CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 33

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Crude oil prices rose more than 2% this morning amid concerns over tighter supply after the US revoked its waiver on Iranian crude oil exports following Iran's attack on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns over the stability of the ceasefire.</li><li>Negotiations on the Thailand-EU Free Trade Agreement (Thailand-EU FTA) have progressed by around two-thirds.</li><li>We expect SCGP (Outperform, TP: Bt33.75) to report a doubling of 2Q26E net profit YoY to Bt2.0bn, supported by revenue growth and improving business performance in Indonesia.</li></ul>

Crude oil prices rose more than 2% this morning amid concerns over tighter supply after the US revoked its waiver on Iranian crude oil exports following Iran's attack on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns over the stability of the ceasefire.Negotiations on the Thailand-EU Free Trade Agreement (Thailand-EU FTA) have progressed by around two-thirds.We expect SCGP (Outperform, TP: Bt33.75) to report a doubling of 2Q26E net profit YoY to Bt2.0bn, supported by revenue growth and improving business performance in Indonesia.

PTT Exploration & Production / Equity Bottom-Up

PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP-SR SP)

<ul><li>We expect strong 2Q26E core and net profit growth.</li><li>We raise our 2026-28E core profit forecasts by 5-6% on lower effective tax rate and now forecast a 2-year core EPS CAGR of 3%.</li><li>Combined with a 6-7% dividend yield, we maintain Outperform rating.</li></ul>

We expect strong 2Q26E core and net profit growth.We raise our 2026-28E core profit forecasts by 5-6% on lower effective tax rate and now forecast a 2-year core EPS CAGR of 3%.Combined with a 6-7% dividend yield, we maintain Outperform rating.

PTT EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION Plc. (PTTEP): Strong 2Q26E Earnings; Consistent Dividend Yield - Outperform (12M FWD Fair Value Bt154.00)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 3rd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SCB X, Airports of Thailand, SCC, Bumrungrad Hospital, Bangchak, Airports Of Thailand, Scb X, Scc, Bumrungrad Hospital.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 3rd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SCB X, Airports of Thailand, SCC, Bumrungrad Hospital, Bangchak, Airports Of Thailand, Scb X, Scc, Bumrungrad Hospital.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): SCB X, Airports of Thailand, SCC, Bumrungrad Hospital, Scc

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Crude: Bright E&amp;P business performance from recovering crude price<ul><li>We expect the widespread deployment of COVID-19 vaccines, continued support from OPEC+ on regulating the crude supply, and post COVID-19 demand spike in crude products (Jet fuel, gasoline, diesel etc.) will support the Brent crude to continue the upward rally in 2021.  PTTEP is our top pick, the E&amp;P business will most benefit from recovering crude price.</li></ul>Refinery: Improving product demand to drive GRM<ul><li>Thai refiners’ share prices are trading at 10-to-20% discount to their historical PBV multiples mainly due to the COVID-19 impact, which dragged the GRM to negative territory along with huge inventory loss. We have a positive view on 2021 refinery performance and expect the GRM to gradually pick up each quarter on the back of recovering products spreads (especially Jet fuel). TOP is our top pick among refineries considering the cheap valuation (0.9x PBV’21, 20% below its 5 year trading average), and upside from current share price (+18%).</li></ul>Petrochemicals: Benefit from global recovery<ul><li>We foresee a strong recovery in petrochemicals to continue in 1H21. Olefins (HDPE, PP) has already recovered back to its 5-year average ahead of Chinese New Year. Meanwhile, aromatics (PX, BZ) to be supported by growth in textile and automotive industry and new capacity in downstream products (PTA). PTTGC is our top pick as overall businesses benefit from petrochemical upswing. The company will also realize 10% more capacity in PO/Polyols unit by 1Q21.</li></ul><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/184/642/original/SMK1.png?1611645077" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="184642"></figure>Valuation Summary*
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/184/643/original/Picture1.jpg?1611645252" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="184643"></figure></section>Source: CGS Research, Company data, SET</section>

Crude: Bright E&amp;P business performance from recovering crude priceWe expect the widespread deployment of COVID-19 vaccines, continued support from OPEC+ on regulating the crude supply, and post COVID-19 demand spike in crude products (Jet fuel, gasoline, diesel etc.) will support the Brent crude to continue the upward rally in 2021.  PTTEP is our top pick, the E&amp;P business will most benefit from recovering crude price.Refinery: Improving product demand to drive GRMThai refiners’ share prices are trading at 10-to-20% discount to their historical PBV multiples mainly due to the COVID-19 impact, which dragged the GRM to negative territory along with huge inventory loss. We have a positive view on 2021 refinery performance and expect the GRM to gradually pick up each quarter on the back of recovering products spreads (especially Jet fuel). TOP is our top pick among refineries considering the cheap valuation (0.9x PBV’21, 20% below its 5 year trading average), and upside from current share price (+18%).Petrochemicals: Benefit from global recoveryWe foresee a strong recovery in petrochemicals to continue in 1H21. Olefins (HDPE, PP) has already recovered back to its 5-year average ahead of Chinese New Year. Meanwhile, aromatics (PX, BZ) to be supported by growth in textile and automotive industry and new capacity in downstream products (PTA). PTTGC is our top pick as overall businesses benefit from petrochemical upswing. The company will also realize 10% more capacity in PO/Polyols unit by 1Q21.Valuation Summary*
Source: CGS Research, Company data, SET

Energy Sector : Overweight- Oil Demand Recovery to Drive 2021 Earnings

Thailand

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited, also known as PTTEP, is a national petroleum exploration and production company. It focuses on the exploration, development, and production of petroleum, including crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and liquified petroleum gas. The company also invests in renewable energy and related businesses, such as gas pipeline transportation and solar power. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, the company was founded on June 20, 1985.

PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP-R TB)

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PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP-R TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 33

Our Thai portfolio has gained 85% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 30%. Since the last rebalancing, it has had 10 major outperformers: RCL,...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. July 8, 2026

Crude oil prices rose more than 2% this morning amid concerns over tighter supply after the US revoked its waiver on Iranian crude oil exports...

Krungthai XSpring

PTT EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION Plc. (PTTEP): Strong 2Q26E Earnings; Consistent Dividend Yield - Outperform (12M FWD Fair Value Bt154.00)

We expect strong 2Q26E core and net profit growth. We raise our 2026-28E core profit forecasts by 5-6% on lower effective tax rate and now...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): SCB X, Airports of Thailand, SCC, Bumrungrad Hospital, Scc

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SCB X (SCB TB), Airports of Thailand (AOT TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Energy Sector : Overweight- Oil Demand Recovery to Drive 2021 Earnings

Energy Sector : Overweight- Oil demand recovery to drive 2021 earnings. We expect bright E&P business performance from recovering crude price, and...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

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52-week Range

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Dividend (Yield)