Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE) are showing signs of bottoming due to positive short-term price inflections topside their respective downtrends. Additionally, cyclical Sectors Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Manufacturing exhibit early signs of price and RS bottoms throughout Europe, Japan, and EM.  In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable opportunities within these cyclical Sectors, and provide a technical appraisal of major global indexes.

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE) are showing signs of bottoming due to positive short-term price inflections topside their respective downtrends. Additionally, cyclical Sectors Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Manufacturing exhibit early signs of price and RS bottoms throughout Europe, Japan, and EM.  In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable opportunities within these cyclical Sectors, and provide a technical appraisal of major global indexes.

Global Equity Strategy: Global Outlook Improving

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The mega-themes that will drive earnings in the global tech hardware space over the next 12 to 24 months are: artificial intelligence, the Cloud, internet of things, digital media, fintech, advanced manufacturing, macroeconomic issues and regulation.Below, we split these “umbrella” themes into over 30 sub-themes and summarise their impact on the consumer electronics sector worldwide.

The mega-themes that will drive earnings in the global tech hardware space over the next 12 to 24 months are: artificial intelligence, the Cloud, internet of things, digital media, fintech, advanced manufacturing, macroeconomic issues and regulation.Below, we split these “umbrella” themes into over 30 sub-themes and summarise their impact on the consumer electronics sector worldwide.

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia is leading EM higher.  In this week's Chart Book, we highlight the following themes and actionable charts: <ul><li>Overweight Asia. In today’s report we highlight a broad array of actionable names within the Asia region ... see pages 3-6</li><li>Indian banks are breaking out. India’s state banks broke out last week in response to the government’s announcement of a $32.5 billion recapitalization plan. Actionable ideas: Punjab National Bank (532461-IN), State Bank of India (500112-IN), ICICI Bank (532174-IN)... see page 2</li><li>Leading Sectors. EM sectors exhibiting attractive relative strength trends include: consumer discretionary, energy, financials, health care, materials, and tech. This (mostly) cyclical line-up supports a risk-on outlook. When defensive sectors exhibit improving relative strength, then we’ll turn cautious on EM’s advance.</li></ul>

Asia is leading EM higher.  In this week's Chart Book, we highlight the following themes and actionable charts: Overweight Asia. In today’s report we highlight a broad array of actionable names within the Asia region ... see pages 3-6Indian banks are breaking out. India’s state banks broke out last week in response to the government’s announcement of a $32.5 billion recapitalization plan. Actionable ideas: Punjab National Bank (532461-IN), State Bank of India (500112-IN), ICICI Bank (532174-IN)... see page 2Leading Sectors. EM sectors exhibiting attractive relative strength trends include: consumer discretionary, energy, financials, health care, materials, and tech. This (mostly) cyclical line-up supports a risk-on outlook. When defensive sectors exhibit improving relative strength, then we’ll turn cautious on EM’s advance.

EM Technicals: Overweight Asia; Indian Banks Are Breaking Out; Bottom-Up Ideas

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

PREFERRED CASE Bullish above 65.70 towards 75.00 even 80.00Should you have any questions and wish to speak with one of our analysts, please don’t hesitate to contact us. Equity Asia: + (65) 6735 3040 or <a href="mailto:asia@bbsp.sg" target="_blank">asia@bbsp.sg</a>Access to this document is restricted to the use of the intended recipient designated by BBSP and may not be shared with others. Any unauthorised use, dissemination, distribution or copying of this document, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. This document is provided solely…

PREFERRED CASE Bullish above 65.70 towards 75.00 even 80.00Should you have any questions and wish to speak with one of our analysts, please don’t hesitate to contact us.  Equity Asia: + (65) 6735 3040 or asia@bbsp.sgAccess to this document is restricted to the use of the intended recipient designated by BBSP and may not be shared with others. Any unauthorised use, dissemination, distribution or copying of this document, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. This document is provided solely…

Quanta Computer (2382 TT) - Correction Over

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<h2>What's new?</h2>Taiwan Ministry of Finance announced yesterday a new tax reform (starting 2019 calendar year for 2018 income taxes) to cut personal tax ceiling to 40% from 45% but raise the corporate tax rate to 20% from 17% coupled with 50% cut on retained earning taxes to 5% from 10%. For the same reform, cash dividends taxes for domestic investors will be cut substantially but be raised by 1% to 21% for foreign investors. Post our analysis, we conclude the reform is positivePost our analysis, we…

What's new?Taiwan Ministry of Finance announced yesterday a new tax reform (starting 2019 calendar year for 2018 income taxes) to cut personal tax ceiling to 40% from 45% but raise the corporate tax rate to 20% from 17% coupled with 50% cut on retained earning taxes to 5% from 10%. For the same reform, cash dividends taxes for domestic investors will be cut substantially but be raised by 1% to 21% for foreign investors. Post our analysis, we conclude the reform is positivePost our analysis, we…

Taiwan Tax Reform: Positive to Domestic Investors but Only Marginal Impact to Corporates' Earnings

Taiwan

Quanta Computer Inc. manufactures and markets notebook computers and related peripheral equipment.

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Quanta Computer (2382 TT)

Global Equity Strategy: Global Outlook Improving

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE) are showing signs of bottoming due to positive short-term price inflections topside their...

Vermilion Research

Tech Hardware Themes

The mega-themes that will drive earnings in the global tech hardware space over the next 12 to 24 months are: artificial intelligence, the Cloud,...

CM Research

EM Technicals: Overweight Asia; Indian Banks Are Breaking Out; Bottom-Up Ideas

Asia is leading EM higher. In this week's Chart Book, we highlight the following themes and actionable charts: Overweight Asia. In today’s...

Vermilion Research