Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Several more cargoes of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in the past week, with shipments heading mostly to Southeast Asia.</li><li>Taiwan’s base oils exports rose in second-half May from the first half, with total May volumes likely exceeding April levels but still lagging March.</li><li>Large cargo set to load from South Korea in early June; size of shipment pointed to US Gulf coast as the likely destination.</li></ul>

Several more cargoes of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in the past week, with shipments heading mostly to Southeast Asia.Taiwan’s base oils exports rose in second-half May from the first half, with total May volumes likely exceeding April levels but still lagging March.Large cargo set to load from South Korea in early June; size of shipment pointed to US Gulf coast as the likely destination.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 29 May

<ul><li>Signs of easing supply tightness emerged across Asia as crude prices extended their decline, encouraging buyers to hold back.</li><li>South Korea and India maintained high base oils run-rates in April despite global disruptions and pressure to prioritise diesel output, supporting steady regional supply.</li><li>China’s high domestic base oils output curbed import demand, while stronger lubricants exports increased volumes in external markets.</li></ul>

Signs of easing supply tightness emerged across Asia as crude prices extended their decline, encouraging buyers to hold back.South Korea and India maintained high base oils run-rates in April despite global disruptions and pressure to prioritise diesel output, supporting steady regional supply.China’s high domestic base oils output curbed import demand, while stronger lubricants exports increased volumes in external markets.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 29 May '26

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

PTT Exploration & Production / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Stronger-than-expected oil prices, a higher gas price base from the lag effect, and the 3Q26 gas price increase for MTJDA A18-01 under a new production sharing contract (PSC), retroactive to 1Q26, cushion unit margins and moderate the expected 2H26E core profit decline.</li><li>We raise 2026-28E core profit forecasts by 17%, 8%, and 4%, respectively, and roll forward to a 2027E FV of Bt160.00, based on an 11% required return incorporating the revised house Rf assumption of 2.39%.</li><li>We maintain Neutral given limited upside and modest 2027-29E core profit growth of 2% CAGR as oil supply and prices normalize.</li></ul>

Stronger-than-expected oil prices, a higher gas price base from the lag effect, and the 3Q26 gas price increase for MTJDA A18-01 under a new production sharing contract (PSC), retroactive to 1Q26, cushion unit margins and moderate the expected 2H26E core profit decline.We raise 2026-28E core profit forecasts by 17%, 8%, and 4%, respectively, and roll forward to a 2027E FV of Bt160.00, based on an 11% required return incorporating the revised house Rf assumption of 2.39%.We maintain Neutral given limited upside and modest 2027-29E core profit growth of 2% CAGR as oil supply and prices normalize.

PTT Exploration And Production Plc. Energy: 3Q26E Core and Net Profits Expected to Decline

<ul><li>Cargo of Group II light and heavy-grade base oils loaded from Taiwan this week before heading to Vietnam, set to arrive in coming days.</li><li>Taiwan’s export volumes so far in May remained similar to April and below March levels.</li><li>Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in second-half March before heading to Northwest Europe, arrived in recent days.</li></ul>

Cargo of Group II light and heavy-grade base oils loaded from Taiwan this week before heading to Vietnam, set to arrive in coming days.Taiwan’s export volumes so far in May remained similar to April and below March levels.Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in second-half March before heading to Northwest Europe, arrived in recent days.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 22 May

<ul><li>Asia's export cushion narrowed as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore flows all weakened simultaneously — leaving global markets with less cover</li><li>South Korea's April exports to the US slumped to a near-six-year low — deepening Group III supply risks as Middle East flows stayed halted</li><li>Singapore's April imports temporarily eased regional pressure — but softer May exports pointed to the buffer starting to thin</li></ul>

Asia's export cushion narrowed as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore flows all weakened simultaneously — leaving global markets with less coverSouth Korea's April exports to the US slumped to a near-six-year low — deepening Group III supply risks as Middle East flows stayed haltedSingapore's April imports temporarily eased regional pressure — but softer May exports pointed to the buffer starting to thin

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 22 May '26

Thailand

PTT is a Thai state-owned integrated petroleum and natural gas company involved in exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas, petrochemicals, and electricity generation. It operates extensive submarine gas pipelines and a network of LPG terminals. Headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand, the company was founded in 1978.

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PTT (PTT TB)

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 29 May

Several more cargoes of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in the past week, with shipments heading mostly to Southeast Asia. Taiwan’s base...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 29 May '26

Signs of easing supply tightness emerged across Asia as crude prices extended their decline, encouraging buyers to hold back. South Korea and...

Base Oil News

PTT Exploration And Production Plc. Energy: 3Q26E Core and Net Profits Expected to Decline

Stronger-than-expected oil prices, a higher gas price base from the lag effect, and the 3Q26 gas price increase for MTJDA A18-01 under a new...

Krungthai XSpring

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 22 May

Cargo of Group II light and heavy-grade base oils loaded from Taiwan this week before heading to Vietnam, set to arrive in coming days. Taiwan’s...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 22 May '26

Asia's export cushion narrowed as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore flows all weakened simultaneously — leaving global markets with less...

Base Oil News

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