IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a>'s gross spread to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)</a>’s offer (less the interim dividend) of A$87.52 has widened touching an all-time high of 17.0% today.</li>
<li>Despite the longer-than-expected due diligence, rising rates and market volatility, the evidence suggests that KKR remains committed. The expectation is for a binding proposal by June end.</li>
<li>At the last close, the risk/reward profile is favourable as the downside due to a deal break (-10% estimated decline) is lower than the upside (+17%) from a binding offer. </li>
</ul>



Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)'s gross spread to KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)’s offer (less the interim dividend) of A$87.52 has widened touching an all-time high of 17.0% today.
Despite the longer-than-expected due diligence, rising rates and market volatility, the evidence suggests that KKR remains committed. The expectation is for a binding proposal by June end.
At the last close, the risk/reward profile is favourable as the downside due to a deal break (-10% estimated decline) is lower than the upside (+17%) from a binding offer. 


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue brought by COVID-19 business wouldn’t be sustainable,and would decrease in the future. The lower-than-expected performance of the hospital services is hard to be the main driver for growth.</li>
<li>The performance contribution brought by medical tourism would be limited, just partially offset the decline of COVID-19 related revenue. Accordingly, we lowered our forecast on revenue and earnings in FY2022-FY2023.</li>
<li>Together with the concerns on China business, we have doubts about RMG’s outlook, which would weigh on bullish sentiment. In such a complicated environment, investors are recommended to play safe.</li>
</ul>


The revenue brought by COVID-19 business wouldn’t be sustainable,and would decrease in the future. The lower-than-expected performance of the hospital services is hard to be the main driver for growth.
The performance contribution brought by medical tourism would be limited, just partially offset the decline of COVID-19 related revenue. Accordingly, we lowered our forecast on revenue and earnings in FY2022-FY2023.
Together with the concerns on China business, we have doubts about RMG’s outlook, which would weigh on bullish sentiment. In such a complicated environment, investors are recommended to play safe.


Raffles Medical (RFMD SP) - Doubts About the Outlook Weigh on Bullish Sentiment

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raffles-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:879:1" rel="noopener">Raffles Medical (RFMD SP)</a> is a private medical provider in Singapore. The company owns and operates a network of medical clinics and hospitals.</li>
<li>The company’s earnings saw a boost in 2021 driven by demand for Covid-19 related services such as PCR tests, vaccine administration and operation of Cov-19 treatment facilities.</li>
<li>With Singapore reopening borders post Covid, we expect foreign patient volume to see a recovery, however, lower revenue from Covid related services would negatively impact earnings in 2022.</li>
</ul>



Raffles Medical (RFMD SP) is a private medical provider in Singapore. The company owns and operates a network of medical clinics and hospitals.
The company’s earnings saw a boost in 2021 driven by demand for Covid-19 related services such as PCR tests, vaccine administration and operation of Cov-19 treatment facilities.
With Singapore reopening borders post Covid, we expect foreign patient volume to see a recovery, however, lower revenue from Covid related services would negatively impact earnings in 2022.


Raffles Medical: Earnings to Remain Under Pressure in 2022 but Long-Term Prospects Remain Attractive

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raffles-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:879:1" rel="noopener">Raffles Medical (RFMD SP)</a> reported 27% y/y revenue growth to S$723.8 million and net profit increase of 30% y/y to S$83.7 million in 2021.</li>
<li>Following full border reopening by Singapore beginning April, medical tourism is set to revive. As a leading hospital operator in Singapore, Raffles is well-positioned to grab the opportunity. </li>
<li>Regular share buyback and recent stake increase by a major investor further enhance conviction on the company’s growth potential.</li>
</ul>



Raffles Medical (RFMD SP) reported 27% y/y revenue growth to S$723.8 million and net profit increase of 30% y/y to S$83.7 million in 2021.
Following full border reopening by Singapore beginning April, medical tourism is set to revive. As a leading hospital operator in Singapore, Raffles is well-positioned to grab the opportunity. 
Regular share buyback and recent stake increase by a major investor further enhance conviction on the company’s growth potential.


Raffles Medical (RFMD SP): Resilient Business Model; Border Reopening to Further Boost Growth

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Rainbow Children's Medicare / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) raised around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.</li>
<li>RCH is a multi-specialty pediatric and obstetrics and gynecology hospital chain in India, operating 14 hospitals and three clinics in six cities, with a total bed capacity of 1,500 beds.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about our the trading updates.</li>
</ul>


Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) raised around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.
RCH is a multi-specialty pediatric and obstetrics and gynecology hospital chain in India, operating 14 hospitals and three clinics in six cities, with a total bed capacity of 1,500 beds.
In this note, we will talk about our the trading updates.


Rainbow Children’s Hospital IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Strong Insti Subs but Limited Upside

Singapore

Raffles Medical Group is a leading integrated private healthcare provider in Asia. It operates hospitals and a network of medical and dental clinics, offering a wide range of services including primary, specialist, and tertiary care, as well as health insurance and consumer healthcare products. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP)

Ramsay Health's Offer Spread Risk/Reward

At the last close, the risk/reward profile is favourable as the downside due to a deal break (-10% estimated decline) is lower than the upside...

Arun George

Raffles Medical (RFMD SP) - Doubts About the Outlook Weigh on Bullish Sentiment

The revenue from medical tourism would just partially offset the decline of COVID-19 related revenue.RMG's revenue/earnings in FY22-23 may go...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Raffles Medical: Earnings to Remain Under Pressure in 2022 but Long-Term Prospects Remain Attractive

We expect Raffles to be a key beneficiary of Singapore reopening, however, we expect the company’s earnings to remain under pressure in 2022E due...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Raffles Medical (RFMD SP): Resilient Business Model; Border Reopening to Further Boost Growth

RMG’s operating performance remained resilient to the pandemic, driven by healthcare services business. Resumption of medical tourism in Singapore...

Tina Banerjee

Rainbow Children’s Hospital IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Strong Insti Subs but Limited Upside

Rainbow Children’s Hospital raised around US$200m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the subscription levels and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

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