Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Merchants Energy A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Over 85% of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 2.28% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.95bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> over the last two months but have underperformed the potential deletes. The gap has been narrowing recently.</li>
</ul>


Over 85% of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 2.28% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.95bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the last two months but have underperformed the potential deletes. The gap has been narrowing recently.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Narrowing the Gap

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that the total inflows were USD 1.5bn last Month. Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine, Shaanxi Coal, Midea, Tongwei, BYD, Eve Energy, Industrial Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that the total inflows were USD 1.5bn last Month. Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples led the inflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine, Shaanxi Coal, Midea, Tongwei, BYD, Eve Energy, Industrial Bank.


Northbound Flows Monthly (Feb): CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$456.0 million, led by financials, information technology, utilities sectors, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun Technologies, Byd, Midea, Tongwei, Trina Solar</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 10th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$456.0 million, led by financials, information technology, utilities sectors, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun Technologies, Byd, Midea, Tongwei, Trina Solar


Northbound Flows (Feb 10th): Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples, Financials, Health Care led the inflows while Industrials , Information Technology led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Wuliangye, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, China Tourism, Shenzhen Mindray,  and outflows from Yunnan Energy New Material, BJ-SH HSR, Nari Technology, Goertek.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples, Financials, Health Care led the inflows while Industrials , Information Technology led the outflows.
We highlight inflows into Wuliangye, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, China Tourism, Shenzhen Mindray,  and outflows from Yunnan Energy New Material, BJ-SH HSR, Nari Technology, Goertek.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $4.6bn of Inflows

China

Pylon Technologies Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and distributes energy storage systems. The Company provides cathode materials, lithium cells, battery management system and system integration, and more. Pylon Technologies markets its products across worldwide.

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Pylon Technologies (688063 CH)

Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Narrowing the Gap

Nearing the end of the review period, we see 14 potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 2.28% leading to a one-way trade of CNY...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (Feb): CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for February and highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 10th): Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $4.6bn of Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for December and highlight flows for Wuliangye, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, China Tourism, Shenzhen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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