repeatable, factor-driven signals beyond macro growth narrative.
</li>
<li>Across these markets, returns were driven by earnings inflection, ROE improvement, and cash-flow recovery; stability, defensiveness, and high quality without momentum underperformed.</li>
<li>
Cyclicality and operating leverage outperformed, while revenue growth mattered only when converting into earnings and cash, reinforcing bottom-up capital allocation over GDP-led narratives.</li>
</ul>


We analyse markets of South Korea, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, China, Europe, and the US to study extreme dispersion, extracting repeatable, factor-driven signals beyond macro growth narrative.

Across these markets, returns were driven by earnings inflection, ROE improvement, and cash-flow recovery; stability, defensiveness, and high quality without momentum underperformed.

Cyclicality and operating leverage outperformed, while revenue growth mattered only when converting into earnings and cash, reinforcing bottom-up capital allocation over GDP-led narratives.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Indonesia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on XL Axiata, Solusi Sinergi Digital, Aneka Tambang, Indah Kiat Pulp &amp; Paper, Telkom Indonesia, Bank Mandiri, Surya Esa Perkasa.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Indonesia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on XL Axiata, Solusi Sinergi Digital, Aneka Tambang, Indah Kiat Pulp &amp; Paper, Telkom Indonesia, Bank Mandiri, Surya Esa Perkasa.


MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (May): XL Axiata, Solusi Sinergi Digital, Aneka Tambang

Indonesia

PT Solusi Sinergi Digital Tbk (SURGE) is an Indonesian digital infrastructure and technology company that operates an integrated digital ecosystem. The company focuses on connectivity infrastructure, digital products and services, and digital media and advertising, including the development and operation of fiber optic infrastructure and mobile applications. It was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Solusi Sinergi Digital (WIFI IJ)

Indonesia Stabilizes: Three Stocks with Relative Upside

Indonesian equities are stabilizing on an absolute and relative basis. We're considering small positions and selected three relative strength stocks.

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Solusi Sinergi Digital (WIFI): Normalized Valuation

Indonesia's high internet penetration is mostly from smartphone data, with low broadband access. Solusi Sinergi Digital Tbk PT benefits from this...

Henry Soediarko

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2026): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We highlight 3 sets of changes for the LQ45 in January. The forecast adds have surged while the forecast deletes have dropped. Historically, adds...

Brian Freitas

2025 Learnings | Short the Stagnant

Analysis of across markets showed that earnings inflection, ROE improvement, and cash-flow recovery drove returns, highlighting the importance of...

Pranav Bhavsar

MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (May): XL Axiata, Solusi Sinergi Digital, Aneka Tambang

We analyzed MS-Indonesia's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Solusi Sinergi Digital (WIFI IJ), Aneka...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Indonesia Stabilizes: Three Stocks with Relative Upside

Indonesian equities are stabilizing on an absolute and relative basis. We're considering small positions and selected three relative strength stocks.

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Solusi Sinergi Digital (WIFI): Normalized Valuation

​Indonesia's high internet penetration is mostly from smartphone data, with low broadband access. Solusi Sinergi Digital Tbk PT benefits from this...

Henry Soediarko

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan 2026): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We highlight 3 sets of changes for the LQ45 in January. The forecast adds have surged while the forecast deletes have dropped. Historically, adds...

Brian Freitas

2025 Learnings | Short the Stagnant

​Analysis of across markets showed that earnings inflection, ROE improvement, and cash-flow recovery drove returns, highlighting the importance of...

Pranav Bhavsar

MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (May): XL Axiata, Solusi Sinergi Digital, Aneka Tambang

We analyzed MS-Indonesia's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Solusi Sinergi Digital (WIFI IJ), Aneka...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Indonesia's high internet penetration is mostly from smartphone data, with low broadband access. Solusi Sinergi Digital Tbk PT benefits from this...

Analysis of across markets showed that earnings inflection, ROE improvement, and cash-flow recovery drove returns, highlighting the importance of...