Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aster-dm-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23662:1" rel="noopener">Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)</a> plans to add ~1,800 beds by FY27, aligning with its strategic roadmap to expand its footprint and become a top-three healthcare player in India.</li>
<li>Operating EBITDA margin has improved to 21.4% in Q2FY25 as compared to 16.8% in Q2FY24. The company expects continuous margin expansion over the next two-three years.</li>
<li>The company is expected to report high teens revenue growth through FY27, with bottomline growth outpacing topline. Aster DM shares are trading at NTM EV/EBITDA of 24.9x, lower than peers.</li>
</ul>



Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN) plans to add ~1,800 beds by FY27, aligning with its strategic roadmap to expand its footprint and become a top-three healthcare player in India.
Operating EBITDA margin has improved to 21.4% in Q2FY25 as compared to 16.8% in Q2FY24. The company expects continuous margin expansion over the next two-three years.
The company is expected to report high teens revenue growth through FY27, with bottomline growth outpacing topline. Aster DM shares are trading at NTM EV/EBITDA of 24.9x, lower than peers.


2025 High Conviction: Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)- Focus on India Augurs Well

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With long-term structural factors supporting growth, healthcare services market is expected to have a low double-digit CAGR over the next five years.</li>
<li>Most of the leading hospitals are operating with high occupancies, which justifies their aggressive plans. Profitable revenue growth and low leverage support their expansion plans.</li>
<li>With expanding scale, the players are well positioned to report faster revenue growth and better margins in coming years than their respective historical figures.</li>
</ul>


With long-term structural factors supporting growth, healthcare services market is expected to have a low double-digit CAGR over the next five years.
Most of the leading hospitals are operating with high occupancies, which justifies their aggressive plans. Profitable revenue growth and low leverage support their expansion plans.
With expanding scale, the players are well positioned to report faster revenue growth and better margins in coming years than their respective historical figures.


Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aster-dm-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23662:1" rel="noopener">Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)</a> shares took a beating as Olympus Capital offloaded ~49M shares at a price range of INR405.00–406.72 (~7% discount to the last close price).</li>
<li>GCC business separation is expected to complete in Q4FY24. Aster DM plans to consider distributing 70–80% of the upfront consideration of $903M as dividend to its shareholders.</li>
<li>Stake sale by Olympus Capital is not a warning sign for the company. Despite CGHS rate overhang, we think recent pullback in Aster DM share provides an attractive entry point.</li>
</ul>



Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN) shares took a beating as Olympus Capital offloaded ~49M shares at a price range of INR405.00–406.72 (~7% discount to the last close price).
GCC business separation is expected to complete in Q4FY24. Aster DM plans to consider distributing 70–80% of the upfront consideration of $903M as dividend to its shareholders.
Stake sale by Olympus Capital is not a warning sign for the company. Despite CGHS rate overhang, we think recent pullback in Aster DM share provides an attractive entry point.


Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN): Recent Correction Can Be a Good Entry Point

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Rainbow Children's Medicare / Equity Bottom-Up

Key points (machine generated)<ul><li>Rainbow Children's Medicare operates a hub hospital with multiple spoke hospitals in various locations, allowing them to serve a wide geographical area and reach a larger patient base.</li><li>The company has a strong financial performance, with profitable growth and operating cash.</li><li>Rainbow Children's Medicare aims to address the underserved niche pediatric market in India and capitalize on the country's large adolescent population, presenting significant growth potential. They plan to expand their operational bed capacity by 40% by 2026.</li></ul>This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Key points (machine generated)Rainbow Children's Medicare operates a hub hospital with multiple spoke hospitals in various locations, allowing them to serve a wide geographical area and reach a larger patient base.The company has a strong financial performance, with profitable growth and operating cash.Rainbow Children's Medicare aims to address the underserved niche pediatric market in India and capitalize on the country's large adolescent population, presenting significant growth potential. They plan to expand their operational bed capacity by 40% by 2026.This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Rainbow Children'S Medicare Limited (RAINBOW.NS) - Tuesday, Oct 10, 2023

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rainbow-children-s-medicare-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35874:1" rel="noopener">Rainbow Children's Hospital (RAINBOW IN)</a> recorded 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY24 to INR2.9B, driven by increase in pediatric surgical cases and deliveries, and addition of new bed capacities.</li>
<li>Lower occupancies in new hospitals and higher expenses impacted profitability. In Q1FY24, EBITDA margin declined 407 bps YoY to 30.5%, while net profit margin contracted 190 bps YoY to 14.4%.</li>
<li>The company will add 270 beds in the current financial year. By FY27, RCML aims to increase its bed capacity by 56% to 2,585 from current bed capacity of 1,655.  </li>
</ul>



Rainbow Children's Hospital (RAINBOW IN) recorded 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY24 to INR2.9B, driven by increase in pediatric surgical cases and deliveries, and addition of new bed capacities.
Lower occupancies in new hospitals and higher expenses impacted profitability. In Q1FY24, EBITDA margin declined 407 bps YoY to 30.5%, while net profit margin contracted 190 bps YoY to 14.4%.
The company will add 270 beds in the current financial year. By FY27, RCML aims to increase its bed capacity by 56% to 2,585 from current bed capacity of 1,655.  


Rainbow Children's Hospital (RAINBOW IN): Started FY24 On Strong Note; Capacity Expansions Underway

India

Rainbow Children's Medicare Limited provides health care services. The Hospital offers pediatrics, neonatology, pregnancy and fertility care, gynecology, and other medical and surgical services for children and women. Rainbow Children's Medicare serves patients in India.

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Rainbow Children's Medicare (RAINBOW IN)

2025 High Conviction: Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)- Focus on India Augurs Well

Aster DM is merging with Blacksone and TPG-backed Quality Care India Limited, one of the largest privately held hospital chains in India with a...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Tina Banerjee

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN): Recent Correction Can Be a Good Entry Point

Aster DM shares drop after Olympus Capital sells 49M shares at a block deal. Stake sale is not a concern. The company is separating its GCC...

Tina Banerjee

Rainbow Children'S Medicare Limited (RAINBOW.NS) - Tuesday, Oct 10, 2023

Rainbow Children's Medicare operates a hub-and-spoke hospital model, serving a wide geographical area in the niche pediatric market in India, with...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Rainbow Children's Hospital (RAINBOW IN): Started FY24 On Strong Note; Capacity Expansions Underway

Rainbow recorded an impressive 21% YoY revenue growth to INR2.9B in Q1FY24, driven by increase in pediatric surgical cases and deliveries. The...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2025 High Conviction: Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)- Focus on India Augurs Well

Aster DM is merging with Blacksone and TPG-backed Quality Care India Limited, one of the largest privately held hospital chains in India with a...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

​Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Tina Banerjee

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN): Recent Correction Can Be a Good Entry Point

​Aster DM shares drop after Olympus Capital sells 49M shares at a block deal. Stake sale is not a concern. The company is separating its GCC...

Tina Banerjee

Rainbow Children'S Medicare Limited (RAINBOW.NS) - Tuesday, Oct 10, 2023

Rainbow Children's Medicare operates a hub-and-spoke hospital model, serving a wide geographical area in the niche pediatric market in India, with...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Rainbow Children's Hospital (RAINBOW IN): Started FY24 On Strong Note; Capacity Expansions Underway

Rainbow recorded an impressive 21% YoY revenue growth to INR2.9B in Q1FY24, driven by increase in pediatric surgical cases and deliveries. The...

Tina Banerjee

Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Aster DM shares drop after Olympus Capital sells 49M shares at a block deal. Stake sale is not a concern. The company is separating its GCC...